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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2015, use a modified primary insurance amount (PIA) formula. The modified formula: (1) increases the first bend point to the equivalent of $800 in 2009; (2) places a new bend point 75 percent of the way between the reset first bend point and the current-law second bend point; (3) lowers the PIA factor between the new bend point and the upper bend point from 32 percent to 20 percent; and (4) lowers the factor above the upper bend point from 15 percent to 10 percent.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201413.9512.67-1.29
320
0.000.000.00
201513.9712.92-1.05
306
0.000.000.00
201613.9612.89-1.07
292
-0.010.000.01
201713.9612.91-1.05
278
-0.010.000.01
201814.0012.93-1.07
263
-0.020.000.02
201914.1212.94-1.17
249
-0.030.000.03
202014.2812.96-1.33
234
-0.040.000.04
202114.4412.98-1.46
220
-0.060.000.06
202214.6613.01-1.65
206
-0.080.000.07
202314.9113.03-1.88
190
-0.100.000.09
202415.1613.05-2.12
174
-0.11-0.010.11
202515.4113.06-2.35
158
-0.13-0.010.12
202615.6413.08-2.56
142
-0.15-0.010.14
202715.8613.10-2.77
125
-0.16-0.010.15
202816.0713.11-2.96
108
-0.18-0.010.17
202916.2513.12-3.12
90
-0.19-0.010.18
203016.4013.14-3.27
72
-0.20-0.010.19
203116.5313.15-3.39
53
-0.21-0.010.20
203216.6413.15-3.49
33
-0.22-0.010.21
203316.7213.16-3.56
13
-0.23-0.010.22
203416.7913.17-3.62
----
-0.24-0.010.23
203516.8413.17-3.67
----
-0.25-0.010.24
203616.8713.18-3.69
----
-0.26-0.010.24
203716.8813.18-3.70
----
-0.26-0.010.25
203816.8713.18-3.69
----
-0.27-0.010.26
203916.8413.18-3.66
----
-0.28-0.010.26
204016.8113.18-3.62
----
-0.28-0.020.27
204116.7713.18-3.58
----
-0.28-0.020.27
204216.7213.18-3.54
----
-0.29-0.020.27
204316.6913.18-3.51
----
-0.29-0.020.27
204416.6613.18-3.48
----
-0.29-0.020.28
204516.6513.18-3.47
----
-0.29-0.020.28
204616.6313.18-3.45
----
-0.30-0.020.28
204716.6213.18-3.44
----
-0.30-0.020.28
204816.6113.18-3.42
----
-0.30-0.020.28
204916.6013.18-3.41
----
-0.30-0.020.28
205016.6013.19-3.41
----
-0.29-0.020.28
205116.6013.19-3.42
----
-0.29-0.020.28
205216.6213.19-3.43
----
-0.29-0.020.28
205316.6513.19-3.46
----
-0.29-0.020.28
205416.6813.19-3.49
----
-0.29-0.020.27
205516.7213.20-3.53
----
-0.29-0.020.27
205616.7713.20-3.57
----
-0.29-0.020.27
205716.8213.20-3.62
----
-0.29-0.020.27
205816.8713.21-3.66
----
-0.29-0.020.27
205916.9213.21-3.71
----
-0.29-0.020.28
206016.9713.21-3.75
----
-0.29-0.020.28
206117.0113.22-3.80
----
-0.29-0.020.28
206217.0613.22-3.84
----
-0.29-0.020.28
206317.1113.22-3.88
----
-0.29-0.020.28
206417.1513.23-3.93
----
-0.29-0.020.28
206517.2013.23-3.97
----
-0.30-0.020.28
206617.2513.23-4.02
----
-0.30-0.020.28
206717.3013.24-4.06
----
-0.30-0.020.28
206817.3513.24-4.11
----
-0.30-0.020.28
206917.3913.24-4.15
----
-0.30-0.020.28
207017.4413.24-4.19
----
-0.30-0.020.28
207117.4813.25-4.23
----
-0.30-0.020.29
207217.5113.25-4.26
----
-0.30-0.020.29
207317.5413.25-4.29
----
-0.30-0.020.29
207417.5613.25-4.31
----
-0.30-0.020.29
207517.5813.25-4.32
----
-0.30-0.020.29
207617.5913.26-4.33
----
-0.31-0.020.29
207717.5913.26-4.33
----
-0.31-0.020.29
207817.5913.26-4.33
----
-0.31-0.020.29
207917.5913.26-4.33
----
-0.31-0.020.29
208017.6013.26-4.34
----
-0.31-0.020.29
208117.6113.26-4.35
----
-0.31-0.020.29
208217.6313.26-4.37
----
-0.31-0.020.29
208317.6613.26-4.40
----
-0.31-0.020.29
208417.6913.26-4.43
----
-0.31-0.020.29
208517.7313.26-4.47
----
-0.31-0.020.29
208617.7813.27-4.51
----
-0.31-0.020.29
208717.8313.27-4.56
----
-0.31-0.020.29
208817.8813.27-4.61
----
-0.31-0.020.30
208917.9313.28-4.65
----
-0.31-0.020.30



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report.
2014-2088 16.54% 13.88% -2.66%
2033
-0.23% -0.01% 0.22%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.

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Last reviewed or modified September 18, 2014