Social Security Area Population on July 1 and Dependency Ratios — 2023 OASDI Trustees Report

Single-Year Tables Historical data Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions
Table V.A3.—Social Security Area Population on July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1941-2100
Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over		   Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1941   48,419   83,516   9,814   141,749   0.118   0.697
1942   48,410   84,647   10,082   143,140   .119   .691
1943   48,765   85,765   10,336   144,866   .121   .689
1944   48,939   86,853   10,592   146,383   .122   .685
1945   49,107   87,891   10,886   147,883   .124   .683
1946   49,278   88,878   11,216   149,373   .126   .681
1947   50,559   89,824   11,570   151,954   .129   .692
1948   51,599   90,692   11,947   154,238   .132   .701
1949   52,746   91,472   12,356   156,574   .135   .712
1950   53,918   92,190   12,789   158,897   .139   .724
1951   56,470   93,978   13,334   163,782   .142   .743
1952   57,992   94,581   13,784   166,357   .146   .759
1953   59,680   95,048   14,252   168,980   .150   .778
1954   61,523   95,461   14,719   171,703   .154   .799
1955   63,337   96,003   15,161   174,501   .158   .818
1956   65,200   96,498   15,593   177,291   .162   .837
1957   67,346   97,750   16,024   181,121   .164   .853
1958   69,276   98,383   16,456   184,114   .167   .871
1959   71,129   99,051   16,894   187,074   .171   .889
1960   72,915   99,752   17,323   189,990   .174   .905
1961   74,817   100,559   17,739   193,115   .176   .920
1962   76,455   101,475   18,129   196,059   .179   .932
1963   77,638   102,732   18,481   198,852   .180   .936
1964   78,897   103,809   18,821   201,528   .181   .941
1965   80,002   104,863   19,153   204,018   .183   .946
1966   80,934   105,837   19,487   206,257   .184   .949
1967   80,674   107,866   19,850   208,390   .184   .932
1968   80,623   109,595   20,214   210,432   .184   .920
1969   80,656   111,302   20,592   212,550   .185   .910
1970   80,856   112,953   21,007   214,815   .186   .902
1971   80,980   114,697   21,451   217,127   .187   .893
1972   80,688   116,515   21,897   219,100   .188   .880
1973   80,103   118,431   22,350   220,885   .189   .865
1974   79,337   120,475   22,832   222,644   .190   .848
1975   78,577   122,594   23,370   224,541   .191   .832
1976   77,710   124,754   23,949   226,414   .192   .815
1977   76,842   127,098   24,541   228,481   .193   .798
1978   76,018   129,469   25,141   230,628   .194   .781
1979   75,351   131,807   25,739   232,897   .195   .767
1980   74,841   134,029   26,315   235,184   .196   .755
1981   74,269   136,274   26,873   237,417   .197   .742
1982   73,807   138,459   27,462   239,728   .198   .731
1983   73,418   140,593   28,023   242,035   .199   .722
1984   73,012   142,689   28,561   244,262   .200   .712
1985   72,892   144,585   29,129   246,607   .201   .706
1986   73,034   146,228   29,731   248,994   .203   .703
1987   73,283   147,801   30,332   251,416   .205   .701
1988   73,680   149,338   30,872   253,889   .207   .700
1989   74,139   150,975   31,385   256,500   .208   .699
1990   74,791   152,731   31,926   259,449   .209   .699
1991   75,483   154,608   32,488   262,579   .210   .698
1992   76,426   156,233   33,031   265,691   .211   .701
1993   77,455   157,713   33,513   268,682   .212   .704
1994   78,459   159,167   33,928   271,554   .213   .706
1995   79,287   160,735   34,294   274,317   .213   .707
1996   80,086   162,263   34,641   276,990   .213   .707
1997   80,677   164,062   34,913   279,652   .213   .705
1998   81,204   165,962   35,122   282,288   .212   .701
1999   81,615   168,024   35,276   284,915   .210   .696
2000   81,980   170,139   35,500   287,619   .209   .690
2001   82,369   172,337   35,716   290,423   .207   .685
2002   82,668   174,575   35,950   293,193   .206   .679
2003   82,983   176,615   36,290   295,888   .205   .675
2004   83,450   178,551   36,679   298,681   .205   .673
2005   83,906   180,823   37,123   301,853   .205   .669
2006   84,473   183,103   37,674   305,251   .206   .667
