Participants: 2007 SSI Report

IV. ESTIMATES OF PROGRAM PARTICIPATION AND FEDERAL EXPENDITURES UNDER THE SUPPLEMENTAL SECURITY INCOME PROGRAM

This section presents projections of the numbers of persons receiving Federal SSI payments by category and age group.¹ SSI recipients are categorized as (1) aged or (2) blind or disabled. The following paragraphs discuss the age groupings and recipient categories in more detail.

The aged category includes those individuals whose eligibility for SSI benefits is established based on meeting the age-65 ²-or-older requirement, and other SSI eligibility requirements including income and resource limits. In December 2006, there were 1.212 million aged recipients of Federally-administered SSI payments.

The blind or disabled category includes those individuals whose eligibility is established based on meeting the definition of blindness or disability and the applicable income and resource limits as well as any other SSI eligibility requirements. This category is often subdivided into two subcategories based on age: blind or disabled adults (age 18 or older) and blind or disabled children (under age 18). In December 2006, there were 6.024 million blind or disabled recipients of Federally-administered SSI payments.

The blind or disabled adults subcategory includes those individuals age 18 or older who meet the definition of blindness or disability for individuals age 18 or older and SSI income and resource limits. Included in this category are students age 18 to 21 who must meet the adult definition of disability and differ from other adults only in that they qualify for a special student earned income exclusion. After attainment of age 65, these individuals generally continue to be classified as blind or disabled adults (rather than aged). In December 2006, there were 4.945 million blind or disabled recipients of Federally-administered SSI payments age 18 or older, including 7 thousand students who used the special student earned income exclusion and 793 thousand disabled or blind recipients age 65 or older.

The blind or disabled children subcategory includes those individuals whose eligibility is established based on meeting the definition of blindness or disability for individuals under age 18. These children are subject to parent-to-child deeming until they reach the age of 18. At age 18 these individuals continue to be eligible for SSI if they meet the definition of blindness or disability for individuals age 18 or older as well as other eligibility criteria and, as a result, are reclassified as blind or disabled adults. In December 2006, there were 1.079 million blind or disabled recipients of Federally-administered SSI payments who were under age 18.

Table IV.B1 presents historical and projected numbers of persons applying for SSI benefits, by calendar year of application. Figure IV.B1 presents the same information in graphical form. Recent historical data indicate that applications have grown fairly rapidly beginning in calendar year 2002, and that this growth continued through calendar year 2005. The rate of growth in applications, however, slowed significantly in 2005, and for the 2006 Annual Report we projected a slight decline in the numbers of applications for calendar year 2006. The actual result for 2006 represented a slightly larger decline than was estimated last year, with the numbers of applications for 2006 coming in 0.3 percent lower than was estimated in the 2006 Annual Report.

Table IV.B1.—SSI Federally-Administered Applications, ¹ Calendar Years 1974-2031

[In thousands]
Calendar year		Blind or disabled, by age group						Aged, by age group		Totals
Calendar year		0-17	18-34	35-49	50-64	65-74	75 or older	65-74	75 or older	Blind or disabled	Aged	All
Historical data:
	1974 ²^, ³	125	590	626	1,303	158	20	1,434	1,496	2,822	2,931	5,752
	1975 ²^, ⁴	94	276	258	443	15	⁵^/	238	145	1,086	382	1,468
	1976	82	260	250	384	8	⁵^/	175	80	984	254	1,239
	1977	100	286	246	401	7	1	174	84	1,040	259	1,298
	1978	94	276	256	413	7	⁵^/	170	88	1,046	258	1,304
	1979	106	282	268	426	7	⁵^/	178	84	1,090	262	1,352
	1980	122	310	272	438	8	1	187	89	1,151	276	1,427
	1981	78	206	173	271	5	⁵^/	88	42	733	130	864
	1982	88	246	206	278	11	1	93	48	830	141	971
	1983	102	258	225	311	5	1	122	68	902	190	1,092
	1984	103	267	247	321	7	⁵^/	178	108	944	286	1,230
	1985	114	294	297	409	7	⁵^/	151	73	1,122	223	1,345
	1986	122	316	334	426	7	1	150	81	1,205	231	1,437
	1987	108	287	299	331	7	1	134	66	1,033	200	1,233
	1988	114	282	301	317	7	1	131	69	1,021	200	1,221
	1989	116	297	323	329	7	⁵^/	146	76	1,072	222	1,294
	1990	149	335	380	356	6	⁵^/	156	71	1,226	227	1,454
	1991	237	391	453	391	7	⁵^/	159	68	1,479	227	1,706
	1992	339	453	522	407	8	⁵^/	163	64	1,728	226	1,955
	1993	473	506	570	416	7	⁵^/	158	61	1,973	218	2,191
	1994	517	492	571	402	6	⁵^/	136	52	1,989	188	2,177
	1995	473	435	524	363	6	⁵^/	121	44	1,801	165	1,966
	1996	431	393	500	345	9	1	108	44	1,678	153	1,831
	1997	306	317	438	307	8	1	82	35	1,377	117	1,494
	1998	318	317	453	331	9	1	96	39	1,428	136	1,563
	1999	338	317	470	336	6	⁵^/	107	39	1,468	145	1,614
	2000	337	321	486	341	6	⁵^/	102	39	1,493	140	1,633
	2001	351	346	502	354	4	⁵^/	98	35	1,558	134	1,691
	2002	385	388	550	384	4	⁵^/	105	38	1,711	142	1,853
	2003	400	404	565	408	4	⁵^/	100	36	1,781	135	1,916
	2004	420	438	604	452	4	⁵^/	101	37	1,919	138	2,057
	2005	429	439	604	477	5	⁵^/	112	44	1,954	156	2,110
	2006	415	437	584	484	4	⁵^/	109	41	1,925	150	2,075
Projected:
	2007	410	428	571	492	6	⁵^/	107	39	1,906	147	2,053
	2008	405	418	560	501	6	⁵^/	114	39	1,890	154	2,043
	2009	402	419	551	511	6	⁵^/	117	39	1,889	156	2,045
	2010	401	422	544	521	6	⁵^/	119	39	1,894	158	2,053
	2011	402	425	539	530	6	⁵^/	127	39	1,902	165	2,067
	2012	403	428	534	538	7	⁵^/	135	38	1,909	174	2,083
	2013	404	430	530	545	7	⁵^/	140	38	1,916	178	2,094
	2014	406	431	528	551	7	⁵^/	145	38	1,923	183	2,106
	2015	407	432	528	555	7	⁵^/	150	39	1,929	188	2,117
	2016	409	433	530	556	7	⁵^/	155	40	1,935	194	2,129
	2017	411	434	532	556	8	⁵^/	159	41	1,940	200	2,140
	2018	412	435	533	555	8	⁵^/	164	42	1,944	206	2,150
	2019	414	437	534	555	8	⁵^/	170	43	1,947	213	2,160
	2020	416	438	534	555	8	⁵^/	175	44	1,950	219	2,169
	2021	418	439	535	553	8	⁵^/	180	46	1,953	225	2,179
	2022	419	440	538	550	9	⁵^/	183	48	1,956	231	2,187
	2023	421	441	543	544	9	⁵^/	187	50	1,958	237	2,195
	2024	423	440	549	539	9	⁵^/	190	52	1,960	242	2,202
	2025	424	440	556	534	9	⁵^/	194	54	1,962	247	2,210
	2026	426	439	562	529	9	⁵^/	196	56	1,965	252	2,217
	2027	427	439	567	526	9	⁵^/	198	58	1,968	256	2,223
	2028	428	439	571	525	9	⁵^/	199	60	1,971	259	2,230
	2029	429	440	574	525	9	⁵^/	199	62	1,976	261	2,237
	2030	430	441	576	527	8	⁵^/	198	64	1,981	262	2,243
	2031	430	442	577	529	8	⁵^/	195	66	1,987	262	2,249

Note: Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components. Historical split among age groups is estimated on a calendar year of age basis.

