Description of Proposed Provisions:
Provisions Affecting Retirement Age
Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of
the 2018 Trustees Report
Printer-friendly Version (PDF - coming soon)
Change from current law [percent of payroll] |
Shortfall eliminated | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Long-range actuarial balance |
Annual balance in 75th year |
Long-range actuarial balance |
Annual balance in 75th year |
|||
Current law shortfall in long-range actuarial balance is 2.84 percent of payroll and in annual balance for the 75th year is 4.32 percent of payroll. | ||||||
C1.1 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62
in 2022, increase the NRA 1 month every 2 years until the NRA reaches 68.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.37 | 0.69 | 13% | 16% | |
C1.2 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62
in 2022, increase the NRA 2 months per year until the NRA reaches 68.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Liebman, MacGuineas, Samwick) |
0.46 | 0.69 | 16% | 16% | |
C1.3 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age
62 in 2022, index the NRA to maintain a constant ratio of expected
retirement years (life expectancy at NRA) to potential work years
(NRA minus 20). We assume the NRA will increase 1 month every 2 years.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Ryan 2010) | memo (AARP) | memo (Ryan 2008) | memo (Social Security Advisory Board) |
0.55 | 1.55 | 19% | 36% | |
C1.4 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62
in 2022, increase the NRA 2 months per year until it reaches 69 for
individuals attaining age 62 in 2034. Thereafter, increase the NRA
1 month every 2 years.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Ribble) | memo (Chaffetz) |
1.11 | 2.17 | 39% | 50% | |
C1.5 |
Starting in 2019, allow workers to choose whether to have their payroll
tax rate reduced by 2 percentage points. For each calendar year that a
worker chooses to have their payroll tax reduced, their normal retirement
age (NRA) increases 1 month. We assume 2/3 of workers each year will choose
this payroll reduction. The General Fund of the Treasury reimburses the
OASI and DI Trust Funds for the reduction in payroll tax revenue.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Landry) |
0.66 | 1.23 | 23% | 28% | |
C1.6 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62
in 2022, increase the NRA by 1 month every 2 years until the NRA
reaches 69. Also increase the age up to which the delayed retirement
credit may be earned at the same rate (from 70 to 72). No change to
earliest eligibility age.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center October 2016) | memo (Bipartisan Policy Center June 2016) |
0.53 | 1.32 | 19% | 31% | |
C1.7 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those attaining
age 62 in 2022, increase the NRA by 3 months per year starting for
attaining age 62 in 2023 until it reaches 69 for those attaining age
62 in 2030. Increase the age up to which delayed retirement credits
may be earned from 70 to 72 on the same schedule. Increase the widow(er)
NRA in the same manner. The earliest eligibility age (EEA) for worker's
and widow(er)'s benefit is unchanged.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Johnson 2016) |
0.88 | 1.32 | 31% | 31% | |
C2.1 |
Increase the earliest eligibility age (EEA) by two months per year
for those age 62 starting in 2020 and ending in 2037 (EEA reaches
65 for those age 62 in 2037).
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (AARP) |
-0.07 | -0.42 | -2% | -10% | |
C2.2 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62
in 2022, index the NRA to maintain a constant ratio of expected
retirement years (life expectancy at NRA) to potential work years
(NRA minus 20). We assume the NRA will increase 1 month every 2
years. Also, raise the earliest eligibility age (EEA) for retired-workers,
aged widow(er)s, and disabled widow(er)s by the same amount as the
NRA starting for those attaining EEA in 2019.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (NRC/NAPA) | memo (Warshawsky) |
0.51 | 1.25 | 18% | 29% | |
C2.3 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62
in 2022, index the NRA to maintain a constant ratio of expected
retirement years (life expectancy at NRA) to potential work years
(NRA minus 20). We assume the NRA will increase 1 month every 2
years. Also, increase the earliest eligibility age (EEA) by the
same amount as the NRA starting for those age 62 in 2022 so as to
maintain a 5 year difference between the two ages. Include a "hardship
exemption" with no EEA/NRA change for a worker with 25 years of
earnings (with 4 quarters of coverage each), and average indexed
monthly earnings (AIME) less than 250 percent of the poverty level
(wage-indexed from 2013). The hardship exemption is phased out for
those with AIME above 400 percent of the poverty level.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Fiscal Commission) |
0.42 | 1.06 | 15% | 25% | |
C2.4 |
After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62
in 2022, increase both the NRA and the earliest eligibility age
(EEA) by 36/47 of a month per year until the NRA and EEA reach 70
and 65 respectively. For each year, the computed NRA and EEA round
down to the next lower full month.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Lummis) |
0.75 | 1.78 | 27% | 41% | |
C2.5 |
Increase the normal retirement age (NRA) 3 months per year starting
for those age 62 in 2019 until the NRA reaches 70 in 2033. Thereafter,
index the NRA to maintain a constant ratio of expected retirement
years (life expectancy at NRA) to potential work years (NRA minus 20).
We assume the NRA will increase 1 month every 2 years. Also, increase
the earliest eligibility age (EEA) from 62 to 64 at the same time the
NRA increases from 67 to 69; that is, for those attaining age 62 in
2021 through 2028. Keep EEA at 64 thereafter.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Graham, Paul, Lee) |
1.37 | 2.65 | 48% | 61% | |
C2.6 |
Increase the normal retirement age (NRA) and the earliest eligibility
age (EEA) for those age 62 in 2020-2021 to 68 and 63, respectively, and
then by 3 months per year in 2022-2025 to 69 and 64, respectively.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Hutchison) |
0.89 | 1.11 | 31% | 26% | |
C2.7 |
Increase the normal retirement age (NRA) and the earliest eligibility
age (EEA) for those age 62 starting in 2019 by 3 months per year until
EEA reaches 64 in 2026 and NRA reaches 69 in 2029.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Hutchison) |
0.81 | 1.11 | 28% | 26% | |
C2.8 |
Starting in 2021, convert all disabled-worker beneficiaries to
retired-worker status upon attainment of their earliest eligibility
age (EEA) rather than their normal retirement age (NRA). After
conversion, apply the early retirement reduction for retirement
at EEA (currently about 29.2 percent for those age 62 in 2021)
phased in over 40 years.
graph | table | pdf-graph | pdf-table | memo (Warshawsky) |
0.43 | 0.80 | 15% | 18% |