2007   85,118   184,811   38,368   308,298   .208   .668
2008   85,578   185,623   39,362   310,563   .212   .673
2009   85,810   186,691   40,201   312,702   .215   .675
2010   85,673   188,274   41,044   314,990   .218   .673
2011   85,285   189,924   41,803   317,011   .220   .669
2012   84,893   190,463   43,520   318,876   .228   .674
2013   84,587   191,225   44,928   320,740   .235   .677
2014   84,447   192,288   46,345   323,079   .241   .680
2015   84,427   193,533   47,768   325,727   .247   .683
2016   84,400   194,256   49,264   327,920   .254   .688
2017   84,260   194,749   50,784   329,793   .261   .693
2018   83,992   195,104   52,358   331,455   .268   .699
2019   83,653   195,036   53,982   332,671   .277   .706
2020 c   83,298   194,877   55,493   333,667   .285   .712
2021 d   82,893   194,834   56,852   334,578   .292   .717
2022 d   82,723   194,907   58,367   335,997   .299   .724

Intermediate:
2023   82,741   195,504   60,001   338,246   .307   .730
2024   82,841   196,388   61,707   340,937   .314   .736
2025   82,861   197,082   63,420   343,362   .322   .742
2026   82,779   197,564   65,150   345,494   .330   .749
2027   82,627   198,252   66,746   347,625   .337   .753
2028   82,503   198,975   68,280   349,758   .343   .758
2029   82,569   199,599   69,726   351,894   .349   .763
2030   82,828   200,212   70,995   354,034   .355   .768
2031   83,200   200,930   72,030   356,160   .358   .773
2032   83,659   201,668   72,929   358,256   .362   .776
2033   84,138   202,462   73,724   360,323   .364   .780
2034   84,624   203,185   74,555   362,363   .367   .783
2035   85,114   203,819   75,441   364,374   .370   .788
2036   85,658   204,348   76,353   366,358   .374   .793
2037   86,314   205,058   76,943   368,314   .375   .796
2038   87,045   205,862   77,330   370,238   .376   .798
2039   87,875   206,669   77,583   372,127   .375   .801
2040   88,689   207,392   77,896   373,977   .376   .803
2041   89,637   208,034   78,114   375,785   .375   .806
2042   90,491   208,622   78,437   377,549   .376   .810
2043   91,306   209,227   78,732   379,265   .376   .813
2044   92,054   209,785   79,102   380,941   .377   .816
2045   92,732   210,257   79,585   382,575   .379   .820
2046   93,341   210,749   80,089   384,179   .380   .823
2047   93,881   211,276   80,574   385,731   .381   .826
2048   94,350   211,849   81,071   387,270   .383   .828
2049   94,751   212,576   81,456   388,783   .383   .829
2050   95,086   213,249   81,948   390,283   .384   .830
2051   95,373   213,941   82,459   391,772   .385   .831
2052   95,632   214,654   82,978   393,265   .387   .832
2053   95,867   215,339   83,559   394,765   .388   .833
2054   96,081   215,953   84,246   396,280   .390   .835
2055   96,280   216,458   85,080   397,818   .393   .838
2056   96,470   216,986   85,930   399,386   .396   .841
2057   96,658   217,562   86,767   400,987   .399   .843
2058   96,853   218,245   87,529   402,626   .401   .845
2059   97,063   219,007   88,235   404,305   .403   .846
2060   97,298   219,807   88,922   406,027   .405   .847
2061   97,565   220,638   89,584   407,787   .406   .848
2062   97,868   221,452   90,265   409,586   .408   .850
2063   98,213   222,244   90,963   411,420   .409   .851
2064   98,600   222,994   91,689   413,284   .411   .853
2065   99,029   223,674   92,471   415,174   .413   .856
2066   99,498   224,350   93,238   417,086   .416   .859
2067   100,004   225,074   93,933   419,012   .417   .862
2068   100,543   225,749   94,658   420,950   .419   .865
2069   101,109   226,358   95,424   422,892   .422   .868
2070   101,697   226,944   96,192   424,833   .424   .872
2071   102,300   227,481   96,986   426,767   .426   .876
2072   102,911   227,901   97,885   428,697   .430   .881
2073   103,522   228,303   98,790   430,615   .433   .886
2074   104,126   228,841   99,555   432,522   .435   .890
2075   104,716   229,517   100,175   434,408   .436   .893
2076   105,286   230,278   100,718   436,282   .437   .895
2077   105,832   231,122   101,180   438,134   .438   .896
2078   106,348   231,989   101,638   439,975   .438   .897
2079   106,833   232,869   102,096   441,798   .438   .897
