Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
E2.14: Apply OASDI 12.4 percent payroll tax rate on earnings above $250,000 starting in 2027, and tax all earnings once the current-law taxable maximum exceeds $250,000. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum that are subject to the payroll tax, using a secondary PIA formula. This secondary PIA formula involves: (1) an "AIME+" derived from annual earnings from each year after 2026 that were in excess of that year's current-law taxable maximum; and (2) a formula factor of 2 percent on this newly computed "AIME+".
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2025 | 15.15 | 12.80 | -2.35 | 169 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2026 | 15.29 | 13.03 | -2.25 | 149 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2027 | 15.48 | 15.00 | -0.48 | 131 | 0.00 | 1.91 | 1.91 | ||
2028 | 15.59 | 15.17 | -0.41 | 125 | -0.00 | 2.06 | 2.06 | ||
2029 | 15.69 | 15.27 | -0.42 | 120 | -0.00 | 2.13 | 2.13 | ||
2030 | 15.80 | 15.35 | -0.44 | 115 | -0.00 | 2.20 | 2.20 | ||
2031 | 15.91 | 15.45 | -0.46 | 110 | 0.00 | 2.27 | 2.27 | ||
2032 | 16.01 | 15.55 | -0.46 | 106 | 0.01 | 2.35 | 2.34 | ||
2033 | 15.88 | 15.67 | -0.21 | 103 | -0.19 | 2.43 | 2.62 | ||
2034 | 16.12 | 15.77 | -0.36 | 101 | -0.02 | 2.50 | 2.52 | ||
2035 | 16.21 | 15.78 | -0.43 | 98 | -0.02 | 2.50 | 2.52 | ||
2036 | 16.31 | 15.79 | -0.52 | 95 | -0.02 | 2.50 | 2.52 | ||
2037 | 16.40 | 15.80 | -0.60 | 92 | -0.02 | 2.50 | 2.52 | ||
2038 | 16.47 | 15.81 | -0.66 | 89 | -0.02 | 2.51 | 2.53 | ||
2039 | 16.53 | 15.82 | -0.71 | 85 | -0.02 | 2.51 | 2.53 | ||
2040 | 16.58 | 15.82 | -0.76 | 82 | -0.02 | 2.51 | 2.53 | ||
2041 | 16.62 | 15.83 | -0.79 | 78 | -0.03 | 2.51 | 2.53 | ||
2042 | 16.65 | 15.83 | -0.82 | 73 | -0.03 | 2.51 | 2.53 | ||
2043 | 16.68 | 15.84 | -0.84 | 69 | -0.03 | 2.51 | 2.54 | ||
2044 | 16.71 | 15.84 | -0.87 | 64 | -0.03 | 2.51 | 2.54 | ||
2045 | 16.74 | 15.84 | -0.90 | 60 | -0.03 | 2.51 | 2.54 | ||
2046 | 16.77 | 15.85 | -0.92 | 55 | -0.03 | 2.51 | 2.54 | ||
2047 | 16.81 | 15.85 | -0.95 | 50 | -0.03 | 2.51 | 2.54 | ||
2048 | 16.85 | 15.86 | -0.99 | 45 | -0.03 | 2.51 | 2.54 | ||
2049 | 16.90 | 15.86 | -1.03 | 39 | -0.03 | 2.51 | 2.54 | ||
2050 | 16.95 | 15.87 | -1.08 | 34 | -0.03 | 2.51 | 2.54 | ||
2051 | 17.00 | 15.88 | -1.12 | 28 | -0.02 | 2.51 | 2.54 | ||
2052 | 17.06 | 15.88 | -1.18 | 21 | -0.02 | 2.51 | 2.54 | ||
2053 | 17.13 | 15.89 | -1.24 | 15 | -0.02 | 2.52 | 2.53 | ||
2054 | 17.20 | 15.90 | -1.31 | 8 | -0.02 | 2.52 | 2.53 | ||
2055 | 17.29 | 15.90 | -1.38 | 1 | -0.01 | 2.52 | 2.53 | ||
2056 | 17.38 | 15.91 | -1.46 | — | -0.01 | 2.52 | 2.53 | ||
2057 | 17.47 | 15.92 | -1.55 | — | -0.00 | 2.52 | 2.53 | ||
2058 | 17.57 | 15.93 | -1.64 | — | -0.00 | 2.52 | 2.52 | ||
2059 | 17.66 | 15.94 | -1.73 | — | 0.00 | 2.52 | 2.52 | ||
2060 | 17.75 | 15.95 | -1.80 | — | 0.01 | 2.52 | 2.52 | ||
2061 | 17.83 | 15.95 | -1.88 | — | 0.01 | 2.53 | 2.51 | ||
