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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive price indexing (50th percentile) of PIA factors for individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2019 through 2058: Create a new bend point at the 50th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 50th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 50th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in the SSA average wage index. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201413.9512.67-1.29
320
0.000.000.00
201513.9712.92-1.05
306
0.000.000.00
201613.9712.89-1.08
292
0.000.000.00
201713.9712.91-1.06
277
0.000.000.00
201814.0212.93-1.08
262
0.000.000.00
201914.1512.95-1.20
248
0.000.000.00
202014.3312.96-1.37
233
0.000.000.00
202114.4912.98-1.51
219
-0.010.000.01
202214.7213.01-1.71
204
-0.020.000.02
202314.9813.03-1.95
188
-0.030.000.03
202415.2313.05-2.18
172
-0.040.000.04
202515.4813.07-2.41
155
-0.060.000.06
202615.7113.08-2.62
139
-0.080.000.08
202715.9213.10-2.82
122
-0.11-0.010.10
202816.1113.11-2.99
104
-0.14-0.010.13
202916.2713.13-3.14
87
-0.17-0.010.16
203016.4013.14-3.26
68
-0.20-0.010.19
203116.5113.15-3.36
49
-0.24-0.010.23
203216.5913.15-3.43
30
-0.28-0.010.26
203316.6413.16-3.48
10
-0.32-0.020.30
203416.6813.16-3.51
----
-0.36-0.020.34
203516.6913.17-3.52
----
-0.40-0.020.38
203616.6813.17-3.52
----
-0.44-0.020.42
203716.6613.17-3.49
----
-0.49-0.030.46
203816.6113.17-3.44
----
-0.53-0.030.50
203916.5413.17-3.37
----
-0.58-0.030.55
204016.4713.17-3.30
----
-0.62-0.030.59
204116.3813.16-3.22
----
-0.67-0.030.63
204216.3013.16-3.14
----
-0.72-0.040.68
204316.2113.16-3.06
----
-0.77-0.040.73
204416.1413.15-2.98
----
-0.82-0.040.77
204516.0713.15-2.92
----
-0.87-0.050.82
204616.0113.15-2.86
----
-0.92-0.050.87
204715.9413.15-2.79
----
-0.98-0.050.92
204815.8713.15-2.73
----
-1.03-0.050.98
204915.8113.14-2.67
----
-1.08-0.061.03
205015.7513.14-2.61
----
-1.14-0.061.08
205115.7113.14-2.57
----
-1.19-0.061.13
205215.6713.14-2.53
----
-1.24-0.071.18
205315.6413.14-2.50
----
-1.30-0.071.23
205415.6213.14-2.48
----
-1.35-0.071.28
205515.6013.14-2.47
----
-1.41-0.071.33
205615.6013.14-2.46
----
-1.46-0.081.39
205715.5913.14-2.45
----
-1.52-0.081.44
205815.5913.14-2.45
----
-1.57-0.081.49
205915.5813.14-2.44
----
-1.63-0.091.54
206015.5813.14-2.44
----
-1.68-0.091.59
206115.5813.14-2.43
----
-1.73-0.091.64
206215.5713.14-2.43
----
-1.78-0.101.69
206315.5713.14-2.43
----
-1.83-0.101.73
206415.5713.14-2.43
----
-1.88-0.101.78
206515.5813.14-2.43
----
-1.92-0.101.82
206615.5813.14-2.44
----
-1.96-0.111.86
206715.5913.15-2.45
----
-2.00-0.111.90
206815.6013.15-2.46
----
-2.04-0.111.93
206915.6113.15-2.47
----
-2.08-0.111.97
207015.6313.15-2.48
----
-2.11-0.112.00
207115.6413.15-2.49
----
-2.15-0.122.03
207215.6413.15-2.49
----
-2.17-0.122.06
207315.6413.15-2.49
----
-2.20-0.122.08
207415.6413.15-2.49
----
-2.23-0.122.11
207515.6413.15-2.48
----
-2.25-0.122.13
207615.6313.15-2.48
----
-2.27-0.122.14
207715.6113.15-2.46
----
-2.28-0.122.16
207815.6013.15-2.45
----
-2.29-0.122.17
207915.5913.15-2.44
----
-2.31-0.122.18
208015.5813.15-2.44
----
-2.32-0.122.19
208115.5913.15-2.44
----
-2.33-0.132.20
208215.6013.15-2.45
----
-2.34-0.132.21
208315.6113.15-2.46
----
-2.35-0.132.22
208415.6413.15-2.49
----
-2.36-0.132.23
208515.6713.15-2.52
----
-2.37-0.132.25
208615.7013.16-2.55
----
-2.38-0.132.26
208715.7413.16-2.59
----
-2.40-0.132.27
208815.7813.16-2.62
----
-2.41-0.132.28
208915.8313.16-2.66
----
-2.42-0.132.29



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report.
2014-2088 15.77% 13.84% -1.93%
2033
-1.00% -0.05% 0.95%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.

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Last reviewed or modified September 18, 2014