The fairly rapid growth in applications from 2002 to 2004 was largely attributable to two main factors: (1) the downturn in the economy that began early in 2001 and (2) the signature proxy process³ introduced by SSA in June 2004. The slower growth in 2005 and the slight decline in the numbers of applications in 2006 suggest that the growth from these two factors has come to an end. In the short term, our projections are for the numbers of applications to stay roughly level, with the overall level of applications reflecting a permanent upward shift due to the signature proxy process. In the longer term, applications are estimated to grow roughly in line with overall population growth.

The adjudication of these applications involves an evaluation of levels of income and resources available to the applicants, as well as other eligibility factors including marital and citizenship status and living arrangements. In addition, over 90 percent of the applications are for disability benefits which generally require an evaluation of an alleged impairment by the appropriate State Disability Determination Services. An unfavorable disability determination may then be appealed by the applicant through several administrative levels of appeal. If all administrative levels of appeal are exhausted, the applicant may in turn carry his/her appeal to the Federal courts. Data on recent historical experience for this disability decision process are presented in section V.C.

Table IV.B2 and figure IV.B2 present historical and projected numbers of persons who start receiving SSI payments as a result of this decision process. Individuals are counted as of the first month that they move into SSI payment status. For this reason, we refer to these individuals as "new recipients" rather than "awards."⁴ During the 2002 to 2004 period, growth in new recipients did not keep pace with the growth in applications. In both 2005 and 2006, the numbers of new recipients declined even though there was some growth in the applications in 2005. There are two important contributing factors to the slower growth for

Table IV.B2.—SSI Federally-Administered New Recipients, Calendar Years 1974-2031

[In thousands]
Calendar year ¹		Blind or disabled, by age group						Aged, by age group		Totals ²
Calendar year ¹		0-17	18-34	35-49	50-64	65-74	75 or older	65-74	75 or older	Blind or disabled	Aged	All
Historical data:
	1974 ³	63	390	381	925	141	18	1,211	1,268	1,919	2,479	4,398
	1975	58	133	105	272	16	⁴^/	216	131	584	347	931
	1976	43	105	88	207	9	⁴^/	147	70	452	218	669
	1977	48	104	84	184	8	1	140	69	429	209	637
	1978	43	92	76	154	6	⁴^/	127	66	370	193	563
	1979	44	87	62	133	4	⁴^/	116	53	330	169	499
	1980	41	92	61	142	4	⁴^/	125	59	341	184	524
	1981	37	77	49	106	3	⁴^/	80	37	272	117	389
	1982	38	63	51	90	4	⁴^/	72	31	245	103	348
	1983	47	88	62	117	3	⁴^/	95	51	317	146	463
	1984	47	109	78	142	4	⁴^/	131	78	380	209	589
	1985	48	104	80	148	4	⁴^/	106	46	384	152	536
	1986	55	127	109	153	5	⁴^/	110	51	449	161	610
	1987	48	119	106	157	5	⁴^/	116	52	435	167	602
	1988	50	101	108	146	5	1	112	56	412	167	579
	1989	48	113	115	155	5	⁴^/	127	62	436	189	625
	1990	76	136	134	182	5	⁴^/	149	66	533	215	748
	1991	126	146	172	200	6	⁴^/	139	54	650	193	844
	1992	221	199	221	233	6	⁴^/	133	48	881	181	1,062
	1993	235	194	221	225	6	⁴^/	136	49	881	185	1,066
	1994	204	164	207	215	6	⁴^/	116	42	796	157	953
	1995	177	147	207	218	5	⁴^/	105	36	755	141	895
	1996	145	134	193	203	6	1	93	35	681	128	809
	1997	116	111	171	178	4	⁴^/	68	25	580	93	673
	1998	135	117	181	194	7	1	78	30	634	108	742
	1999	140	114	186	195	5	⁴^/	88	33	640	120	760
	2000	145	112	180	191	5	⁴^/	84	31	633	115	748
	2001	157	121	185	198	4	⁴^/	79	28	665	107	772
	2002	171	128	195	212	4	⁴^/	82	29	710	111	821
	2003	180	132	194	214	4	⁴^/	77	27	724	104	828
	2004	183	138	202	231	4	⁴^/	78	27	757	105	862
	2005	178	131	192	238	4	⁴^/	81	29	744	111	854
	2006	175	128	190	243	3	⁴^/	81	28	739	109	849
Projected:
	2007	175	134	197	258	6	⁴^/	80	28	770	108	878
	2008	175	134	197	267	7	⁴^/	87	28	779	115	895
	2009	171	132	189	269	7	⁴^/	91	29	768	120	888
	2010	170	133	185	273	6	⁴^/	93	29	767	122	889
	2011	170	133	182	276	7	⁴^/	98	29	768	127	895
	2012	171	133	180	279	8	⁴^/	105	29	770	133	903
	2013	171	133	178	282	7	⁴^/	108	29	773	137	909
	2014	172	133	177	286	7	⁴^/	111	29	776	140	916
	2015	173	133	177	287	8	⁴^/	115	29	778	144	922
	2016	174	133	177	287	8	⁴^/	119	30	778	148	926
	2017	173	132	176	285	8	⁴^/	122	30	774	153	927
	2018	174	132	176	285	8	⁴^/	126	31	775	157	932
	2019	174	133	176	285	8	⁴^/	130	32	776	162	938
	2020	175	133	176	285	9	⁴^/	134	33	777	167	943
	2021	176	133	176	284	9	⁴^/	137	34	778	171	949
	2022	176	134	177	282	9	⁴^/	140	36	778	176	954
	2023	177	134	179	279	9	⁴^/	142	37	778	180	958
	2024	178	134	181	277	9	⁴^/	145	39	778	183	962
	2025	178	134	183	274	9	⁴^/	147	40	778	187	966
	2026	179	134	185	272	9	⁴^/	149	41	778	190	969
	2027	179	133	187	270	9	⁴^/	150	43	779	193	972
	2028	180	134	188	269	9	⁴^/	151	44	779	195	974
	2029	180	134	189	268	9	⁴^/	151	46	780	197	977
	2030	180	134	190	269	9	⁴^/	149	47	781	197	978
	2031	180	135	190	270	8	⁴^/	147	49	783	196	980

Note: Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components. Historical split among age groups is estimated on a calendar year of age basis.

new recipients as compared to applications: (1) since 2001 there has been substantial growth in the number of claims pending adjudication which is consistent with a longer lag time between application and the allowance decision; and (2) since the introduction of the signature proxy process there has been a significant increase in the number of denials for applications where the applicant does not meet the nonmedical criteria, causing a permanent downward shift in the allowance rate. However, the number of new recipients is projected to increase in the next 2 years under the assumption that there will be some reduction in the level of pending claims. After 2008, new recipients are projected to remain about level for a few years. Over the longer term the numbers of new recipients are estimated to increase gradually in line with the projected growth in applications.

