Short-Range Actuarial Projections |
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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos and Richard B. Tucker | |||||
|
Year
|
15-19
|
20-24
|
25-29
|
30-34
|
35-39
|
40-44
|
45-49
|
50-54
|
55-59
|
60-64
|
65-NRA 1
|
Total
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Male
|
||||||||||||
|
1980
|
3,586.3
|
9,606.5
|
9,218.0
|
8,068.2
|
6,347.7
|
5,238.3
|
4,733.3
|
4,832.9
|
4,672.1
|
3,836.7
|
...
|
60,140.0
|
|
1985
|
2,219.2
|
8,649.9
|
9,951.9
|
9,168.8
|
8,104.8
|
6,318.9
|
5,124.3
|
4,560.7
|
4,569.9
|
4,227.2
|
...
|
62,895.6
|
|
1990
|
2,424.3
|
8,038.6
|
9,748.6
|
9,909.4
|
9,156.8
|
8,069.7
|
6,175.3
|
4,941.1
|
4,318.5
|
4,115.6
|
...
|
66,897.9
|
|
1995
|
1,956.9
|
7,079.0
|
8,774.2
|
9,971.0
|
10,186.0
|
9,243.9
|
8,019.6
|
6,053.5
|
4,737.4
|
3,957.2
|
...
|
69,978.7
|
|
1996
|
2,067.5
|
6,948.3
|
8,746.8
|
9,719.5
|
10,272.1
|
9,509.0
|
8,251.5
|
6,434.9
|
4,862.9
|
4,002.7
|
...
|
70,815.2
|
|
1997
|
2,146.1
|
6,996.1
|
8,655.7
|
9,444.3
|
10,303.0
|
9,724.1
|
8,342.9
|
6,847.6
|
5,152.2
|
4,046.5
|
...
|
71,658.5
|
|
1998
|
2,278.6
|
7,117.2
|
8,515.8
|
9,186.0
|
10,341.6
|
9,891.7
|
8,548.7
|
7,149.0
|
5,444.2
|
4,138.1
|
...
|
72,610.9
|
|
1999
|
2,400.9
|
7,275.2
|
8,349.0
|
9,005.6
|
10,321.0
|
10,031.4
|
8,846.0
|
7,502.6
|
5,659.8
|
4,254.3
|
...
|
73,645.8
|
|
2000
|
2,435.1
|
7,539.5
|
8,134.0
|
9,074.9
|
10,170.0
|
10,230.4
|
9,166.8
|
7,892.0
|
5,844.1
|
4,360.1
|
...
|
74,846.9
|
|
2001
|
2,366.2
|
7,668.8
|
7,973.2
|
9,063.9
|
9,966.1
|
10,316.8
|
9,433.8
|
8,122.5
|
6,197.0
|
4,494.8
|
...
|
75,603.1
|
|
2002
|
2,112.6
|
7,635.7
|
7,951.7
|
8,962.7
|
9,693.8
|
10,361.3
|
9,646.9
|
8,215.6
|
6,604.3
|
4,752.7
|
...
|
75,937.3
|
|
2003
|
2,100.9
|
7,717.3
|
8,096.6
|
8,852.0
|
9,501.1
|
10,370.6
|
9,830.2
|
8,404.2
|
6,843.0
|
4,940.0
|
139.5
|
76,795.2
|
|
2004
|
2,092.6
|
7,694.8
|
8,293.4
|
8,671.2
|
9,372.0
|
10,310.2
|
9,975.7
|
8,665.8
|
7,195.0
|
5,112.5
|
284.7
|
77,668.0
|
|
2005
|
2,106.2
|
7,611.1
|
8,529.4
|
8,464.2
|
9,329.2
|
10,152.8
|
10,083.8
|
8,934.0
|
7,517.1
|
5,342.3
|
438.9
|
78,508.9
|
|
2006
|
2,155.1
|
7,522.1
|
8,752.1
|
8,332.4
|
9,315.3
|
9,935.7
|
10,151.1
|
9,191.6
|
7,705.6
|
5,620.8
|
620.0
|
79,301.9
|
|
2007
|
2,218.7
|
7,475.3
|
8,904.8
|
8,330.1
|
9,249.8
|
9,673.3
|
10,168.5
|
9,432.7
