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| Actuarial Publications |   Summary of Provisions That Would Change the Social Security Program | |
| Description of Proposed Provisions: | |
Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report
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| Change from present law | Results with this provision | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long-range actuarial balance | Annual balance in 75th year | Long-range actuarial balance | Annual balance in 75th year | |||
|   | Present Law, Alternative II. |   |   | -2.22 | -4.24 | |
| H1 | Starting in 2012, tax Social Security benefits in a manner similar to private pension income.  
		  Phase out the lower-income thresholds during 2012-2021. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) | 0.28 | 0.17 | -1.94 | -4.07 | |
| H2 | Starting in 2012, tax Social Security benefits in a manner similar to private pension income. 
		  Phase out the lower-income thresholds during 2012-2031. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Warshawsky) | 0.25 | 0.17 | -1.97 | -4.07 | |
| H3 | Tax Reform for Individuals:  Starting in 2013, modify personal income tax by: (a) establishing 
		  two-brackets with marginal rates of 15 and 27 percent separated at $51,000 (CPI indexed); (b) creating 
		  a non-refundable credit for low-income tax filers age 65 and older; and (c) treating  capital gains as 
		  regular income.  Tax all Social Security benefits at the applicable marginal rate (15 or 27 percent) 
		  less a non-refundable credit of 7.5 percent.  Base revenue to OASDHI on the net marginal rates of 7.5 
		  and 19.5 percent, with 40 percent of revenue dedicated to HI. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) | -0.02 | -0.06 | -2.24 | -4.30 | |
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