Some of the persons receiving SSI benefits in a year will be removed from current-payment status during the year because of death or the loss of SSI eligibility. The loss of eligibility can occur either as the result of a redetermination of the individual's nonmedical factors of eligibility, including income and resources, or due to a determination that he/she is no longer disabled as defined under the Social Security Act, as a result of a continuing disability review.⁵ For example, disabled children, upon attainment of age 18, lose eligibility if they do not qualify for benefits under the disabled adult eligibility criteria. For purposes of this presentation, we refer to the net reduction in the number of SSI recipients in payment status during a period as the number of SSI terminations for that period.

In the following tables, we have separated the numbers of people moving out of payment status into those leaving due to death (table IV.B3), and those leaving for all other reasons (table IV.B4). Table IV.B5 and figure IV.B3 present historical and projected numbers of total terminations by calendar year.

Table IV.B3.—SSI Federally-Administered Terminations Due to Death, Calendar Years 1974-2031

[In thousands]
Calendar year		Blind or disabled, by age group						Aged, by age group		Totals ¹
Calendar year		0-17	18-34	35-49	50-64	65-74	75 or older	65-74	75 or older	Blind or disabled	Aged	All
Historical data:
	1974	²^/	3	8	34	7	2	40	97	55	137	192
	1975	1	5	12	35	10	2	39	108	65	147	212
	1976	2	5	9	36	12	1	34	103	64	137	201
	1977	1	5	12	30	15	1	36	101	65	137	203
	1978	2	5	8	34	16	2	31	95	67	126	193
	1979	2	6	9	32	18	2	29	92	67	121	189
	1980	3	5	9	31	22	1	27	100	71	127	198
	1981	3	5	8	31	24	2	21	92	73	112	186
	1982	3	4	8	28	21	2	16	80	65	96	161
	1983	3	6	8	25	21	3	15	79	65	94	158
	1984	3	4	9	29	18	5	13	83	67	96	163
	1985	2	6	10	29	24	6	17	84	77	101	178
	1986	2	8	12	28	22	8	15	83	80	98	178
	1987	3	8	13	30	23	10	15	82	87	97	184
	1988	5	8	14	31	25	12	16	81	95	97	191
	1989	3	8	16	33	23	12	15	78	95	93	187
	1990	4	9	18	36	22	14	16	75	103	92	194
	1991	4	9	20	39	23	17	17	74	112	91	203
	1992	4	11	22	38	22	15	16	69	111	84	195
	1993	6	13	27	41	23	17	16	72	127	88	215
	1994	6	14	27	41	23	17	16	69	127	85	212
	1995	6	13	30	43	24	18	16	65	135	81	216
	1996	7	12	30	44	24	18	16	67	135	83	218
	1997	5	10	24	43	24	19	15	64	127	79	206
	1998	5	9	24	43	25	20	14	64	127	78	205
	1999	5	9	25	45	25	21	13	63	131	76	207
	2000	5	8	27	46	25	21	12	61	132	73	205
	2001	5	8	28	47	25	22	11	60	135	71	207
	2002	5	8	28	49	24	21	11	58	135	70	205
	2003	5	9	28	51	26	21	10	56	138	66	204
	2004	5	8	27	52	25	22	10	56	140	65	205
	2005	5	8	28	54	25	22	9	54	141	63	204
	2006	5	8	27	55	25	22	9	54	143	62	205
Projected:
	2007	5	8	26	58	25	23	8	52	145	60	206
	2008	5	9	26	60	26	23	8	52	148	61	209
	2009	5	9	25	62	26	24	8	52	150	60	210
	2010	5	9	25	63	26	24	8	52	152	60	212
	2011	5	9	24	65	27	24	8	51	154	60	214
	2012	5	10	24	66	28	25	8	51	156	59	215
	2013	5	10	23	67	28	25	8	51	158	59	217
	2014	4	10	23	68	29	26	9	51	159	59	219
	2015	4	10	22	68	30	26	9	51	161	59	220
	2016	4	10	22	68	31	26	9	50	162	59	221
	2017	4	10	22	68	32	27	9	50	163	60	223
	2018	4	10	22	68	33	27	10	50	164	60	224
	2019	4	10	22	67	34	28	10	50	165	60	225
	2020	4	10	22	67	35	28	10	50	165	60	226
	2021	4	10	21	66	36	29	11	50	166	61	227
	2022	4	9	21	65	36	30	11	51	167	62	228
	2023	4	9	21	64	37	31	11	51	167	62	230
	2024	4	9	22	63	38	32	11	52	168	63	231
	2025	4	9	22	62	38	33	11	53	168	64	232
	2026	4	9	22	61	39	34	11	54	169	65	234
	2027	4	9	22	60	39	35	12	55	169	67	236
	2028	4	9	22	59	39	36	12	56	169	68	237
	2029	4	9	22	59	39	37	12	57	170	69	239
	2030	4	9	22	58	39	39	12	59	170	71	241
	2031	4	9	22	58	39	40	12	61	171	72	243

Note: Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components. Historical split among age groups is estimated on a calendar year of age basis.

Table IV.B4.—SSI Federally-Administered Terminations Due to Reasons Other Than Death, Calendar Years 1974-2031