|
7,846.8
|
5,927.8
|
824.9
|
80,052.7
|
|
2008
|
2,288.7
|
7,486.7
|
8,957.2
|
8,428.0
|
9,121.0
|
9,462.5
|
10,163.5
|
9,632.0
|
8,043.6
|
6,225.6
|
1,017.9
|
80,826.7
|
|
2009
|
2,341.6
|
7,560.4
|
8,908.1
|
8,596.9
|
8,915.8
|
9,324.1
|
10,103.2
|
9,794.1
|
8,281.9
|
6,545.4
|
1,026.1
|
81,397.5
|
|
2010
|
2,355.9
|
7,690.5
|
8,806.0
|
8,805.0
|
8,699.4
|
9,269.2
|
9,961.4
|
9,925.7
|
8,518.2
|
6,831.7
|
1,074.8
|
81,937.7
|
|
2011
|
2,348.8
|
7,851.8
|
8,706.1
|
9,015.1
|
8,570.3
|
9,251.1
|
9,749.2
|
10,018.1
|
8,743.2
|
6,978.1
|
1,196.4
|
82,428.1
|
|
2012
|
2,337.2
|
8,021.9
|
8,640.9
|
9,169.4
|
8,588.5
|
9,185.3
|
9,506.5
|
10,065.1
|
8,949.4
|
7,101.5
|
1,283.8
|
82,849.6
|
|
2013
|
2,331.3
|
8,134.9
|
8,646.6
|
9,246.1
|
8,715.1
|
9,049.7
|
9,293.0
|
10,082.9
|
9,131.1
|
7,259.5
|
1,295.6
|
83,185.8
|
|
2014
|
2,323.5
|
8,163.6
|
8,747.8
|
9,262.7
|
8,907.0
|
8,872.8
|
9,154.2
|
10,047.5
|
9,282.0
|
7,467.2
|
1,324.4
|
83,552.6
|
|
Female
|
||||||||||||
|
1980
|
2,754.8
|
7,803.8
|
6,885.5
|
4,928.5
|
3,440.6
|
3,028.4
|
2,894.2
|
3,055.0
|
2,997.1
|
2,400.8
|
...
|
40,188.7
|
|
1985
|
1,886.2
|
7,218.4
|
8,024.5
|
6,681.7
|
5,578.2
|
4,341.7
|
3,622.2
|
3,219.4
|
3,192.7
|
2,911.1
|
...
|
46,676.1
|
|
1990
|
2,116.3
|
6,984.4
|
8,205.6
|
7,781.7
|
6,941.8
|
6,269.2
|
4,815.6
|
3,817.6
|
3,250.2
|
3,000.3
|
...
|
53,182.7
|
|
1995
|
1,806.4
|
6,295.2
|
7,634.5
|
8,097.1
|
8,105.0
|
7,543.5
|
6,803.3
|
5,041.8
|
3,833.6
|
3,093.7
|
...
|
58,254.1
|
|
1996
|
1,953.2
|
6,258.1
|
7,693.0
|
7,945.8
|
8,234.4
|
7,768.9
|
7,076.9
|
5,404.3
|
4,026.0
|
3,139.4
|
...
|
59,500.0
|
|
1997
|
2,026.4
|
6,412.2
|
7,651.1
|
7,779.8
|
8,331.7
|
7,974.5
|
7,209.6
|
5,816.3
|
4,298.4
|
3,195.8
|
...
|
60,695.8
|
|
1998
|
2,160.6
|
6,594.6
|
7,634.8
|
7,653.5
|
8,375.8
|
8,189.8
|
7,415.3
|
6,138.7
|
4,555.4
|
3,324.1
|
...
|
62,042.6
|
|
1999
|
2,266.3
|
6,813.3
|
7,555.5
|
7,632.5
|
8,408.1
|
8,351.4
|
7,679.0
|
6,522.7
|
4,776.9
|
3,429.1
|
...
|
63,434.8
|
|
2000
|
2,307.2
|
7,049.0
|
7,398.3
|
7,650.5
|
8,336.1
|
8,535.4
|
7,920.0
|
6,957.7
|
4,954.2
|
3,581.0
|
...
|
64,689.4
|
|
2001
|
2,260.2
|
7,214.7
|
7,293.8
|
7,754.5
|
8,192.7
|
8,668.4
|
8,166.4
|
7,223.3
|
5,300.1
|
3,748.2
|
...
|
65,822.3
|
|
2002
|
2,043.5
|
7,173.1
|
7,367.1
|
7,723.6
|
8,017.0
|
8,764.3
|
8,363.3
|
7,357.2
|
5,716.4
|
3,989.8
|
...