2062 | 17.91 | 15.96 | -1.95 | — | 0.02 | 2.53 | 2.51 | ||
2063 | 17.99 | 15.97 | -2.02 | — | 0.02 | 2.53 | 2.50 | ||
2064 | 18.06 | 15.98 | -2.08 | — | 0.03 | 2.53 | 2.50 | ||
2065 | 18.13 | 15.98 | -2.15 | — | 0.03 | 2.53 | 2.50 | ||
2066 | 18.21 | 15.99 | -2.22 | — | 0.04 | 2.53 | 2.49 | ||
2067 | 18.28 | 16.00 | -2.28 | — | 0.04 | 2.53 | 2.49 | ||
2068 | 18.36 | 16.00 | -2.35 | — | 0.05 | 2.53 | 2.48 | ||
2069 | 18.44 | 16.01 | -2.42 | — | 0.06 | 2.53 | 2.48 | ||
2070 | 18.52 | 16.02 | -2.50 | — | 0.06 | 2.54 | 2.48 | ||
2071 | 18.59 | 16.03 | -2.57 | — | 0.07 | 2.54 | 2.47 | ||
2072 | 18.67 | 16.03 | -2.64 | — | 0.07 | 2.54 | 2.47 | ||
2073 | 18.75 | 16.04 | -2.71 | — | 0.07 | 2.54 | 2.46 | ||
2074 | 18.82 | 16.05 | -2.77 | — | 0.08 | 2.54 | 2.46 | ||
2075 | 18.88 | 16.05 | -2.83 | — | 0.08 | 2.54 | 2.46 | ||
2076 | 18.94 | 16.06 | -2.88 | — | 0.09 | 2.54 | 2.45 | ||
2077 | 18.98 | 16.06 | -2.92 | — | 0.09 | 2.54 | 2.45 | ||
2078 | 19.02 | 16.07 | -2.95 | — | 0.09 | 2.54 | 2.45 | ||
2079 | 19.04 | 16.07 | -2.97 | — | 0.10 | 2.54 | 2.45 | ||
2080 | 19.05 | 16.07 | -2.98 | — | 0.10 | 2.54 | 2.45 | ||
2081 | 19.06 | 16.07 | -2.99 | — | 0.10 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2082 | 19.05 | 16.08 | -2.98 | — | 0.10 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2083 | 19.04 | 16.08 | -2.96 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2084 | 19.02 | 16.08 | -2.94 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2085 | 18.98 | 16.07 | -2.90 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2086 | 18.93 | 16.07 | -2.86 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2087 | 18.88 | 16.07 | -2.81 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2088 | 18.82 | 16.07 | -2.75 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2089 | 18.75 | 16.06 | -2.69 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2090 | 18.69 | 16.06 | -2.63 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2091 | 18.63 | 16.06 | -2.57 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2092 | 18.58 | 16.05 | -2.52 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2093 | 18.53 | 16.05 | -2.48 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2094 | 18.50 | 16.05 | -2.45 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2095 | 18.47 | 16.05 | -2.42 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2096 | 18.45 | 16.05 | -2.41 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2097 | 18.44 | 16.05 | -2.40 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2098 | 18.44 | 16.05 | -2.39 | — | 0.11 | 2.55 | 2.44 | ||
2099 | 18.45 | 16.05 | -2.40 | — | 0.11 | 2.56 | 2.44 | ||
2100 | 18.47 | 16.05 | -2.42 | — | 0.11 | 2.56 | 2.44 |
Summarized Estimates
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
2025-2099 | 17.64% | 16.20% | -1.44% | 2055 | 0.03% | 2.41% | 2.39% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2025 Trustees Report.