Description of Proposed Provision:
B3.9: Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2032, gradually reduce the 15 percent PIA factor in each year so that it reaches 10 percent for those newly eligible in 2061 and later.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201913.9112.85-1.06
273
0.000.000.00
202013.9412.87-1.07
260
0.000.000.00
202114.0912.90-1.19
245
0.000.000.00
202214.2312.92-1.31
229
0.000.000.00
202314.4012.94-1.46
213
0.000.000.00
202414.5912.97-1.62
197
0.000.000.00
202514.7912.99-1.80
180
0.000.000.00
202614.9913.11-1.88
163
0.000.000.00
202715.1913.13-2.06
147
0.000.000.00
202815.4313.17-2.26
130
0.000.000.00
202915.6313.19-2.44
114
0.000.000.00
203015.8113.20-2.60
97
0.000.000.00
203115.9713.22-2.75
80
0.000.000.00
203216.1113.23-2.88
63
-0.00-0.000.00
203316.2313.24-2.99
46
-0.00-0.000.00
203416.3313.25-3.08
28
-0.00-0.000.00
203516.4013.25-3.15
10
-0.00-0.000.00
203616.4613.26-3.20
----
-0.00-0.000.00
203716.5213.26-3.25
----
-0.00-0.000.00
203816.5613.27-3.30
----
-0.00-0.000.00
203916.6013.27-3.33
----
-0.00-0.000.00
204016.6113.27-3.34
----
-0.01-0.000.01
204116.6013.27-3.33
----
-0.01-0.000.01
204216.5813.27-3.31
----
-0.01-0.000.01
204316.5413.27-3.27
----
-0.01-0.000.01
204416.5113.27-3.23
----
-0.02-0.000.02
204516.4713.27-3.20
----
-0.02-0.000.02
204616.4313.27-3.16
----
-0.02-0.000.02
204716.4013.27-3.13
----
-0.03-0.000.03
204816.3713.27-3.10
----
-0.03-0.000.03
204916.3413.27-3.08
----
-0.04-0.000.04
205016.3213.27-3.06
----
-0.04-0.000.04
205116.3113.27-3.04
----
-0.05-0.000.05
205216.3113.27-3.04
----
-0.06-0.000.05
205316.3113.27-3.04
----
-0.06-0.000.06
205416.3213.27-3.04
----
-0.07-0.000.07
205516.3313.27-3.06
----
-0.08-0.000.07
205616.3613.28-3.08
----
-0.09-0.000.08
205716.3913.28-3.11
----
-0.09-0.010.09
205816.4313.28-3.14
----
-0.10-0.010.10
205916.4713.29-3.18
----
-0.11-0.010.10
206016.5113.29-3.22
----
-0.12-0.010.11
206116.5513.29-3.26
----
-0.13-0.010.12
206216.6013.30-3.30
----
-0.14-0.010.13
206316.6413.30-3.34
----
-0.14-0.010.14
206416.6913.30-3.38
----
-0.15-0.010.14
206516.7413.31-3.43
----
-0.16-0.010.15
206616.7813.31-3.47
----
-0.17-0.010.16
206716.8313.32-3.52
----
-0.18-0.010.17
206816.8913.32-3.57
----
-0.19-0.010.18
206916.9413.32-3.62
----
-0.20-0.010.18
207016.9913.33-3.67
----
-0.20-0.010.19
207117.0413.33-3.71
----
-0.21-0.010.20
207217.0813.33-3.75
----
-0.22-0.010.20
207317.1213.34-3.79
----
-0.22-0.010.21
207417.1613.34-3.82
----
-0.23-0.010.22
207517.1913.34-3.85
----
-0.24-0.010.22
207617.2213.34-3.87
----
-0.24-0.010.23
207717.2313.35-3.89
----
-0.25-0.010.23
207817.2313.35-3.89
----
-0.25-0.010.24
207917.2213.35-3.88
----
-0.25-0.020.24
208017.2113.35-3.86
----
-0.26-0.020.24
208117.1913.34-3.84
----
-0.26-0.020.24
208217.1613.34-3.82
----
-0.26-0.020.25
208317.1413.34-3.80
----
-0.26-0.020.25
208417.1113.34-3.77
----
-0.27-0.020.25
208517.0913.34-3.75
----
-0.27-0.020.25
208617.0713.34-3.73
----
-0.27-0.020.25
208717.0613.34-3.72
----
-0.27-0.020.25
208817.0613.34-3.72
----
-0.27-0.020.25
208917.0613.34-3.73
----
-0.27-0.020.26
209017.0813.34-3.75
----
-0.27-0.020.26
209117.1113.34-3.77
----
-0.27-0.020.26
209217.1513.34-3.81
----
-0.28-0.020.26
209317.2013.35-3.85
----
-0.28-0.020.26
209417.2513.35-3.90
----
-0.28-0.020.26


Summarized Estimates

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
2019-2093 16.50% 13.81% -2.69%
2035
-0.10% -0.01% 0.09%

1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2035.
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2019 Trustees Report.