Description of Proposed Provisions:
              Provisions Affecting Coverage of Employment or Earnings
        
		Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of
         the 2017 Trustees Report
        
        
        Printer-friendly Version (PDF)
        
| Change from current law [percent of payroll] | Shortfall eliminated | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long-range actuarial balance | Annual balance in 75th year | Long-range actuarial balance | Annual balance in 75th year | |||
| Current law shortfall in long-range actuarial balance is 2.83 percent of payroll and in annual balance for the 75th year is 4.48 percent of payroll. | ||||||
| F1 | Starting in 2018, cover newly hired State and local government employees. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Fiscal Commission) | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center 2010) | memo (Warshawsky) | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) | 0.17 | -0.18 | 6% | -4% | |
| F2 | Starting in 2018, exempt individuals with more than 180 quarters of 
          coverage from the OASDI payroll tax. Earnings exempted from OASDI 
          payroll tax would not be used in computing benefits. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Warshawsky) | -0.52 | -0.71 | -18% | -16% | |
| F3 | Expand covered earnings to include employer and employee premiums for 
          employer-sponsored group health insurance (ESI). Starting in 2021, phase 
          out the OASDI payroll tax exclusion for ESI premiums. Set an exclusion 
          level at the 75th percentile of premium distribution in 2021, with amounts 
          above that subject to the payroll tax. Reduce the exclusion level each 
          year by 10 percent of the 2021 exclusion level until fully eliminated in 
          2031. Eliminate the excise tax on ESI premiums starting in 2021. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center 2010) | 0.94 | 0.66 | 33% | 15% | |
| F4 | Expand covered earnings to include contributions to voluntary salary 
          reduction plans (such as Cafeteria 125 plans and Flexible Spending 
          Accounts). Starting in 2018, subject these contributions to the OASDI 
          payroll tax, making the payroll tax treatment of these contributions 
          like 401(k) contributions. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center 2010) | 0.28 | 0.17 | 10% | 4% | |
| F5 | Tax Reform for Business: Establish a value added tax of 3.0 percent 
          for 2019 and 6.5 percent for 2020 and later. Starting in 2019, reduce the 
          corporate income tax rate from 35 to 27 percent. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center 2010) | -0.02 | 0.17 | -1% | 4% | |
| F6 | Apply a 6.2 percent tax on investment income as defined in the Affordable 
          Care Act (ACA), with unindexed thresholds as in the ACA ($200,000 for single 
          filer, $250,000 for married filing jointly), starting in 2019. Proceeds go to 
          the OASDI Trust Fund. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Sanders, DeFazio) | memo (Sanders 2016) | memo (Sanders 2015) | 0.94 | 1.16 | 33% | 26% | |