[In thousands]
Calendar year		Blind or disabled, by age group						Aged, by age group		Totals ¹
Calendar year		0-17	18-34	35-49	50-64	65-74	75 or older	65-74	75 or older	Blind or disabled	Aged	All
Historical data:
	1974	5	33	34	69	12	2	27	29	154	56	210
	1975	7	50	44	104	15	2	88	91	221	180	401
	1976	11	70	61	139	24	1	107	133	306	240	546
	1977	13	65	56	110	19	1	76	92	265	168	433
	1978	11	64	49	97	18	1	64	86	241	150	391
	1979	12	59	43	96	23	1	58	85	234	144	378
	1980	19	48	43	80	23	1	44	77	214	121	334
	1981	17	43	39	72	21	1	49	86	192	134	326
	1982	19	48	43	79	23	1	50	87	212	137	348
	1983	18	43	36	63	14	1	25	61	175	86	261
	1984	13	51	37	77	21	1	37	60	200	98	298
	1985	11	42	37	68	13	2	23	54	172	77	249
	1986	18	49	47	73	16	3	34	60	206	94	300
	1987	19	51	48	75	17	3	32	57	214	89	302
	1988	19	52	51	74	15	5	33	59	216	93	309
	1989	19	55	52	72	16	4	33	58	218	91	308
	1990	14	52	57	73	17	8	40	68	221	108	330
	1991	20	50	70	84	18	5	33	58	248	91	339
	1992	39	68	94	103	19	8	34	56	329	90	419
	1993	34	73	97	106	22	8	37	55	340	92	433
	1994	41	73	101	107	18	8	32	49	348	81	429
	1995	47	81	111	115	20	7	32	48	382	80	461
	1996	47	89	128	119	21	8	29	49	413	78	491
	1997	128	105	147	115	18	8	24	40	522	64	586
	1998	67	89	112	110	19	8	22	38	406	61	466
	1999	119	111	120	116	20	9	24	43	495	68	563
	2000	84	99	111	112	22	9	22	38	437	61	498
	2001	65	95	111	118	20	9	22	38	418	60	478
	2002	78	100	122	133	20	9	20	35	463	55	517
	2003	72	95	122	135	20	9	20	36	453	56	509
	2004	85	101	136	156	23	9	24	38	510	62	572
	2005	64	101	129	157	20	8	15	30	479	45	524
	2006	56	96	131	162	21	8	19	30	473	50	522
Projected:
	2007	55	88	119	163	20	8	16	30	453	47	500
	2008	60	101	118	167	22	8	20	32	476	53	529
	2009	51	108	119	174	22	9	21	34	483	55	538
	2010	51	107	116	177	23	9	21	34	483	55	538
	2011	52	110	113	178	24	9	22	34	486	56	542
	2012	66	115	111	177	24	9	23	34	503	57	560
	2013	90	127	115	184	25	10	24	35	551	59	610
	2014	87	134	114	188	27	10	24	36	560	60	620
	2015	80	136	114	190	28	11	25	37	558	61	620
	2016	78	135	114	191	29	11	26	37	558	63	621
	2017	73	138	115	194	30	12	26	38	562	65	627
	2018	73	137	115	193	31	12	27	39	562	66	627
	2019	74	139	116	194	33	13	28	39	568	67	635
	2020	75	139	116	193	33	13	29	39	569	68	637
	2021	75	139	116	192	34	13	30	40	570	70	640
	2022	75	139	117	191	35	14	31	41	571	72	643
	2023	75	139	118	189	36	14	32	42	572	73	645
	2024	75	139	120	187	37	15	32	43	573	75	648
	2025	76	138	122	186	37	15	33	44	574	77	651
	2026	76	138	123	184	38	16	33	45	575	79	654
	2027	77	137	125	183	38	17	34	47	576	81	657
	2028	77	137	126	182	39	17	34	49	578	83	661
	2029	77	138	127	181	39	18	35	50	579	85	664
	2030	77	138	127	182	39	18	35	52	581	87	668
	2031	78	139	127	182	38	19	35	54	583	88	671

Note: Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components. Historical split among age groups is estimated on a calendar year of age basis.

Table IV.B5.—SSI Federally-Administered Terminations for All Reasons, Calendar Years 1974-2031

[In thousands]
Calendar year		Blind or disabled, by age group						Aged, by age group		Totals ¹
Calendar year		0-17	18-34	35-49	50-64	65-74	75 or older	65-74	75 or older	Blind or disabled	Aged	All
Historical data:
	1974	5	36	42	103	19	4	67	126	209	193	402
	1975	8	55	56	140	25	3	127	199	287	326	613
	1976	13	75	71	174	35	3	141	236	371	377	748
	1977	14	71	68	140	34	3	112	194	330	305	636
	1978	14	70	58	130	34	3	94	181	308	276	584
	1979	13	65	52	128	41	2	88	177	301	265	566
	1980	22	53	52	111	45	2	70	177	284	248	532
	1981	20	48	47	103	45	3	69	177	266	246	512
	1982	21	52	51	107	43	2	65	168	277	233	510
	1983	21	49	44	87	34	4	39	140	240	180	419
	1984	16	55	46	106	39	6	50	144	267	194	461
	1985	13	47	47	97	37	8	40	138	249	178	427
	1986	21	58	59	101	38	11	48	143	287	192	478
	1987	22	59	61	106	40	13	47	138	301	185	486
	1988	24	60	65	105	39	18	49	140	311	189	500
	1989	22	63	69	105	39	15	47	136	312	183	496
	1990	18	61	75	109	39	22	56	144	324	200	524
	1991	25	60	90	123	40	22	50	132	360	182	542
	1992	42	78	115	140	41	23	50	125	440	175	614
	1993	40	86	124	148	45	24	54	127	467	181	648
	1994	47	87	128	148	41	24	48	118	475	166	642
	1995	54	94	142	158	44	25	47	113	517	160	677
	1996	54	101	158	163	45	27	45	116	548	161	710
	1997	133	116	172	159	43	26	39	105	648	143	792
	1998	73	98	136	153	44	29	36	102	533	138	671
	1999	124	120	146	161	45	31	38	106	626	144	770
	2000	89	107	138	159	46	29	35	99	569	134	703
	2001	70	103	139	166	45	31	34	98	554	132	685
	2002	83	108	150	182	44	30	31	93	598	124	722
	2003	76	104	149	186	46	30	31	92	591	122	713
	2004	90	109	163	208	48	31	34	93	650	127	777
	2005	69	109	157	211	45	30	24	84	621	107	728
	2006	61	104	158	217	46	31	28	84	615	112	727
Projected:
	2007	60	96	145	221	45	32	25	82	598	107	706
	2008	65	110	144	226	47	32	29	85	624	114	738
	2009	55	117	144	236	48	32	29	86	633	115	748
	2010	56	116	141	240	49	33	29	86	635	115	750
	2011	57	120	137	242	50	34	30	86	640	116	755
	2012	71	125	134	243	52	34	31	86	659	117	776
	2013	95	137	138	251	54	35	32	86	709	118	828
	2014	92	144	137	255	56	36	33	87	720	119	839
	2015	85	145	136	258	58	37	33	87	719	121	840
	2016	83	145	136	260	60	38	35	88	720	122	843
	2017	78	148	137	262	62	39	36	89	725	124	849
	2018	78	147	137	261	64	40	37	89	726	125	851
	2019	79	148	138	261	67	40	38	89	733	127	860
	2020	79	148	137	260	68	41	40	89	734	129	863
	2021	79	148	137	259	70	42	41	90	736	131	867
	2022	79	149	138	256	72	44	42	92	738	133	871
	2023	79	148	140	254	73	45	42	93	739	136	875
	2024	79	148	141	251	74	47	43	95	741	138	879
	2025	80	147	143	248	76	48	44	97	742	141	883
	2026	80	147	145	245	77	50	45	99	743	144	888
	2027	80	146	147	243	78	52	46	102	745	148	893
	2028	81	146	148	241	78	53	46	105	747	151	898
	2029	81	146	149	240	78	55	46	108	749	154	903
	2030	81	147	149	240	78	57	47	111	751	157	908
	2031	81	147	149	240	77	59	46	114	754	160	914

Note: Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components. Historical split among age groups is estimated on a calendar year of age basis.

Actual numbers of terminations declined in 2006 compared to 2005. This decline resulted from declines in the terminations for reasons other than death, which were offset in part by small increases in the terminations due to death. The decline in the terminations for reasons other than death were essentially due to reductions in the numbers of continuing disability reviews (CDRs) and nonmedical redeterminations processed due to constraints on agency administrative resources. Some continued restraint on terminations over the next 5 years is expected due to continued resource limitations. Thereafter a gradual return to normal processing schedules for these reviews is assumed as resources are made available to SSA to carry out these legislatively mandated workloads.

