Description of Proposed Provision:
B4.5: For retired and disabled workers, reduce the maximum number of dropout years to 4 for workers newly eligible in 2021, to 3 for workers newly eligible in 2022, and to 2 for workers newly eligible in 2023 and later.

Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2019 Trustees Report

Summary Measures
Current law
[percent of payroll]
  Change from current law
[percent of payroll]
  Shortfall eliminated
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
  Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
  Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
-2.78 -4.11   0.36 0.50   13% 12%

graph of OASDI cost rates and income rates by year, under
                 current law and provision. click on graph to view underlying
                 data. graph of OASDI trust fund ratio by year, under current law
                 and provision. click on graph to view underlying data.