2080   107,286   233,759   102,562   443,607   .439   .898
2081   107,708   234,708   102,992   445,408   .439   .898
2082   108,099   235,774   103,328   447,201   .438   .897
2083   108,463   236,918   103,607   448,989   .437   .895
2084   108,805   238,176   103,802   450,783   .436   .893
2085   109,129   239,433   104,013   452,575   .434   .890
2086   109,439   240,851   104,086   454,375   .432   .887
2087   109,741   242,193   104,252   456,187   .430   .884
2088   110,041   243,530   104,441   458,012   .429   .881
2089   110,343   244,829   104,682   459,853   .428   .878
2090   110,652   246,086   104,972   461,710   .427   .876
2091   110,971   247,302   105,315   463,588   .426   .875
2092   111,305   248,473   105,707   465,486   .425   .873
2093   111,656   249,597   106,154   467,407   .425   .873
2094   112,026   250,670   106,654   469,350   .425   .872
2095   112,417   251,691   107,207   471,315   .426   .873
2096   112,828   252,672   107,803   473,303   .427   .873
2097   113,259   253,627   108,425   475,311   .427   .874
2098   113,710   254,553   109,078   477,341   .429   .875
2099   114,179   255,450   109,764   479,392   .430   .877
2100   114,662   256,318   110,479   481,459   .431   .878

Low-cost:
2023   83,424   196,384   59,964   339,772   .305   .730
2024   83,935   197,662   61,632   343,229   .312   .736
2025   84,418   198,745   63,296   346,458   .318   .743
2026   84,844   199,611   64,967   349,422   .325   .751
2027   85,237   200,683   66,494   352,413   .331   .756
2028   85,691   201,790   67,948   355,429   .337   .761
2029   86,364   202,797   69,305   358,466   .342   .768
2030   87,253   203,791   70,476   361,520   .346   .774
2031   88,276   204,890   71,404   364,570   .348   .779
2032   89,402   206,006   72,187   367,595   .350   .784
2033   90,559   207,175   72,859   370,593   .352   .789
2034   91,734   208,271   73,559   373,564   .353   .794
2035   92,920   209,278   74,306   376,504   .355   .799
2036   94,165   210,177   75,073   379,415   .357   .805
2037   95,528   211,252   75,512   382,292   .357   .810
2038   96,965   212,419   75,747   385,132   .357   .813
2039   98,503   213,583   75,845   387,931   .355   .816
2040   100,023   214,663   76,000   390,686   .354   .820
2041   101,682   215,652   76,059   393,394   .353   .824
2042   103,190   216,642   76,223   396,055   .352   .828
2043   104,571   217,738   76,359   398,668   .351   .831
2044   105,815   218,858   76,570   401,243   .350   .833
2045   106,934   219,951   76,896   403,781   .350   .836
2046   107,941   221,113   77,242   406,296   .349   .838
2047   108,846   222,350   77,578   408,774   .349   .838
2048   109,658   223,665   77,927   411,249   .348   .839
2049   110,385   225,161   78,171   413,717   .347   .837
2050   111,039   226,626   78,526   416,191   .346   .836
2051   111,644   228,129   78,906   418,678   .346   .835
2052   112,228   229,666   79,300   421,194   .345   .834
2053   112,803   231,186   79,759   423,747   .345   .833
2054   113,377   232,641   80,330   426,348   .345   .833
2055   113,963   233,994   81,050   429,007   .346   .833
2056   114,569   235,371   81,792   431,732   .348   .834
2057   115,207   236,793   82,527   434,526   .349   .835
2058   115,886   238,317   83,193   437,396   .349   .835
2059   116,616   239,915   83,809   440,340   .349   .835
2060   117,406   241,543   84,410   443,359   .349   .836
2061   118,261   243,196   84,990   446,447   .349   .836
2062   119,183   244,828   85,591   449,602   .350   .836
2063   120,172   246,434   86,209   452,815   .350   .837
2064   121,223   248,001   86,855   456,079   .350   .839
2065   122,333   249,500   87,555   459,388   .351   .841
2066   123,493   251,001   88,239   462,732   .352   .844
2067   124,696   252,558   88,850   466,104   .352   .846
2068   125,932   254,076   89,488   469,497   .352   .848
2069   127,194   255,543   90,165   472,902   .353   .851
2070   128,470   257,005   90,841   476,316   .353   .853
2071   129,750   258,442   91,538   479,730   .354   .856
2072   131,023   259,789   92,335   483,147   .355   .860
2073   132,278   261,146   93,135   486,559   .357   .863
