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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 86s  Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 1986
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
               (TF
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    25128    41475    54812    66223             29739    49092    64865    78368
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    25128    41475    54812    66223             29739    49092    64865    78368
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    28434    45153    61658    81033             32516    50285    68000    88318
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    26490    40834    54747    70619             30467    45733    60717    77344
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    24625    39808    53155    66385             28925    46386    61628    76566
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    23833    38048    50339    62141             28099    44549    58689    72136
 MB            (4.2)    25115    41450    54792    66176             29723    49061    64840    78308
 MTR           (2.3)    21809    33551    43143    51329             25973    39824    51129    60778
 LTR           (2.3)    20527    27581    33543    38765             24183    31769    38373    43782
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 1986
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    27250    60556    96890   146216             28244    62766   100426   151532
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    27562    61248    97996   147872             28596    63546   101674   153402
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    29132    64736   103578   156264             30234    67188   107500   162160
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    29132    64736   103578   156264             30234    67188   107500   162160
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    29230    64956   103930   156792             30340    67420   107874   162720
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    29230    64956   103930   156792             30340    67420   107874   162720
 MB            (4.2)    27250    60556    96890   146216             28244    62766   100426   151532
 MTR           (2.3)    27250    60556    96890   146216             28244    62766   100426   151532
 LTR           (2.3)    22944    50988    81580   123212             23690    52644    84230   127200
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 1986
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    -2122   -19081   -42078   -79993              1495   -13674   -35561   -73164
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    -2434   -19773   -43184   -81649              1143   -14454   -36809   -75034
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)     -698   -19583   -41920   -75231              2282   -16903   -39500   -73842
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    -2642   -23902   -48831   -85645               233   -21455   -46783   -84816
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    -4605   -25148   -50775   -90407             -1415   -21034   -46246   -86154
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    -5397   -26908   -53591   -94651             -2241   -22871   -49185   -90584
 MB            (4.2)    -2135   -19106   -42098   -80040              1479   -13705   -35586   -73224
 MTR           (2.3)    -5441   -27005   -53747   -94887             -2271   -22942   -49297   -90754
 LTR           (2.3)    -2417   -23407   -48037   -84447               493   -20875   -45857   -83418
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 1986
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Single Male Worker                           Single Female Worker
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)       92       68       57       45               105       78       65       52
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)       91       68       56       45               104       77       64       51
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)       98       70       60       52               108       75       63       54
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)       91       63       53       45               101       68       56       48
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)       84       61       51       42                95       69       57       47
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)       82       59       48       40                93       66       54       44
 MB            (4.2)       92       68       57       45               105       78       65       52
 MTR           (2.3)       80       55       45       35                92       63       51       40
 LTR           (2.3)       89       54       41       31               102       60       46       34
 
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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