Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
E2.1: Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2026 and later, and apply full 12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Do not provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2025 | 15.15 | 12.80 | -2.35 | 169 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2026 | 15.29 | 15.44 | 0.15 | 149 | 0.00 | 2.40 | 2.40 | ||
2027 | 15.47 | 15.60 | 0.12 | 146 | -0.00 | 2.51 | 2.51 | ||
2028 | 15.58 | 15.62 | 0.03 | 143 | -0.00 | 2.51 | 2.51 | ||
2029 | 15.69 | 15.64 | -0.04 | 141 | -0.00 | 2.51 | 2.51 | ||
2030 | 15.79 | 15.66 | -0.13 | 138 | -0.00 | 2.50 | 2.51 | ||
2031 | 15.91 | 15.69 | -0.22 | 135 | -0.00 | 2.50 | 2.50 | ||
2032 | 16.00 | 15.70 | -0.30 | 131 | 0.00 | 2.50 | 2.50 | ||
2033 | 15.85 | 15.75 | -0.10 | 130 | -0.22 | 2.50 | 2.72 | ||
2034 | 16.11 | 15.77 | -0.34 | 127 | -0.04 | 2.50 | 2.54 | ||
2035 | 16.19 | 15.78 | -0.42 | 125 | -0.04 | 2.50 | 2.54 | ||
2036 | 16.29 | 15.79 | -0.50 | 122 | -0.04 | 2.50 | 2.54 | ||
2037 | 16.37 | 15.80 | -0.57 | 119 | -0.04 | 2.50 | 2.55 | ||
2038 | 16.44 | 15.81 | -0.64 | 116 | -0.05 | 2.50 | 2.55 | ||
2039 | 16.50 | 15.81 | -0.69 | 113 | -0.05 | 2.50 | 2.56 | ||
2040 | 16.55 | 15.82 | -0.73 | 109 | -0.06 | 2.50 | 2.56 | ||
2041 | 16.58 | 15.82 | -0.76 | 105 | -0.06 | 2.50 | 2.57 | ||
2042 | 16.61 | 15.83 | -0.78 | 102 | -0.07 | 2.50 | 2.57 | ||
2043 | 16.64 | 15.83 | -0.81 | 98 | -0.07 | 2.50 | 2.57 | ||
2044 | 16.67 | 15.84 | -0.83 | 94 | -0.07 | 2.50 | 2.58 | ||
2045 | 16.70 | 15.84 | -0.86 | 89 | -0.08 | 2.50 | 2.58 | ||
2046 | 16.72 | 15.84 | -0.88 | 85 | -0.08 | 2.50 | 2.59 | ||
2047 | 16.75 | 15.85 | -0.90 | 81 | -0.09 | 2.50 | 2.59 | ||
2048 | 16.79 | 15.85 | -0.94 | 76 | -0.09 | 2.51 | 2.59 | ||
2049 | 16.83 | 15.86 | -0.97 | 71 | -0.09 | 2.51 | 2.60 | ||
2050 | 16.88 | 15.86 | -1.01 | 66 | -0.09 | 2.51 | 2.60 | ||
2051 | 16.92 | 15.87 | -1.06 | 60 | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.60 | ||
2052 | 16.98 | 15.87 | -1.11 | 55 | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.61 | ||
2053 | 17.05 | 15.88 | -1.17 | 49 | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.61 | ||
2054 | 17.12 | 15.89 | -1.23 | 42 | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.61 | ||
2055 | 17.20 | 15.89 | -1.30 | 36 | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.61 | ||
2056 | 17.28 | 15.90 | -1.38 | 28 | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.61 | ||
2057 | 17.37 | 15.91 | -1.46 | 21 | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.61 | ||
2058 | 17.47 | 15.92 | -1.55 | 13 | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.61 | ||
2059 | 17.56 | 15.93 | -1.63 | 4 | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.62 | ||
2060 | 17.64 | 15.93 | -1.70 | — | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.62 | ||
2061 | 17.72 | 15.94 | -1.77 | — | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.62 | ||
2062 | 17.79 | 15.95 | -1.84 | — | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.62 | ||
2063 | 17.86 | 15.96 | -1.91 | — | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.61 | ||
2064 | 17.93 | 15.96 | -1.97 | — | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.61 | ||
2065 | 18.00 | 15.97 | -2.03 | — | -0.10 | 2.51 | 2.61 | ||
2066 | 18.07 | 15.97 | -2.10 | — | -0.10 | 2.52 | 2.61 | ||
2067 | 18.14 | 15.98 | -2.16 | — | -0.10 | 2.52 | 2.61 | ||
2068 | 18.21 | 15.99 | -2.22 | — | -0.09 | 2.52 | 2.61 | ||
2069 | 18.29 | 15.99 | -2.29 | — | -0.09 | 2.52 | 2.61 | ||
2070 | 18.36 | 16.00 | -2.36 | — | -0.09 | 2.52 | 2.61 | ||
2071 | 18.44 | 16.01 | -2.43 | — | -0.09 | 2.52 | 2.61 | ||
2072 | 18.51 | 16.01 | -2.50 | — | -0.09 | 2.52 | 2.61 | ||
2073 | 18.58 | 16.02 | -2.56 | — | -0.09 | 2.52 | 2.61 | ||
2074 | 18.65 | 16.03 | -2.63 | — | -0.09 | 2.52 | 2.61 | ||
2075 | 18.72 | 16.03 | -2.68 | — | -0.09 | 2.52 | 2.61 | ||
2076 | 18.77 | 16.04 | -2.73 | — | -0.08 | 2.52 | 2.61 | ||
2077 | 18.81 | 16.04 | -2.77 | — | -0.08 | 2.52 | 2.61 | ||
2078 | 18.84 | 16.05 | -2.80 | — | -0.08 | 2.52 | 2.60 | ||
2079 | 18.86 | 16.05 | -2.82 | — | -0.08 | 2.52 | 2.60 | ||
2080 | 18.88 | 16.05 | -2.82 | — | -0.08 | 2.52 | 2.60 | ||
2081 | 18.88 | 16.05 | -2.83 | — | -0.08 | 2.52 | 2.60 | ||
2082 | 18.87 | 16.05 | -2.82 | — | -0.08 | 2.52 | 2.60 | ||
2083 | 18.86 | 16.05 | -2.80 | — | -0.08 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2084 | 18.83 | 16.05 | -2.78 | — | -0.08 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2085 | 18.79 | 16.05 | -2.74 | — | -0.08 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2086 | 18.75 | 16.05 | -2.70 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2087 | 18.69 | 16.05 | -2.64 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2088 | 18.63 | 16.04 | -2.59 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2089 | 18.57 | 16.04 | -2.53 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2090 | 18.51 | 16.04 | -2.47 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2091 | 18.45 | 16.03 | -2.41 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2092 | 18.39 | 16.03 | -2.36 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2093 | 18.35 | 16.03 | -2.32 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2094 | 18.32 | 16.03 | -2.29 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2095 | 18.29 | 16.03 | -2.26 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2096 | 18.27 | 16.03 | -2.25 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2097 | 18.26 | 16.03 | -2.24 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2098 | 18.26 | 16.03 | -2.23 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2099 | 18.27 | 16.03 | -2.24 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 | ||
2100 | 18.28 | 16.03 | -2.25 | — | -0.07 | 2.53 | 2.60 |
Summarized Estimates
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
2025-2099 | 17.54% | 16.26% | -1.28% | 2059 | -0.07% | 2.48% | 2.55% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2025 Trustees Report.