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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 19s  Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 2019
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
               (TF
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    44974    74236    98097   117968             52253    86261   113965   137059
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    44974    74236    98097   117968             52253    86261   113965   137059
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    54751    88792   124875   170889             60283    94355   131025   177345
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    47077    71738    97589   130018             52366    76760   102874   135178
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    44737    73737   100554   129026             50765    82885   112298   143069
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    41102    65660    87630   109670             47066    74666    99145   123370
 MB            (4.2)    44952    74187    98061   117913             52225    86200   113919   136989
 MTR           (2.3)    35395    52977    67333    79272             41233    61703    78403    92303
 LTR           (2.3)    30916    35824    40127    43945             35744    39923    43775    46655
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 2019
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    40248    89440   143104   214354             41740    92754   148408   222296
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    49604   110232   176372   264184             51544   114544   183270   274518
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    45182   100404   160646   240630             46856   104124   166600   249546
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    45182   100404   160646   240630             46856   104124   166600   249546
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    45442   100982   161570   242014             47126   104722   167556   250980
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    45442   100982   161570   242014             47126   104722   167556   250980
 MB            (4.2)    41004    91120   145792   218380             42554    94562   151300   226630
 MTR           (2.3)    40248    89440   143104   214354             41740    92754   148408   222296
 LTR           (2.3)    28952    64340   102944   154196             30026    66724   106758   159910
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 2019
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)     4726   -15204   -45007   -96386             10513    -6493   -34443   -85237
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    -4630   -35996   -78275  -146216               709   -28283   -69305  -137459
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)     9569   -11612   -35771   -69741             13427    -9769   -35575   -72201
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)     1895   -28666   -63057  -110612              5510   -27364   -63726  -114368
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)     -705   -27245   -61016  -112988              3639   -21837   -55258  -107911
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    -4340   -35322   -73940  -132344               -60   -30056   -68411  -127610
 MB            (4.2)     3948   -16933   -47731  -100467              9671    -8362   -37381   -89641
 MTR           (2.3)    -4853   -36463   -75771  -135082              -507   -31051   -70005  -129993
 LTR           (2.3)     1964   -28516   -62817  -110251              5718   -26801   -62983  -113255
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 2019
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      112       83       69       55               125       93       77       62
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)       91       67       56       45               101       75       62       50
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)      121       88       78       71               129       91       79       71
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)      104       71       61       54               112       74       62       54
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)       98       73       62       53               108       79       67       57
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)       90       65       54       45               100       71       59       49
 MB            (4.2)      110       81       67       54               123       91       75       60
 MTR           (2.3)       88       59       47       37                99       67       53       42
 LTR           (2.3)      107       56       39       28               119       60       41       29
    
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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