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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive indexing (30th percentile) of PIA formula factors beginning with individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2016, continuing through 2025, and resuming in 2064: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent formula factors above the 30th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum is reduced by 1.12 percent per year as compared to current law (for the years that progressive indexing applies). Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201313.9512.69-1.26
330
0.000.000.00
201414.0412.83-1.20
315
0.000.000.00
201513.9712.86-1.10
301
0.000.000.00
201613.9112.88-1.03
286
0.000.000.00
201713.8812.90-0.98
271
0.000.000.00
201813.9112.93-0.98
258
-0.010.000.01
201914.0412.95-1.09
245
-0.010.000.01
202014.2312.97-1.27
231
-0.020.000.02
202114.4112.99-1.41
219
-0.040.000.04
202214.6513.02-1.63
205
-0.060.000.05
202314.8913.04-1.85
191
-0.080.000.07
202415.1213.05-2.07
176
-0.10-0.010.10
202515.3413.06-2.28
161
-0.13-0.010.13
202615.5413.08-2.47
146
-0.17-0.010.16
202715.7313.09-2.64
130
-0.20-0.010.19
202815.8913.10-2.80
114
-0.24-0.010.23
202916.0513.11-2.94
98
-0.28-0.010.27
203016.1713.12-3.06
81
-0.32-0.020.30
203116.2713.12-3.15
63
-0.36-0.020.34
203216.3613.13-3.23
44
-0.40-0.020.38
203316.4213.13-3.29
25
-0.43-0.020.41
203416.4713.14-3.33
6
-0.47-0.020.44
203516.4813.14-3.34
----
-0.50-0.030.47
203616.4813.14-3.34
----
-0.53-0.030.50
203716.4613.14-3.32
----
-0.56-0.030.53
203816.4313.14-3.29
----
-0.59-0.030.56
203916.3813.14-3.24
----
-0.61-0.030.58
204016.3313.14-3.19
----
-0.64-0.030.60
204116.2713.14-3.13
----
-0.66-0.030.63
204216.2113.14-3.08
----
-0.68-0.030.65
204316.1613.13-3.03
----
-0.70-0.040.66
204416.1213.13-2.99
----
-0.72-0.040.68
204516.0913.13-2.96
----
-0.74-0.040.70
204616.0613.13-2.93
----
-0.76-0.040.72
204716.0413.13-2.91
----
-0.77-0.040.73
204816.0113.13-2.88
----
-0.78-0.040.74
204915.9913.13-2.86
----
-0.80-0.040.76
205015.9813.13-2.85
----
-0.81-0.040.77
205115.9813.13-2.85
----
-0.82-0.040.77
205215.9913.13-2.86
----
-0.82-0.040.78
205316.0113.13-2.87
----
-0.83-0.040.79
205416.0313.13-2.90
----
-0.84-0.040.79
205516.0713.14-2.93
----
-0.84-0.040.80
205616.1113.14-2.97
----
-0.85-0.040.80
205716.1513.14-3.01
----
-0.85-0.040.81
205816.1913.15-3.05
----
-0.86-0.040.81
205916.2413.15-3.09
----
-0.86-0.040.81
206016.2813.15-3.13
----
-0.86-0.040.82
206116.3213.15-3.17
----
-0.86-0.040.82
206216.3613.16-3.20
----
-0.87-0.040.82
206316.4013.16-3.24
----
-0.87-0.040.83
206416.4413.16-3.28
----
-0.87-0.040.83
206516.4813.16-3.32
----
-0.88-0.050.83
206616.5213.17-3.36
----
-0.88-0.050.84
206716.5613.17-3.39
----
-0.89-0.050.84
206816.6013.17-3.43
----
-0.90-0.050.85
206916.6313.17-3.46
----
-0.91-0.050.86
207016.6613.17-3.49
----
-0.92-0.050.87
207116.6813.18-3.51
----
-0.94-0.050.89
207216.7013.18-3.52
----
-0.96-0.050.91
207316.7013.18-3.52
----
-0.99-0.050.93
207416.6913.18-3.52
----
-1.01-0.050.96
207516.6813.18-3.50
----
-1.04-0.050.99
207616.6513.18-3.48
----
-1.08-0.061.02
207716.6313.17-3.45
----
-1.11-0.061.05
207816.5913.17-3.42
----
-1.15-0.061.09
207916.5613.17-3.39
----
-1.19-0.061.13
208016.5213.17-3.35
----
-1.24-0.061.17
208116.4913.17-3.33
----
-1.28-0.071.22
208216.4613.17-3.30
----
-1.34-0.071.27
208316.4413.16-3.28
----
-1.39-0.071.32
208416.4213.16-3.26
----
-1.45-0.081.38
208516.4013.16-3.24
----
-1.51-0.081.44
208616.3813.16-3.22
----
-1.58-0.081.50
208716.3713.16-3.20
----
-1.65-0.091.56
208816.3513.16-3.19
----
-1.72-0.091.63



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2013 Trustees Report.
2013-2087 15.98% 13.85% -2.13%
2034
-0.61% -0.03% 0.58%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.

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Last reviewed or modified September 11, 2013