Detailed Single Year Tables

Payroll Taxes (including maximum taxable)

Description of Proposed Provision:
Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2022 and later (phase in by applying a portion of the payroll tax rate to earnings above the current-law taxable maximum: 1.24 percent in 2013; 2.48 percent in 2014; …; 11.16 percent in 2021). Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum (phased in at the same proportion as the payroll tax rate during 2013-2021). Revise the benefit formula by adding a bend point at the current-law taxable maximum and applying a formula factor of 5 percent for AIME above this new bend point.

			Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

	Proposal				Change from Present Law
	Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll			Trust fund ratio as of January 1	Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll
Calendar year	Cost rate	Income rate	Annual balance	Trust fund ratio as of January 1	Cost rate	Income rate	Annual balance
2011	13.35	12.52	-0.82	353	0.00	0.00	0.00
2012	13.23	12.87	-0.36	347	0.00	0.00	0.00
2013	13.18	13.08	-0.10	341	0.00	0.21	0.21
2014	13.18	13.36	0.18	336	0.00	0.45	0.45
2015	13.24	13.62	0.37	332	0.00	0.68	0.68
2016	13.33	13.88	0.55	331	0.00	0.91	0.91
2017	13.46	14.14	0.68	330	0.00	1.14	1.14
2018	13.62	14.41	0.79	330	0.01	1.38	1.37
2019	13.89	14.66	0.77	329	0.01	1.61	1.61
2020	14.21	14.90	0.69	328	0.01	1.84	1.83
2021	14.54	15.15	0.61	327	0.02	2.07	2.05
2022	14.85	15.40	0.55	327	0.02	2.30	2.28
2023	15.15	15.43	0.28	326	0.03	2.32	2.29
2024	15.44	15.45	0.01	326	0.04	2.32	2.28
2025	15.72	15.47	-0.25	324	0.05	2.32	2.28
2026	15.98	15.49	-0.49	321	0.06	2.32	2.27
2027	16.22	15.50	-0.71	318	0.07	2.33	2.26
2028	16.43	15.52	-0.91	314	0.08	2.33	2.25
2029	16.61	15.53	-1.08	309	0.09	2.33	2.24
2030	16.76	15.55	-1.22	304	0.11	2.33	2.23
2031	16.88	15.56	-1.32	298	0.12	2.34	2.22
2032	16.99	15.57	-1.42	292	0.13	2.34	2.21
2033	17.07	15.58	-1.50	286	0.14	2.34	2.20
2034	17.14	15.58	-1.55	280	0.16	2.34	2.19
2035	17.18	15.59	-1.59	274	0.17	2.35	2.18
2036	17.21	15.59	-1.62	268	0.18	2.35	2.17
2037	17.23	15.60	-1.63	261	0.19	2.35	2.16
2038	17.22	15.60	-1.62	255	0.20	2.35	2.15
2039	17.20	15.60	-1.60	249	0.21	2.36	2.14
2040	17.18	15.61	-1.57	243	0.22	2.36	2.13
2041	17.15	15.61	-1.54	238	0.23	2.36	2.13
2042	17.11	15.61	-1.51	232	0.24	2.36	2.12
2043	17.09	15.61	-1.48	227	0.25	2.36	2.11
2044	17.07	15.61	-1.46	221	0.26	2.37	2.11
2045	17.05	15.61	-1.44	216	0.27	2.37	2.10
2046	17.03	15.61	-1.42	211	0.27	2.37	2.10
2047	17.02	15.62	-1.40	205	0.28	2.37	2.09
2048	17.00	15.62	-1.39	200	0.29	2.37	2.09
2049	16.99	15.62	-1.37	195	0.29	2.38	2.09
2050	16.98	15.62	-1.36	190	0.29	2.38	2.08
2051	16.98	15.62	-1.35	184	0.30	2.38	2.08
2052	16.98	15.63	-1.35	179	0.30	2.38	2.08
2053	16.99	15.63	-1.36	173	0.30	2.38	2.08
2054	17.00	15.63	-1.37	168	0.30	2.38	2.08
2055	17.02	15.63	-1.39	162	0.30	2.38	2.08
2056	17.05	15.64	-1.41	156	0.31	2.39	2.08
2057	17.07	15.64	-1.43	150	0.31	2.39	2.08
2058	17.09	15.65	-1.44	143	0.31	2.39	2.08
2059	17.10	15.65	-1.45	137	0.31	2.39	2.08
2060	17.11	15.65	-1.46	130	0.31	2.39	2.08
2061	17.12	15.65	-1.47	123	0.31	2.39	2.08
2062	17.13	15.66	-1.48	117	0.31	2.39	2.08
2063	17.15	15.66	-1.49	110	0.31	2.40	2.09
2064	17.16	15.66	-1.50	103	0.31	2.40	2.09
2065	17.18	15.66	-1.51	95	0.31	2.40	2.09
2066	17.20	15.67	-1.53	88	0.31	2.40	2.09
2067	17.22	15.67	-1.55	80	0.31	2.40	2.09
2068	17.25	15.67	-1.58	72	0.31	2.40	2.09
2069	17.28	15.68	-1.61	64	0.31	2.40	2.09
2070	17.31	15.68	-1.63	56	0.31	2.41	2.09
2071	17.35	15.68	-1.66	47	0.31	2.41	2.09
2072	17.38	15.69	-1.69	39	0.31	2.41	2.10
2073	17.42	15.69	-1.73	30	0.31	2.41	2.10
2074	17.46	15.70	-1.76	20	0.32	2.41	2.10
2075	17.50	15.70	-1.79	11	0.32	2.41	2.10
2076	17.53	15.70	-1.83	1	0.32	2.42	2.10
2077	17.57	15.71	-1.86	----	0.32	2.42	2.10
2078	17.61	15.71	-1.89	----	0.32	2.42	2.10
2079	17.64	15.72	-1.93	----	0.32	2.42	2.10
2080	17.68	15.72	-1.96	----	0.32	2.42	2.10
2081	17.72	15.72	-2.00	----	0.32	2.42	2.10
2082	17.76	15.73	-2.03	----	0.32	2.42	2.10
2083	17.80	15.73	-2.07	----	0.32	2.43	2.10
2084	17.84	15.74	-2.11	----	0.32	2.43	2.10
2085	17.88	15.74	-2.14	----	0.33	2.43	2.10
2086	17.92	15.74	-2.18	----	0.33	2.43	2.10

				Summarized Estimates

	Proposal				Change from Present Law
Years	Cost rate	Income rate	Actuarial balance	Year of exhaustion¹	Cost rate	Income rate	Actuarial balance

Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report.
2011-2085	16.44%	16.12%	-0.32%	2076	0.19%	2.09%	1.90%

¹ Under present law, the year of exhaustion is 2036.


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Detailed Single Year Tables

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

Summarized Estimates