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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 19s  Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 2019
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
               (TF
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    44974    74236    98097   117968             52253    86261   113965   137059
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    44974    74236    98097   117968             52253    86261   113965   137059
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    54751    88792   124875   170889             60283    94355   131025   177345
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    67076   116182   168699   236530             73064   122757   176469   245413
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    47599    80097   110726   144269             53682    89369   122669   158607
 MB+           (4.6)    57345    94640   125094   150419             66725   110133   145547   175023
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    44952    74187    98061   117913             52225    86200   113919   136989
 MTR           (2.3)    35395    52977    67333    79272             41233    61703    78403    92303
 LTR           (2.3)    30916    35824    40127    43945             35744    39923    43775    46655
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 2019
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    40248    89440   143104   214354             41740    92754   148408   222296
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    49604   110232   176372   264184             51544   114544   183270   274518
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    44032    97850   156560   234508             45584   101296   162074   242766
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    45182   100404   160646   240630             46856   104124   166600   249546
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    45442   100982   161570   242014             47126   104722   167556   250980
 MB+           (4.6)    45182   100404   160646   240630             46856   104124   166600   249546
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    43456    96568   154508   231436             45168   100372   160596   240554
 MTR           (2.3)    40248    89440   143104   214354             41740    92754   148408   222296
 LTR           (2.3)    28952    64340   102944   154196             30026    66724   106758   159910
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 2019
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)     4726   -15204   -45007   -96386             10513    -6493   -34443   -85237
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    -4630   -35996   -78275  -146216               709   -28283   -69305  -137459
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    10719    -9058   -31685   -63619             14699    -6941   -31049   -65421
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    21894    15778     8053    -4100             26208    18633     9869    -4133
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)     2157   -20885   -50844   -97745              6556   -15353   -44887   -92373
 MB+           (4.6)    12163    -5764   -35552   -90211             19869     6009   -21053   -74523
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)     1496   -22381   -56447  -113523              7057   -14172   -46677  -103565
 MTR           (2.3)    -4853   -36463   -75771  -135082              -507   -31051   -70005  -129993
 LTR           (2.3)     1964   -28516   -62817  -110251              5718   -26801   -62983  -113255
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 2019
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      112       83       69       55               125       93       77       62
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)       91       67       56       45               101       75       62       50
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)      124       91       80       73               132       93       81       73
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)      148      116      105       98               156      118      106       98
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)      105       79       69       60               114       85       73       63
 MB+           (4.6)      127       94       78       63               142      106       87       70
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)      103       77       63       51               116       86       71       57
 MTR           (2.3)       88       59       47       37                99       67       53       42
 LTR           (2.3)      107       56       39       28               119       60       41       29
 
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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