Combining the number of persons coming on the SSI payment rolls during a year with the number of those already receiving benefits at the beginning of the year, and subtracting the number leaving the rolls during the year, yields the number of persons receiving Federally-administered SSI payments at the end of the specified period. Individuals receiving Federal SSI payments, who comprise the great majority of Federally-administered recipients, are presented in table IV.B6 and in figure IV.B4. The net effect of actual experience in 2006 was that the number of Federal SSI recipients at the end of 2006 was about 1.8 percent higher than the corresponding number at the end of 2005.

Table IV.B6.—SSI Recipients with Federal Benefits in Current-Payment Status as of December, 1974-2031

[In thousands]
Year		Blind or disabled, by age group						Aged, by age group		Totals
Year		0-17	18-34	35-49	50-64	65-74	75 or older	65-74	75 or older	Blind or disabled	Aged	All
Historical data:
	1974	70	338	321	756	109	13	1,010	1,019	1,606	2,029	3,635
	1975	106	395	352	838	164	14	963	1,062	1,869	2,025	3,893
	1976	124	420	352	813	208	14	864	1,003	1,932	1,867	3,799
	1977	147	442	358	800	249	16	785	980	2,013	1,765	3,778
	1978	165	460	361	791	277	16	728	958	2,069	1,686	3,755
	1979	176	472	359	764	307	16	656	938	2,094	1,593	3,687
	1980	188	500	351	750	342	17	609	925	2,149	1,533	3,682
	1981	194	514	349	720	366	17	541	888	2,160	1,430	3,590
	1982	191	517	346	683	386	21	459	871	2,144	1,329	3,473
	1983	198	555	366	692	412	28	449	890	2,250	1,339	3,590
	1984	210	595	393	700	406	48	463	884	2,352	1,347	3,699
	1985	226	634	426	717	402	72	462	860	2,477	1,322	3,799
	1986	240	688	475	739	397	91	465	827	2,630	1,291	3,922
	1987	249	717	524	756	392	113	464	804	2,751	1,268	4,019
	1988	254	738	564	774	387	127	468	777	2,844	1,245	4,089
	1989	263	757	613	799	382	145	488	760	2,959	1,247	4,206
	1990	306	788	677	840	389	156	508	749	3,156	1,257	4,412
	1991	395	833	769	897	390	166	542	736	3,451	1,279	4,730
	1992	555	920	877	970	402	173	577	727	3,898	1,304	5,202
	1993	721	990	979	1,034	410	179	604	720	4,312	1,324	5,636
	1994	839	1,032	1,071	1,089	425	182	610	716	4,638	1,326	5,965
	1995	915	1,058	1,150	1,134	435	188	601	713	4,880	1,315	6,194
	1996	954	1,066	1,198	1,176	444	192	586	711	5,029	1,296	6,326
	1997	878	1,039	1,196	1,198	457	193	547	704	4,960	1,251	6,212
	1998	885	1,038	1,238	1,243	464	197	521	705	5,063	1,226	6,289
	1999	845	1,005	1,274	1,278	474	195	499	704	5,072	1,203	6,275
Historical data: (Cont.)
	2000	844	994	1,303	1,313	484	196	483	703	5,134	1,186	6,320
	2001	879	995	1,329	1,353	493	196	461	703	5,245	1,165	6,410
	2002	912	1,002	1,344	1,394	502	200	447	705	5,354	1,152	6,505
	2003	956	1,023	1,353	1,436	511	204	430	703	5,482	1,133	6,614
	2004	990	1,044	1,350	1,476	515	208	412	699	5,584	1,111	6,695
	2005	1,034	1,065	1,347	1,523	522	215	408	705	5,706	1,113	6,819
	2006	1,076	1,095	1,334	1,575	529	220	405	704	5,830	1,109	6,939
Projected:
	2007	1,114	1,150	1,329	1,636	543	225	405	704	5,997	1,109	7,106
	2008	1,139	1,196	1,325	1,700	555	229	407	702	6,143	1,109	7,253
	2009	1,167	1,236	1,310	1,759	566	234	412	700	6,272	1,112	7,383
	2010	1,192	1,278	1,294	1,816	577	240	418	699	6,398	1,117	7,515
	2011	1,216	1,316	1,281	1,865	598	244	429	697	6,521	1,127	7,648
	2012	1,226	1,347	1,270	1,907	626	250	446	696	6,626	1,142	7,768
	2013	1,212	1,365	1,257	1,945	651	255	464	695	6,684	1,159	7,843
	2014	1,204	1,373	1,246	1,978	678	259	485	693	6,737	1,178	7,915
	2015	1,203	1,379	1,244	2,002	704	262	506	693	6,794	1,200	7,994
	2016	1,204	1,386	1,247	2,016	733	266	530	694	6,851	1,224	8,074
	2017	1,207	1,389	1,252	2,021	759	272	551	699	6,899	1,250	8,149
	2018	1,209	1,395	1,257	2,022	786	278	572	707	6,947	1,279	8,226
	2019	1,212	1,399	1,258	2,021	815	285	595	715	6,989	1,310	8,299
	2020	1,216	1,401	1,259	2,020	843	291	622	723	7,030	1,345	8,374
	2021	1,220	1,404	1,263	2,013	868	302	640	742	7,069	1,381	8,451
	2022	1,224	1,406	1,273	1,999	890	316	651	769	7,108	1,420	8,528
	2023	1,231	1,404	1,288	1,982	912	328	666	794	7,145	1,460	8,605
	2024	1,238	1,401	1,306	1,963	933	340	681	820	7,181	1,501	8,682
	2025	1,246	1,396	1,325	1,943	953	353	696	847	7,216	1,543	8,759
	2026	1,253	1,392	1,343	1,925	970	366	710	875	7,250	1,585	8,835
	2027	1,260	1,390	1,358	1,911	984	379	721	905	7,282	1,626	8,908
	2028	1,267	1,389	1,370	1,899	995	393	731	936	7,313	1,667	8,980
	2029	1,273	1,391	1,379	1,893	1,001	407	737	969	7,343	1,706	9,049
	2030	1,278	1,394	1,384	1,895	1,000	421	741	1,001	7,372	1,742	9,114
	2031	1,283	1,398	1,388	1,902	994	435	740	1,035	7,401	1,775	9,176

Note: Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components. Historical split among age groups is estimated on a calendar year of age basis.

As illustrated in figure IV.B4, the implementation of Public Law 104-121 and Public Law 104-193 resulted in a decline in the Federal recipient population from 1996 to 1997. From the end of 1997 through the end of 2000, the Federal SSI recipient population grew at an annual rate of less than 1 percent. Since 2000, the growth rate for the Federal SSI recipient population has averaged over 1.5 percent per year. Our projections indicate that by 2013 we expect to gradually return to a modest growth rate of about 1 percent per year over the remainder of the 25-year projection period. In order to place this projected growth in the context of overall population growth, table IV.B7 and figure IV.B5 present Federal SSI recipients as percentages of selected Social Security Area population totals.

