Description of Proposed Provision:
F1: Starting in 2018, cover newly hired State and local government employees.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4912.96-0.53
287
0.000.030.03
201913.7013.01-0.69
273
-0.000.060.06
202013.8513.06-0.80
259
0.000.100.10
202114.0213.12-0.90
246
0.000.130.12
202214.2613.17-1.08
232
0.000.150.15
202314.5513.22-1.32
218
0.000.170.17
202414.8313.28-1.55
203
0.000.200.19
202515.1013.32-1.78
188
0.000.220.21
202615.3813.37-2.01
172
0.010.230.23
202715.6213.40-2.22
155
0.010.250.24
202815.8613.43-2.43
139
0.010.270.26
202916.0813.46-2.61
123
0.010.280.27
203016.2813.49-2.79
106
0.010.300.28
203116.4613.52-2.95
89
0.020.310.29
203216.6213.54-3.08
72
0.020.320.31
203316.7613.56-3.20
54
0.020.340.31
203416.8713.58-3.29
36
0.030.350.32
203516.9613.60-3.36
17
0.030.360.33
203617.0213.62-3.40
----
0.030.370.34
203717.0613.63-3.43
----
0.040.380.35
203817.0613.65-3.42
----
0.040.400.35
203917.0513.66-3.39
----
0.050.410.36
204017.0213.67-3.35
----
0.060.420.36
204116.9813.68-3.30
----
0.060.430.37
204216.9313.68-3.24
----
0.070.440.38
204316.8813.69-3.19
----
0.080.450.38
204416.8513.70-3.14
----
0.090.460.38
204516.8113.71-3.10
----
0.100.470.38
204616.7813.72-3.06
----
0.100.490.38
204716.7613.73-3.03
----
0.110.500.38
204816.7413.75-2.99
----
0.130.520.39
204916.7313.75-2.98
----
0.140.520.38
205016.7213.75-2.97
----
0.160.520.36
205116.7313.75-2.97
----
0.170.520.35
205216.7413.75-2.98
----
0.180.520.34
205316.7713.76-3.01
----
0.200.520.32
205416.8113.76-3.05
----
0.220.520.30
205516.8613.76-3.10
----
0.240.520.29
205616.9113.77-3.15
----
0.260.530.27
205716.9713.77-3.20
----
0.270.530.26
205817.0313.77-3.26
----
0.290.530.24
205917.1013.78-3.32
----
0.320.530.21
206017.1713.78-3.38
----
0.340.530.19
206117.2313.79-3.44
----
0.360.530.18
206217.3013.79-3.51
----
0.370.530.16
206317.3713.80-3.57
----
0.400.530.14
206417.4313.80-3.63
----
0.420.540.12
206517.5013.80-3.70
----
0.440.540.10
206617.5713.81-3.76
----
0.460.540.08
206717.6413.81-3.83
----
0.470.540.07
206817.7113.82-3.90
----
0.490.540.05
206917.7913.82-3.96
----
0.510.540.03
207017.8513.83-4.03
----
0.530.540.01
207117.9213.83-4.09
----
0.540.54-0.00
207217.9713.83-4.14
----
0.560.54-0.02
207318.0313.84-4.19
----
0.580.54-0.03
207418.0713.84-4.23
----
0.590.54-0.05
207518.1113.84-4.26
----
0.600.54-0.06
207618.1313.84-4.29
----
0.610.55-0.07
207718.1513.84-4.31
----
0.630.55-0.08
207818.1613.85-4.32
----
0.640.55-0.09
207918.1613.85-4.32
----
0.650.55-0.10
208018.1713.85-4.32
----
0.660.55-0.11
208118.1713.85-4.32
----
0.660.55-0.12
208218.1813.85-4.33
----
0.670.55-0.12
208318.1913.85-4.35
----
0.680.55-0.13
208418.2113.85-4.37
----
0.690.55-0.14
208518.2413.85-4.39
----
0.690.55-0.14
208618.2813.85-4.43
----
0.700.55-0.15
208718.3213.85-4.47
----
0.700.55-0.16
208818.3713.86-4.52
----
0.710.55-0.16
208918.4213.86-4.56
----
0.720.55-0.17
209018.4713.86-4.61
----
0.720.55-0.17
209118.5213.86-4.66
----
0.730.55-0.18
209218.5713.87-4.70
----
0.730.55-0.18


Summarized Estimates

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
2017-2091 16.92% 14.26% -2.66%
2035
0.25% 0.42% 0.17%

1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.