Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

IV.3.—FICA, SECA, and State Deposit Revenue to the DI Trust Fund
(Calendar years 1980-2004, and calendar quarters 2005-14)
[In millions]
Calendar
period
FICA
SECA
State deposits
Adjustments
Refunds
Total
Tax receipts
Credit 1
Tax receipts
Credit 1
Tax receipts
Credit 1
1980
$10,932.0
...
$716.0
...
$1,576.0
...
$93.7
-$63.0
$13,254.7
1981
14,334.0
...
657.0
...
1,579.0
...
215.1
-47.0
16,738.1
1982
19,112.0
...
916.0
...
2,185.0
...
-186.9
-31.0
21,995.1
1983
15,291.0
...
872.0
...
1,819.0
...
-383.0
-52.8
17,546.2
1984
13,244.0
$344.0
746.0
$60.0
1,539.0
$38.0
-79.3
-38.8
15,852.9
1985
14,379.0
6.3
757.0
170.0
1,693.0
3.0
199.8
-49.0
17,159.1
1986
15,448.0
6.3
831.0
145.6
1,848.0
-.2
142.8
-53.0
18,368.5
1987
18,313.0
.5
940.0
152.3
235.0
-.1
58.0
-28.6
19,670.1
1988
20,704.0
.2
1,191.0
201.7
4.0
...
-40.7
-48.5
22,011.7
1989
22,580.0
.1
1,309.0
195.7
1.0
.2
-44.9
-77.0
23,964.1
1990
27,193.0
.1
1,600.0
136.1
-4.0
...
-359.1
-75.8
28,490.3
1991
27,598.0
...
1,908.0
9.2
-2.7
...
-346.0
-66.1
29,100.4
1992
28,614.0
...
1,931.0
-11.7
-.1
-.2
-358.6
-73.4
30,101.0
1993
29,919.0
...
1,833.0
3.8
.4
...
-552.5
-51.3
31,152.4
1994
35,960.0
...
2,477.0
.6
...
...
12,965.2
-79.9
51,322.9
1995
51,649.0
...
3,269.0
-3.7
.1
...
-444.2
-119.4
54,350.8
1996
54,289.0
...
3,326.0
.1
-6.2
...
-191.3
-139.4
57,278.2
1997
52,781.0
...
3,315.0
.1
.5
...
65.2
-158.0
56,003.8
1998
56,085.0
...
3,257.0
.1
-.5
...
-121.6
-292.8
58,927.2
1999
59,546.0
...
3,386.0
...
1.8
...
438.7
-205.6
63,166.9
2000
67,542.0
...
3,700.0
.1
2.5
...
117.8
-270.4
71,092.0
2001
71,067.0
...
3,932.0
.1
...
...
379.2
-446.5
74,931.8
2002
73,519.0
...
4,045.0
.1
...
...
-139.9
-152.2
77,272.0
2003
74,964.0
...
4,092.0
...
...
...
-1,368.3
-246.0
77,441.7
2004
76,841.0
...
4,516.0
...
...
...
-978.7
-202.2
80,176.1
2005-I
20,565.0
...
928.0
...
...
...
-100.2
...
21,392.8
2005-II
20,805.0
...
2,636.0
...
...
...
183.8
...
23,624.8
2005-III
19,802.0
...
878.0
...
...
...
-160.4
-260.0
20,259.6
2005-IV
19,127.0
...
104.0
...
...
...
-185.9
...
19,045.1
2006-I
22,080.0
...
975.0
...
...
...
88.2
...
23,143.2
2006-II
22,121.0
...
2,767.0
...
...
...
372.3
...
25,260.3
2006-III
20,619.0
...
924.0
...
...
...
46.6
-283.0
21,306.6
2006-IV
20,113.0
...
109.0
...
...
...
-156.9
...
20,065.1
2007-I
23,381.0
...
1,026.0
...
...
...
61.1
...
24,468.1
2007-II
23,307.0
...
2,913.0
...
...
...
37.0
...
26,257.0
2007-III
21,711.0
...
972.0
...
...
...
48.8
-305.0
22,426.8
2007-IV
21,111.0
...
115.0
...
...
...
-164.8
...
21,061.2
2008-I
24,505.0
...
1,080.0
...
...
...
64.2
...
25,649.2
2008-II
24,433.0
...
3,068.0
...
...
...
38.9
...
27,539.9
2008-III
22,718.0
...
1,025.0
...
...
...
51.3
-326.0
23,468.3
2008-IV
22,324.0
...
121.0
...
...
...
-173.5
...
22,271.5
2009-I
25,608.0
...
1,138.0
...
...
...
67.6
...
26,813.6
2009-II
25,503.0
...
3,234.0
...
...
...
40.9
...
28,777.9
2009-III
23,702.0
...
1,080.0
...
...
...
53.9
-344.0
24,491.9
2009-IV
23,775.0
...
128.0
...
...
...
-182.6
...
23,720.4
2010-I
26,505.0
...
1,200.0
...
...
...
71.1
...
27,776.1
2010-II
26,903.0
...
3,409.0
...
...
...
43.0
...
30,355.0
2010-III
25,203.0
...
1,139.0
...
...
...
56.7
-362.0
26,036.7
2010-IV
24,751.0
...
135.0
...
...
...
-192.6
...
24,693.4
2011-I
27,964.0
...
1,265.0
...
...
...
74.9
...
29,303.9
2011-II
28,265.0
...
3,593.0
...
...
...
45.3
...
31,903.3
2011-III
26,552.0
...
1,200.0
...
...
...
59.7
-381.0
27,430.7
2011-IV
25,533.0
...
142.0
...
...
...
-203.0
...
25,472.0
2012-I
29,622.0
...
1,333.0
...
...
...
78.9
...
31,033.9
2012-II
29,521.0
...
3,782.0
...
...
...
47.7
...
33,350.7
2012-III
27,473.0
...
1,262.0
...
...
...
62.9
-400.0
28,397.9
2012-IV
26,696.0
...
149.0
...
...
...
-214.0
...
26,631.0
2013-I
30,849.0
...
1,400.0
...
...
...
83.2
...
32,332.2
2013-II
30,931.0
...
3,972.0
...
...
...
50.3
...
34,953.3
2013-III
28,654.0
...
1,324.0
...
...
...
66.3
-422.0
29,622.3
2013-IV
27,893.0
...
156.0
...
...
...
-225.5
...
27,823.5
2014-I
32,257.0
...
1,470.0
...
...
...
87.7
...
33,814.7
2014-II
32,148.0
...
4,170.0
...
...
...
53.0
...
36,371.0
2014-III
29,859.0
...
1,391.0
...
...
...
69.9
-443.0
30,876.9
2014-IV
29,323.0
...
164.0
...
...
...
-236.8
...
29,250.2

1Credit against FICA and SECA tax liability not applicable until 1984.

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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