Table IV.B7.—SSI Recipients with Federal Benefits in Current-Payment Status as a Percentage of
Selected Social Security Area Population Totals, as of December, 1974-2031
Year		Blind or disabled, by age group						Aged, by age group		Totals
Year		0-17	18-34	35-49	50-64	65-74	75 or older	65-74	75 or older	Blind or disabled¹	Aged ²	All ³
Historical data:
	1974	0.10	0.55	0.89	2.29	0.77	0.14	7.18	11.26	0.72	8.77	1.63
	1975	.15	.63	.97	2.51	1.14	.15	6.69	11.42	.83	8.55	1.73
	1976	.18	.65	.96	2.42	1.41	.14	5.87	10.51	.85	7.70	1.67
	1977	.22	.67	.96	2.36	1.66	.17	5.21	9.99	.88	7.10	1.65
	1978	.25	.68	.95	2.32	1.80	.16	4.73	9.50	.89	6.62	1.62
	1979	.27	.68	.94	2.23	1.96	.15	4.18	9.03	.90	6.11	1.58
	1980	.29	.70	.90	2.19	2.14	.16	3.82	8.66	.91	5.76	1.56
	1981	.30	.72	.87	2.10	2.26	.16	3.34	8.09	.91	5.26	1.50
	1982	.29	.71	.83	2.00	2.34	.19	2.78	7.68	.89	4.77	1.44
	1983	.30	.76	.84	2.03	2.46	.24	2.68	7.64	.92	4.71	1.47
	1984	.32	.81	.88	2.06	2.39	.40	2.72	7.38	.96	4.65	1.50
	1985	.35	.87	.92	2.11	2.32	.58	2.67	7.00	1.00	4.47	1.53
	1986	.37	.94	.99	2.19	2.25	.72	2.63	6.57	1.05	4.27	1.56
	1987	.38	.98	1.05	2.25	2.19	.87	2.59	6.22	1.09	4.12	1.59
	1988	.38	1.00	1.09	2.30	2.14	.96	2.59	5.87	1.11	3.97	1.60
	1989	.40	1.03	1.15	2.36	2.09	1.07	2.66	5.60	1.14	3.91	1.63
	1990	.45	1.09	1.23	2.47	2.10	1.12	2.74	5.38	1.21	3.87	1.69
	1991	.57	1.16	1.35	2.62	2.08	1.17	2.89	5.17	1.30	3.88	1.79
	1992	.79	1.30	1.50	2.78	2.12	1.19	3.05	4.99	1.46	3.89	1.94
	1993	1.02	1.41	1.63	2.91	2.15	1.20	3.17	4.84	1.59	3.90	2.08
	1994	1.17	1.49	1.74	3.01	2.22	1.20	3.19	4.72	1.70	3.87	2.18
	1995	1.26	1.54	1.81	3.09	2.28	1.21	3.15	4.59	1.77	3.80	2.25
	1996	1.31	1.56	1.86	3.08	2.34	1.21	3.09	4.46	1.80	3.72	2.27
	1997	1.20	1.52	1.84	3.02	2.42	1.19	2.90	4.34	1.76	3.56	2.21
	1998	1.20	1.52	1.88	3.02	2.48	1.19	2.78	4.26	1.78	3.48	2.21
	1999	1.14	1.48	1.91	3.00	2.55	1.16	2.68	4.19	1.77	3.40	2.19
	2000	1.14	1.45	1.94	2.98	2.60	1.15	2.60	4.10	1.77	3.32	2.18
	2001	1.18	1.45	1.97	2.97	2.65	1.12	2.48	4.03	1.79	3.23	2.19
	2002	1.22	1.45	1.99	2.96	2.69	1.12	2.40	3.97	1.81	3.16	2.20
	2003	1.27	1.47	2.00	2.95	2.72	1.13	2.29	3.91	1.84	3.08	2.22
	2004	1.31	1.49	1.99	2.93	2.71	1.15	2.17	3.84	1.86	2.99	2.22
	2005	1.36	1.51	1.98	2.92	2.71	1.18	2.12	3.86	1.88	2.97	2.25
	2006	1.42	1.55	1.97	2.92	2.70	1.20	2.06	3.85	1.90	2.93	2.27
Projected:
	2007	1.47	1.61	1.97	2.94	2.68	1.23	2.00	3.85	1.94	2.88	2.30
	2008	1.50	1.66	1.98	2.97	2.65	1.25	1.94	3.84	1.97	2.83	2.33
	2009	1.54	1.69	1.98	2.99	2.62	1.28	1.91	3.83	2.00	2.79	2.35
	2010	1.57	1.73	1.97	3.00	2.60	1.31	1.88	3.82	2.02	2.76	2.38
	2011	1.60	1.77	1.97	3.02	2.58	1.33	1.85	3.79	2.05	2.71	2.40
	2012	1.61	1.80	1.97	3.05	2.56	1.35	1.82	3.76	2.06	2.66	2.42
	2013	1.59	1.81	1.96	3.06	2.55	1.36	1.81	3.72	2.06	2.62	2.42
	2014	1.57	1.81	1.95	3.08	2.54	1.37	1.82	3.67	2.06	2.59	2.43
	2015	1.56	1.82	1.94	3.09	2.53	1.37	1.82	3.62	2.07	2.56	2.43
	2016	1.56	1.82	1.94	3.09	2.54	1.36	1.83	3.56	2.07	2.53	2.44
	2017	1.56	1.82	1.93	3.09	2.54	1.36	1.84	3.50	2.07	2.51	2.44
	2018	1.55	1.82	1.93	3.09	2.55	1.35	1.85	3.44	2.07	2.49	2.45
	2019	1.55	1.82	1.93	3.08	2.54	1.35	1.86	3.39	2.06	2.47	2.45
	2020	1.55	1.82	1.93	3.08	2.53	1.35	1.87	3.35	2.06	2.45	2.45
	2021	1.55	1.82	1.93	3.07	2.54	1.35	1.87	3.31	2.06	2.44	2.46
	2022	1.55	1.82	1.94	3.07	2.55	1.34	1.87	3.27	2.05	2.43	2.47
	2023	1.55	1.81	1.94	3.06	2.56	1.34	1.87	3.24	2.05	2.43	2.47
	2024	1.55	1.81	1.95	3.06	2.56	1.34	1.87	3.22	2.05	2.42	2.48
	2025	1.55	1.81	1.95	3.06	2.56	1.33	1.87	3.20	2.05	2.42	2.48
	2026	1.56	1.80	1.96	3.05	2.56	1.33	1.87	3.19	2.04	2.43	2.49
	2027	1.56	1.80	1.96	3.05	2.56	1.33	1.88	3.17	2.04	2.43	2.50
	2028	1.56	1.80	1.96	3.05	2.56	1.33	1.88	3.16	2.04	2.43	2.50
	2029	1.57	1.80	1.97	3.04	2.56	1.32	1.88	3.15	2.03	2.44	2.51
	2030	1.57	1.80	1.97	3.04	2.55	1.32	1.89	3.14	2.03	2.45	2.51
	2031	1.57	1.80	1.97	3.04	2.55	1.32	1.89	3.14	2.03	2.46	2.52

For the totals shown in table IV.B7, the percentages are calculated using the population age group totals corresponding to the age groups in the Federal recipient categories. Because the ratios for the separate recipient categories are computed as percentages of differing base populations, the percentage for the total SSI recipient population is not the arithmetic sum of the percentages for the respective recipient categories. As indicated in the table, the percentage of the total Social Security Area population who were receiving Federal SSI payments declined from 1975 through the early 1980s. In 1983, this percentage started increasing and continued to increase through 1996. Due to factors described previously, the percentage of the total population receiving Federal SSI payments declined in 1997, but leveled out over the next few years. It has increased slightly over the past few years and is expected to increase gradually over the projection period, due largely to the changing age distribution of the underlying population.