|
66,515.3
|
|
2003
|
1,972.8
|
7,027.6
|
7,372.5
|
7,660.1
|
7,891.3
|
8,794.3
|
8,565.5
|
7,570.5
|
6,036.9
|
4,204.8
|
118.4
|
67,214.6
|
|
2004
|
1,982.7
|
6,998.4
|
7,555.1
|
7,571.9
|
7,855.4
|
8,820.6
|
8,778.6
|
7,859.3
|
6,410.0
|
4,404.9
|
243.8
|
68,480.7
|
|
2005
|
1,998.1
|
6,951.7
|
7,778.1
|
7,464.6
|
7,905.7
|
8,728.2
|
8,938.1
|
8,120.6
|
6,780.3
|
4,619.2
|
375.1
|
69,659.5
|
|
2006
|
2,040.2
|
6,916.2
|
7,978.5
|
7,399.7
|
7,973.8
|
8,566.7
|
9,060.4
|
8,384.6
|
7,042.7
|
4,897.4
|
528.9
|
70,789.2
|
|
2007
|
2,093.6
|
6,934.7
|
8,088.0
|
7,439.6
|
8,003.8
|
8,390.2
|
9,122.5
|
8,636.6
|
7,263.1
|
5,212.0
|
699.3
|
71,883.1
|
|
2008
|
2,154.6
|
7,005.5
|
8,114.1
|
7,558.7
|
7,946.8
|
8,239.5
|
9,168.1
|
8,847.8
|
7,516.0
|
5,523.7
|
863.1
|
72,937.9
|
|
2009
|
2,202.6
|
7,105.6
|
8,073.5
|
7,749.3
|
7,830.1
|
8,164.8
|
9,158.2
|
9,039.7
|
7,799.9
|
5,850.6
|
870.3
|
73,844.6
|
|
2010
|
2,216.4
|
7,228.9
|
8,007.2
|
7,973.0
|
7,685.5
|
8,190.0
|
9,042.2
|
9,217.4
|
8,066.1
|
6,155.5
|
915.5
|
74,697.6
|
|
2011
|
2,208.5
|
7,375.9
|
7,962.6
|
8,175.6
|
7,604.4
|
8,252.7
|
8,851.4
|
9,344.1
|
8,327.8
|
6,371.2
|
1,025.9
|
75,499.9
|
|
2012
|
2,195.0
|
7,532.9
|
7,969.7
|
8,305.5
|
7,607.0
|
8,267.5
|
8,654.5
|
9,407.2
|
8,571.6
|
6,547.2
|
1,114.2
|
76,172.2
|
|
2013
|
2,186.1
|
7,639.1
|
8,037.3
|
8,363.3
|
7,711.9
|
8,202.8
|
8,489.2
|
9,448.9
|
8,787.3
|
6,761.0
|
1,136.7
|
76,763.4
|
|
2014
|
2,177.3
|
7,674.2
|
8,174.7
|
8,389.2
|
7,878.6
|
8,067.4
|
8,396.9
|
9,433.0
|
8,986.0
|
6,981.0
|
1,169.0
|
77,327.1
|
|
Total
|
||||||||||||
|
1980
|
6,341.1
|
17,410.3
|
16,103.5
|
12,996.7
|
9,788.3
|
8,266.7
|
7,627.5
|
7,887.9
|
7,669.2
|
6,237.5
|
...
|
100,328.7
|
|
1985
|
4,105.4
|
15,868.3
|
17,976.4
|
15,850.5
|
13,683.0
|
10,660.6
|
8,746.5
|
7,780.1
|
7,762.6
|
7,138.3
|
...
|
109,571.7
|
|
1990
|
4,540.6
|
15,023.0
|
17,954.2
|
17,691.1
|
16,098.6
|
14,338.9
|
10,990.9
|
8,758.7
|
7,568.7
|
7,115.9
|
...
|
120,080.6
|
|
1995
|
3,763.3
|
13,374.2
|
16,408.7
|
18,068.1
|
18,291.0
|
16,787.4
|
14,822.9
|
11,095.3
|
8,571.0
|
7,050.9
|
...
|
128,232.8
|
|
1996
|
4,020.7
|
13,206.4
|
16,439.8
|
17,665.3
|
18,506.5
|
17,277.9
|
15,328.4
|
11,839.2
|
8,888.9
|
7,142.1
|
...
|
130,315.2
|
|
1997
|
4,172.5
|
13,408.3
|
16,306.8
|
17,224.1
|
18,634.7
|
17,698.6
|
15,552.5
|
12,663.9
|
9,450.6
|
7,242.3
|
...
