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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 07s  Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 2007
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
               (TF
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    43527    71850    94947   114180             50893    84019   111006   133502
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    43527    71850    94947   114180             50893    84019   111006   133502
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    54515    88256   123997   169523             60316    94168   130586   176531
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    66676   115282   167237   234285             72968   122282   175568   243901
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    46963    79052   109227   142151             53401    88854   121863   157357
 MB+           (4.6)    55088    90919   120178   144509             64654   106717   141036   169599
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    43506    71802    94911   114126             50867    83959   110961   133433
 MTR           (2.3)    35116    52726    67105    79063             41250    61852    78660    92650
 LTR           (2.3)    30969    35932    40278    44133             36007    40148    44152    47074
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 2007
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    40018    88928   142286   213112             41524    92278   147644   221138
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    45194   100430   160688   240678             47036   104522   167236   250486
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    46382   103070   164912   247002             48040   106758   170812   255838
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    44924    99830   159726   239234             46614   103588   165742   248244
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    45182   100402   160644   240610             46882   104184   166694   249672
 MB+           (4.6)    44924    99830   159726   239234             46614   103588   165742   248244
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    41200    91558   146492   219412             42822    95160   152256   228046
 MTR           (2.3)    40018    88928   142286   213112             41524    92278   147644   221138
 LTR           (2.3)    28786    63970   102354   153302             29872    66380   106208   159076
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 2007
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)     3509   -17078   -47339   -98932              9369    -8259   -36638   -87636
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    -1667   -28580   -65741  -126498              3857   -20503   -56230  -116984
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)     8133   -14814   -40915   -77479             12276   -12590   -40226   -79307
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    21752    15452     7511    -4949             26354    18694     9826    -4343
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)     1781   -21350   -51417   -98459              6519   -15330   -44831   -92315
 MB+           (4.6)    10164    -8911   -39548   -94725             18040     3129   -24706   -78645
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)     2306   -19756   -51581  -105286              8045   -11201   -41295   -94613
 MTR           (2.3)    -4902   -36202   -75181  -134049              -274   -30426   -68984  -128488
 LTR           (2.3)     2183   -28038   -62076  -109169              6135   -26232   -62056  -112002
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 2007
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      109       81       67       54               123       91       75       60
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)       96       72       59       47               108       80       66       53
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)      118       86       75       69               126       88       76       69
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)      148      115      105       98               157      118      106       98
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)      104       79       68       59               114       85       73       63
 MB+           (4.6)      123       91       75       60               139      103       85       68
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)      106       78       65       52               119       88       73       59
 MTR           (2.3)       88       59       47       37                99       67       53       42
 LTR           (2.3)      108       56       39       29               121       60       42       30
 
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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