The various subcategories of Federal SSI recipients, however, follow significantly different growth patterns in relationship to their respective population totals. The aged Federal SSI recipient population declines steadily as a percentage of the 65 or older population throughout the historical period and most of the projection period, with the decline leveling off near the end of the projection period. In contrast, except for recent decreases due to the eligibility redeterminations and continuing disability reviews mandated by Public Law 104-193, the number of blind or disabled children receiving Federal SSI payments increased steadily as a percentage of the under age 18 population, with the increase being quite steep in the early 1990s. The total blind or disabled Federal SSI recipient population as a percentage of the total population remained fairly level until the early 1980s when it started increasing and continued to increase through 1996. After the modest decrease in the late 1990s due to the implementation of legislation described in other sections, the number of blind or disabled persons receiving Federal SSI payments began a gradual increase as a percentage of the total population that is estimated to continue through 2011 and then level off at slightly more than 2 percent of the total population.

Historical and projected numbers of individuals who receive only a Federally-administered State supplement are presented in table IV.B8.

Table IV.B8.—SSI Recipients with Federally-Administered State Supplementary Benefits Only,
in Current-Payment Status as of December, 1974-2031

[In thousands]
Year		Blind or disabled, by age group						Aged, by age group		Totals
Year		0-17	18-34	35-49	50-64	65-74	75 or older	65-74	75 or older	Blind or disabled	Aged	All
Historical data:
	1974	1	12	20	57	13	1	138	120	104	257	361
	1975	1	15	25	74	21	2	144	138	139	282	421
	1976	1	14	27	87	26	2	134	146	156	280	437
	1977	1	16	27	94	35	2	136	150	174	286	460
	1978	1	16	26	93	41	2	127	155	180	282	462
	1979	1	18	25	89	49	2	121	157	184	278	462
	1980	2	20	26	82	52	2	112	162	185	274	460
	1981	1	19	26	75	58	2	94	155	181	248	429
	1982	1	18	23	68	53	2	82	137	165	219	384
	1983	1	17	19	50	44	4	65	111	136	176	312
	1984	1	18	23	50	47	7	68	116	147	184	331
	1985	1	21	28	53	45	8	67	115	157	182	339
	1986	1	23	31	55	45	11	66	116	166	182	348
	1987	1	26	36	60	43	12	72	115	178	187	366
	1988	1	26	42	59	44	14	74	114	187	188	375
	1989	2	28	45	60	45	16	76	115	195	192	387
	1990	2	31	54	60	44	17	82	116	208	197	405
	1991	2	29	54	59	42	17	78	108	203	186	389
	1992	2	29	55	59	37	16	70	97	197	167	364
	1993	2	29	58	59	34	15	64	88	197	151	348
	1994	2	28	59	56	32	14	59	81	192	139	331
	1995	3	25	59	56	32	14	54	77	188	131	320
	1996	2	21	54	53	29	13	49	68	172	116	288
	1997	2	20	55	53	29	13	46	65	172	111	283
	1998	2	18	54	55	28	13	43	63	171	106	277
	1999	2	18	57	58	28	13	43	62	177	105	282
	2000	2	17	57	60	29	13	42	61	179	103	282
	2001	2	17	56	62	29	12	41	59	179	100	278
	2002	3	17	57	64	30	12	42	58	183	100	283
	2003	3	18	58	67	30	12	42	58	188	100	288
	2004	3	18	58	70	31	12	43	58	193	100	293
	2005	3	18	56	73	31	12	44	58	193	102	295
	2006	3	18	55	76	32	12	45	58	194	103	297
Projected:
	2007	3	18	54	78	33	12	45	58	199	103	302
	2008	3	20	54	83	35	12	47	59	207	105	312
	2009	3	21	54	86	37	13	48	60	213	107	321
	2010	3	21	54	90	38	13	48	60	219	109	328
	2011	3	22	53	93	40	13	49	61	225	110	335
	2012	3	23	54	95	42	14	51	61	231	112	343
	2013	4	23	54	97	43	14	52	61	235	113	349
	2014	3	24	54	99	45	14	54	61	238	115	353
	2015	3	24	53	99	46	15	55	61	240	117	357
	2016	3	24	53	100	47	15	57	62	242	119	360
	2017	3	24	53	99	48	15	59	62	242	121	363
	2018	3	24	53	99	50	15	60	63	244	124	367
	2019	3	24	53	99	51	16	63	64	246	127	372
	2020	3	24	53	99	53	16	65	65	248	130	378
	2021	3	24	53	99	54	16	67	67	250	134	383
	2022	3	25	53	98	56	17	68	69	252	137	389
	2023	3	25	54	97	57	18	70	72	253	141	395
	2024	3	24	55	96	58	18	71	74	255	145	401
	2025	3	24	55	95	59	19	73	77	257	149	406
	2026	3	24	56	94	60	20	74	79	258	153	412
	2027	3	24	57	94	61	20	75	82	260	157	417
	2028	3	24	57	93	62	21	76	85	261	161	422
	2029	3	24	58	93	62	22	77	88	262	165	427
	2030	3	24	58	93	62	23	77	91	263	168	431
	2031	3	24	58	93	61	23	77	94	264	171	435

Note: Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components. Historical split among age groups is estimated on a calendar year of age basis.

The combined numbers of persons receiving either a Federal SSI payment or a Federally-administered State supplement are displayed in table IV.B9.

In examining the recent history of SSI participation and the projections of such participation in the near future, certain patterns are worth noting. The rapid increase in the total number of SSI participants in the early 1990s is a function of the growth in the numbers of disabled adults and children. The growth in the numbers of children receiving SSI resulted in large part from the Supreme Court decision in the case of Sullivan v. Zebley, which greatly expanded the criteria used for determining disability for children. The growth in the numbers of disabled adults is a more complicated phenomenon which is not completely understood. However, extensive research conducted under contract to SSA and the Department of Health and Human Services suggested that this growth was the result of a combination of factors including (1) demographic trends, (2) a downturn in the economy in the late 1980s and early 1990s, (3) long-term structural changes in the economy, and (4) changes in other support programs (in particular the reduction or elimination of general assistance programs in certain States). The recent modest changes in program participation reflects the combined effects of recent legislation described in previous sections, along with changes in some of the factors mentioned above.