|
132,354.3
|
|
1998
|
4,439.2
|
13,711.8
|
16,150.6
|
16,839.5
|
18,717.4
|
18,081.5
|
15,964.0
|
13,287.7
|
9,999.6
|
7,462.2
|
...
|
134,653.5
|
|
1999
|
4,667.2
|
14,088.5
|
15,904.5
|
16,638.1
|
18,729.1
|
18,382.8
|
16,525.0
|
14,025.3
|
10,436.7
|
7,683.4
|
...
|
137,080.6
|
|
2000
|
4,742.3
|
14,588.5
|
15,532.3
|
16,725.4
|
18,506.1
|
18,765.8
|
17,086.8
|
14,849.7
|
10,798.3
|
7,941.1
|
...
|
139,536.3
|
|
2001
|
4,626.4
|
14,883.5
|
15,267.0
|
16,818.4
|
18,158.8
|
18,985.2
|
17,600.2
|
15,345.8
|
11,497.1
|
8,243.0
|
...
|
141,425.4
|
|
2002
|
4,156.1
|
14,808.8
|
15,318.8
|
16,686.3
|
17,710.8
|
19,125.6
|
18,010.2
|
15,572.8
|
12,320.7
|
8,742.5
|
...
|
142,452.6
|
|
2003
|
4,073.7
|
14,744.9
|
15,469.1
|
16,512.0
|
17,392.4
|
19,164.9
|
18,395.7
|
15,974.7
|
12,879.9
|
9,144.8
|
257.9
|
144,009.8
|
|
2004
|
4,075.3
|
14,693.2
|
15,848.5
|
16,243.2
|
17,227.5
|
19,130.8
|
18,754.3
|
16,525.1
|
13,605.0
|
9,517.4
|
528.5
|
146,148.7
|
|
2005
|
4,104.2
|
14,562.8
|
16,307.4
|
15,928.8
|
17,234.9
|
18,881.0
|
19,021.9
|
17,054.6
|
14,297.4
|
9,961.5
|
814.0
|
148,168.4
|
|
2006
|
4,195.3
|
14,438.3
|
16,730.7
|
15,732.0
|
17,289.1
|
18,502.4
|
19,211.5
|
17,576.2
|
14,748.3
|
10,518.3
|
1,149.0
|
150,091.0
|
|
2007
|
4,312.3
|
14,410.0
|
16,992.7
|
15,769.6
|
17,253.6
|
18,063.5
|
19,291.1
|
18,069.3
|
15,109.9
|
11,139.7
|
1,524.2
|
151,935.8
|
|
2008
|
4,443.3
|
14,492.2
|
17,071.3
|
15,986.7
|
17,067.8
|
17,701.9
|
19,331.6
|
18,479.8
|
15,559.6
|
11,749.3
|
1,881.0
|
153,764.5
|
|
2009
|
4,544.1
|
14,666.0
|
16,981.6
|
16,346.2
|
16,745.8
|
17,489.0
|
19,261.5
|
18,833.8
|
16,081.8
|
12,396.0
|
1,896.4
|
155,242.1
|
|
2010
|
4,572.3
|
14,919.4
|
16,813.1
|
16,778.0
|
16,384.9
|
17,459.2
|
19,003.6
|
19,143.1
|
16,584.3
|
12,987.2
|
1,990.3
|
156,635.3
|
|
2011
|
4,557.4
|
15,227.6
|
16,668.7
|
17,190.6
|
16,174.6
|
17,503.8
|
18,600.6
|
19,362.2
|
17,071.0
|
13,349.2
|
2,222.3
|
157,928.0
|
|
2012
|
4,532.2
|
15,554.8
|
16,610.6
|
17,474.9
|
16,195.6
|
17,452.8
|
18,161.1
|
19,472.3
|
17,521.0
|
13,648.7
|
2,398.0
|
159,021.8
|
|
2013
|
4,517.4
|
15,774.0
|
16,683.9
|
17,609.4
|
16,427.0
|
17,252.5
|
17,782.1
|
19,531.9
|
17,918.4
|
14,020.5
|
2,432.3
|
159,949.2
|
|
2014
|
4,500.8
|
15,837.8
|
16,922.5
|
17,651.9
|
16,785.5
|
16,940.2
|
17,551.0
|
19,480.5
|
18,267.9
|
14,448.2
|
2,493.4
|
160,879.7
|
| 1See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age—NRA." |
Sources:
Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.