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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
B4.5: For retired and disabled workers, reduce the maximum number of dropout years to 4 for workers newly eligible in 2019, to 3 for workers newly eligible in 2020, and to 2 for workers newly eligible in 2021 and later.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4912.93-0.56
287
0.000.000.00
201913.7012.95-0.75
273
-0.00-0.000.00
202013.8512.96-0.89
259
-0.01-0.000.01
202114.0012.99-1.01
245
-0.02-0.000.02
202214.2213.02-1.20
231
-0.03-0.000.03
202314.5013.05-1.45
216
-0.05-0.000.05
202414.7613.08-1.68
200
-0.07-0.000.07
202515.0113.10-1.91
185
-0.09-0.000.09
202615.2613.13-2.13
168
-0.12-0.010.11
202715.4813.14-2.33
151
-0.14-0.010.13
202815.6913.16-2.53
135
-0.17-0.010.16
202915.8813.17-2.70
118
-0.19-0.010.18
203016.0513.19-2.87
100
-0.21-0.010.20
203116.2113.20-3.02
83
-0.23-0.010.22
203216.3513.21-3.14
65
-0.26-0.010.24
203316.4613.21-3.25
47
-0.28-0.010.26
203416.5513.22-3.33
28
-0.30-0.010.28
203516.6113.22-3.39
8
-0.31-0.020.30
203616.6613.23-3.43
----
-0.33-0.020.32
203716.6713.23-3.44
----
-0.35-0.020.33
203816.6613.23-3.43
----
-0.36-0.020.35
203916.6213.23-3.39
----
-0.38-0.020.36
204016.5713.23-3.34
----
-0.39-0.020.37
204116.5113.23-3.29
----
-0.40-0.020.38
204216.4513.22-3.23
----
-0.41-0.020.39
204316.3813.22-3.17
----
-0.42-0.020.40
204416.3313.22-3.11
----
-0.43-0.020.41
204516.2813.21-3.06
----
-0.44-0.020.42
204616.2313.21-3.02
----
-0.45-0.020.43
204716.1913.21-2.98
----
-0.46-0.020.43
204816.1513.21-2.94
----
-0.47-0.020.44
204916.1213.21-2.91
----
-0.47-0.020.45
205016.0913.21-2.88
----
-0.48-0.020.45
205116.0713.21-2.87
----
-0.48-0.020.46
205216.0713.21-2.86
----
-0.49-0.030.46
205316.0813.21-2.87
----
-0.49-0.030.47
205416.0913.21-2.88
----
-0.50-0.030.47
205516.1213.21-2.91
----
-0.50-0.030.48
205616.1513.21-2.94
----
-0.51-0.030.48
205716.1913.22-2.97
----
-0.51-0.030.48
205816.2313.22-3.01
----
-0.51-0.030.49
205916.2713.22-3.05
----
-0.51-0.030.49
206016.3113.23-3.09
----
-0.52-0.030.49
206116.3513.23-3.13
----
-0.52-0.030.49
206216.4013.23-3.17
----
-0.52-0.030.49
206316.4513.23-3.21
----
-0.52-0.030.50
206416.4913.24-3.25
----
-0.53-0.030.50
206516.5413.24-3.30
----
-0.53-0.030.50
206616.5913.24-3.34
----
-0.53-0.030.50
206716.6413.25-3.39
----
-0.53-0.030.50
206816.6913.25-3.44
----
-0.53-0.030.51
206916.7413.25-3.49
----
-0.54-0.030.51
207016.7913.26-3.53
----
-0.54-0.030.51
207116.8313.26-3.57
----
-0.54-0.030.51
207216.8713.26-3.61
----
-0.54-0.030.51
207316.9113.26-3.64
----
-0.54-0.030.51
207416.9413.27-3.67
----
-0.54-0.030.51
207516.9613.27-3.69
----
-0.54-0.030.52
207616.9713.27-3.71
----
-0.54-0.030.52
207716.9813.27-3.71
----
-0.54-0.030.52
207816.9813.27-3.71
----
-0.54-0.030.52
207916.9713.27-3.70
----
-0.54-0.030.52
208016.9713.27-3.70
----
-0.54-0.030.52
208116.9613.27-3.69
----
-0.54-0.030.52
208216.9613.27-3.69
----
-0.54-0.030.52
208316.9713.27-3.70
----
-0.54-0.030.52
208416.9813.27-3.71
----
-0.54-0.030.52
208517.0113.27-3.73
----
-0.55-0.030.52
208617.0313.27-3.76
----
-0.55-0.030.52
208717.0713.27-3.79
----
-0.55-0.030.52
208817.1113.28-3.83
----
-0.55-0.030.52
208917.1513.28-3.87
----
-0.55-0.030.52
209017.2013.28-3.91
----
-0.55-0.030.52
209117.2413.29-3.96
----
-0.55-0.030.52
209217.2913.29-4.00
----
-0.55-0.030.53



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.
2017-2091 16.28% 13.82% -2.46%
2035
-0.38% -0.02% 0.36%
 
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

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Last reviewed or modified July 13, 2017