Table IV.B9.—SSI Recipients with Federally-Administered Benefits in Current-Payment Status
as of December, 1974-2031

[In thousands]
Year		Blind or disabled, by age group						Aged, by age group		Totals
Year		0-17	18-34	35-49	50-64	65-74	75 or older	65-74	75 or older	Blind or disabled	Aged	All
Historical data:
	1974	71	349	341	813	122	14	1,148	1,138	1,710	2,286	3,996
	1975	107	410	378	911	185	16	1,107	1,200	2,007	2,307	4,314
	1976	125	434	379	900	234	15	999	1,149	2,088	2,148	4,236
	1977	147	458	385	893	284	18	921	1,130	2,187	2,051	4,238
	1978	166	476	387	884	319	17	855	1,113	2,249	1,968	4,217
	1979	177	490	384	852	357	17	777	1,095	2,278	1,872	4,150
	1980	190	521	377	833	393	20	721	1,086	2,334	1,808	4,142
	1981	195	533	375	795	424	19	635	1,043	2,341	1,678	4,019
	1982	192	535	369	751	439	23	541	1,008	2,309	1,549	3,858
	1983	198	572	386	742	456	32	514	1,001	2,386	1,515	3,901
	1984	212	613	417	751	453	54	531	999	2,499	1,530	4,029
	1985	227	655	454	769	447	80	530	975	2,634	1,504	4,138
	1986	241	711	506	794	442	102	531	942	2,796	1,473	4,269
	1987	251	743	560	816	436	124	536	920	2,930	1,455	4,385
	1988	255	764	606	833	431	142	543	891	3,030	1,433	4,464
	1989	265	785	658	859	427	160	564	875	3,154	1,439	4,593
	1990	309	819	731	900	432	172	589	865	3,363	1,454	4,817
	1991	397	863	823	956	432	183	620	845	3,654	1,465	5,118
	1992	556	949	932	1,029	440	189	647	824	4,095	1,471	5,566
	1993	723	1,019	1,036	1,093	445	194	667	808	4,509	1,475	5,984
	1994	841	1,060	1,130	1,146	457	196	669	797	4,830	1,466	6,296
	1995	917	1,083	1,209	1,190	467	202	656	790	5,068	1,446	6,514
	1996	955	1,087	1,252	1,229	472	205	634	778	5,201	1,413	6,614
	1997	880	1,059	1,251	1,252	486	205	593	770	5,133	1,362	6,495
	1998	887	1,056	1,292	1,298	492	209	564	768	5,234	1,332	6,566
	1999	847	1,024	1,331	1,336	503	208	543	765	5,249	1,308	6,557
	2000	847	1,011	1,360	1,373	513	209	525	764	5,312	1,289	6,602
	2001	882	1,012	1,385	1,415	522	209	502	762	5,424	1,264	6,688
	2002	915	1,019	1,401	1,458	532	212	489	763	5,536	1,252	6,788
	2003	959	1,040	1,410	1,503	541	216	471	761	5,670	1,233	6,902
	2004	993	1,062	1,408	1,546	546	221	455	756	5,777	1,211	6,988
	2005	1,036	1,083	1,404	1,596	553	228	452	763	5,900	1,214	7,114
	2006	1,079	1,113	1,388	1,651	560	232	450	762	6,024	1,212	7,236
Projected:
	2007	1,117	1,168	1,383	1,714	576	237	450	762	6,195	1,213	7,408
	2008	1,142	1,215	1,379	1,782	590	241	454	760	6,350	1,215	7,565
	2009	1,170	1,257	1,364	1,846	603	246	460	759	6,485	1,219	7,704
	2010	1,196	1,299	1,348	1,906	615	253	466	760	6,617	1,226	7,843
	2011	1,219	1,338	1,335	1,958	638	258	479	758	6,746	1,237	7,983
	2012	1,229	1,370	1,324	2,003	668	264	497	757	6,856	1,254	8,110
	2013	1,216	1,388	1,310	2,042	695	269	516	756	6,920	1,272	8,192
	2014	1,207	1,397	1,300	2,076	722	273	538	755	6,976	1,293	8,269
	2015	1,207	1,403	1,297	2,101	750	277	562	755	7,035	1,316	8,351
	2016	1,207	1,410	1,300	2,115	780	280	587	756	7,093	1,342	8,435
	2017	1,210	1,413	1,305	2,120	807	287	610	761	7,142	1,371	8,512
	2018	1,213	1,419	1,309	2,121	836	294	632	770	7,191	1,402	8,593
	2019	1,215	1,423	1,311	2,120	866	300	658	779	7,234	1,437	8,672
	2020	1,219	1,425	1,312	2,119	895	307	687	788	7,277	1,475	8,752
	2021	1,223	1,428	1,315	2,112	922	318	707	808	7,319	1,515	8,834
	2022	1,227	1,431	1,326	2,097	946	333	719	838	7,360	1,557	8,917
	2023	1,234	1,429	1,342	2,079	969	346	736	866	7,399	1,601	9,000
	2024	1,241	1,426	1,360	2,059	991	359	752	894	7,437	1,646	9,083
	2025	1,249	1,421	1,380	2,039	1,013	372	769	923	7,473	1,692	9,165
	2026	1,256	1,416	1,399	2,020	1,031	385	784	955	7,508	1,738	9,246
	2027	1,264	1,414	1,415	2,004	1,045	399	797	987	7,541	1,784	9,325
	2028	1,271	1,413	1,427	1,992	1,056	414	807	1,021	7,573	1,828	9,402
	2029	1,277	1,415	1,436	1,986	1,063	429	814	1,057	7,605	1,871	9,475
	2030	1,282	1,418	1,442	1,987	1,062	443	818	1,092	7,635	1,910	9,545
	2031	1,286	1,423	1,446	1,995	1,056	459	818	1,129	7,664	1,946	9,611

Note: Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components. Historical split among age groups is estimated on a calendar year of age basis.

Section footnotes--

¹Recipient flows are projected on a calendar-year-age basis, with activity throughout a given year tabulated according to age at the end of the calendar year. Tabulations of recipients in current-payment status are provided as of December of each calendar year at which time calendar year of age and age last birthday are the same. However, the tabulations that reflect activity throughout the calendar year are summarized according to calendar year of age and will not correspond precisely to tabulations summarized according to age last birthday. For example, applications for the 0-17 age group for a given calendar year include applications only for those individuals who are under 18 at the end of the calendar year.

²Individuals may apply for SSI benefits based on age as of the day preceding their 65th birthday.

³The signature proxy process eases the application process by eliminating the requirement for a signed paper application from SSI applicants filing claims via the telephone. Previously some portion of those telephone applicants never followed through with a signed paper application. Since the introduction of the signature proxy process, there has been a significant increase in the numbers of denials where the applicant does not meet the nonmedical criteria.

⁴In addition, these counts differ slightly from other similar totals identified as "awards" and published by the Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics (ORES) in the Annual Statistical Supplement to the Social Security Bulletin. The ORES totals are similar in concept to those used in this report, but differ slightly due to the timing of the action being tabulated. For example, ORES does not count a disability benefit as being awarded until the disability decision is made. In contrast, under the procedures used in this report, individuals first coming on the SSI rolls through a finding of presumptive disability would be counted as a "new recipient" in the first month of presumptive disability payment.

⁵Some historical details on income and resource redeterminations and the results of continuing disability reviews are presented in section V.D. Section V.E presents information on certain incentive programs intended to encourage disabled SSI recipients to return to work.


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2007 Annual Report of the SSI Program

Section footnotes--