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| Actuarial Publications |   Summary of Provisions That Would Change the Social Security Program | |
| Description of Proposed Provisions: | |
Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report
| Printer-friendly Version (PDF) | 
| Change from present law [percent of payroll] | Shortfall eliminated | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long-range actuarial balance | Annual balance in 75th year | Long-range actuarial balance | Annual balance in 75th year | |||
| Present law shortfall in long-range actuarial balance is 2.88 percent of payroll and annual balance for the 75th year is 4.90 percent of payroll. | ||||||
| H1 | Starting in 2015, tax Social Security benefits in a manner similar to private
          pension income.  Phase out the lower-income thresholds during 2015-2024. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) | 0.21 | 0.15 | 7% | 3% | |
| H2 | Starting in 2015, tax Social Security benefits in a manner similar to private
          pension income.  Phase out the lower-income thresholds during 2015-2034. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Warshawsky) | 0.19 | 0.15 | 7% | 3% | |
| H3 | Tax Reform for Individuals:  Starting in 2016, modify
          personal income tax by: (a) establishing two-brackets with marginal
          rates of 15 and 27 percent separated at $51,000 (CPI indexed); (b)
          creating a non-refundable credit for low-income tax filers age 65
          and older; and (c) treating capital gains as regular income.  Tax
          all Social Security benefits at the applicable marginal rate (15 or
          27 percent) less 7.5 percent, with 60 percent of this revenue going
          to OASDI and 40 percent going to HI. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center) | 0.04 | 0.00 | 1% | 0% | |
| H4 | Increase the threshold for taxation of OASDI benefits to $50,000 for
          single filers and $100,000 for joint filers starting in 2016.
          Taxation of benefits revenues transferred to the Hospital Insurance
          (HI) Trust Fund would be the same as if the current-law computation
          applied. graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Larson) | -0.12 | -0.01 | -4% | 0% | |
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