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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 95m  Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 1995
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
               (TF
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    69103   114879   151632   182847             62708   103859   137163   165355
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    69103   114879   151632   182847             62708   103859   137163   165355
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    73238   106713   140171   181587             66961    97795   129688   169015
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    67175    93205   118615   149138             60961    84463   108356   136907
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    63814   102373   135732   168923             57682    92356   122868   153460
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    61080    96297   126012   154285             55006    86409   113353   139134
 MB            (4.2)    69075   114806   151579   182744             62679   103786   137111   165253
 MTR           (2.3)    56477    86068   109644   129707             50444    76272    97134   114780
 LTR           (2.3)    53882    63681    71349    78167             47750    55104    61382    66382
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 1995
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    34158    75906   121450   182778             35488    78864   126182   189870
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    35988    79974   127958   192526             37488    83306   133288   200514
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    37874    84164   134664   202620             39366    87482   139972   210576
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    37874    84164   134664   202620             39366    87482   139972   210576
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    38070    84600   135358   203664             39572    87936   140698   211664
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    38070    84600   135358   203664             39572    87936   140698   211664
 MB            (4.2)    34158    75906   121450   182778             35488    78864   126182   189870
 MTR           (2.3)    34158    75906   121450   182778             35488    78864   126182   189870
 LTR           (2.3)    25650    57000    91200   137352             26608    59130    94610   142462
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 1995
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    34945    38973    30182       69             27220    24995    10981   -24515
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    33115    34905    23674    -9679             25220    20553     3875   -35159
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    35364    22549     5507   -21033             27595    10313   -10284   -41561
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    29301     9041   -16049   -53482             21595    -3019   -31616   -73669
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    25744    17773      374   -34741             18110     4420   -17830   -58204
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    23010    11697    -9346   -49379             15434    -1527   -27345   -72530
 MB            (4.2)    34917    38900    30129      -34             27191    24922    10929   -24617
 MTR           (2.3)    22319    10162   -11806   -53071             14956    -2592   -29048   -75090
 LTR           (2.3)    28232     6681   -19851   -59185             21142    -4026   -33228   -76080
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 1995
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      202      151      125      100               177      132      109       87
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)      192      144      119       95               167      125      103       82
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)      193      127      104       90               170      112       93       80
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)      177      111       88       74               155       97       77       65
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)      168      121      100       83               146      105       87       73
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)      160      114       93       76               139       98       81       66
 MB            (4.2)      202      151      125      100               177      132      109       87
 MTR           (2.3)      165      113       90       71               142       97       77       60
 LTR           (2.3)      210      112       78       57               179       93       65       47
 
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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