2074   133,505   262,670   93,793   489,968   .357   .865
2075   134,696   264,362   94,311   493,369   .357   .866
2076   135,844   266,171   94,751   496,766   .356   .866
2077   136,944   268,100   95,113   500,158   .355   .866
2078   137,994   270,088   95,470   503,552   .353   .864
2079   138,994   272,125   95,828   506,946   .352   .863
2080   139,946   274,208   96,193   510,347   .351   .861
2081   140,854   276,382   96,523   513,759   .349   .859
2082   141,726   278,701   96,760   517,187   .347   .856
2083   142,568   281,121   96,946   520,635   .345   .852
2084   143,390   283,676   97,046   524,112   .342   .848
2085   144,201   286,248   97,169   527,618   .339   .843
2086   145,010   288,999   97,152   531,161   .336   .838
2087   145,826   291,639   97,279   534,744   .334   .834
2088   146,658   294,204   97,508   538,370   .331   .830
2089   147,511   296,679   97,852   542,042   .330   .827
2090   148,393   299,069   98,298   545,760   .329   .825
2091   149,308   301,383   98,838   549,529   .328   .823
2092   150,259   303,625   99,462   553,346   .328   .822
2093   151,248   305,797   100,168   557,213   .328   .822
2094   152,276   307,902   100,950   561,128   .328   .822
2095   153,341   309,943   101,804   565,088   .328   .823
2096   154,442   311,938   102,714   569,094   .329   .824
2097   155,574   313,904   103,662   573,141   .330   .826
2098   156,735   315,845   104,647   577,227   .331   .828
2099   157,918   317,765   105,667   581,350   .333   .829
2100   159,119   319,668   106,719   585,506   .334   .832

High-cost:
2023   82,019   194,681   60,052   336,751   .308   .730
2024   81,634   195,188   61,809   338,631   .317   .735
2025   81,094   195,509   63,586   340,189   .325   .740
2026   80,393   195,626   65,394   341,414   .334   .745
2027   79,572   195,949   67,082   342,603   .342   .748
2028   78,737   196,309   68,722   343,768   .350   .751
2029   78,057   196,571   70,288   344,916   .358   .755
2030   77,541   196,823   71,689   346,053   .364   .758
2031   77,116   197,183   72,869   347,168   .370   .761
2032   76,759   197,566   73,924   348,249   .374   .763
2033   76,407   198,006   74,886   349,299   .378   .764
2034   76,050   198,377   75,895   350,322   .383   .766
2035   75,687   198,661   76,970   351,318   .387   .768
2036   75,370   198,841   78,079   352,291   .393   .772
2037   75,160   199,208   78,871   353,239   .396   .773
2038   75,021   199,672   79,466   354,160   .398   .774
2039   74,979   200,142   79,930   355,052   .399   .774
2040   74,922   200,530   80,458   355,910   .401   .775
2041   74,993   200,845   80,892   356,730   .403   .776
2042   75,042   201,035   81,433   357,510   .405   .778
2043   75,177   201,117   81,945   358,239   .407   .781
2044   75,343   201,054   82,532   358,929   .410   .785
2045   75,517   200,820   83,231   359,568   .414   .790
2046   75,683   200,541   83,950   360,174   .419   .796
2047   75,823   200,245   84,638   360,706   .423   .801
2048   75,928   199,951   85,337   361,216   .427   .807
2049   75,986   199,778   85,916   361,679   .430   .810
2050   75,991   199,521   86,595   362,106   .434   .815
2051   75,952   199,260   87,285   362,497   .438   .819
2052   75,881   199,005   87,976   362,861   .442   .823
2053   75,774   198,706   88,720   363,200   .446   .828
2054   75,628   198,324   89,564   363,516   .452   .833
2055   75,444   197,825   90,547   363,816   .458   .839
2056   75,221   197,342   91,540   364,104   .464   .845
2057   74,965   196,907   92,508   364,381   .470   .851
2058   74,682   196,581   93,392   364,655   .475   .855
2059   74,379   196,339   94,210   364,928   .480   .859
2060   74,065   196,139   95,002   365,206   .484   .862
2061   73,750   195,974   95,759   365,483   .489   .865
2062   73,442   195,797   96,531   365,769   .493   .868
2063   73,148   195,597   97,314   366,059   .498   .871
2064   72,875   195,354   98,125   366,354   .502   .875
2065   72,628   195,037   98,988   366,654   .508   .880
2066   72,409   194,710   99,836   366,956   .513   .885
2067   72,221   194,424   100,609   367,255   .517   .889
2068   72,065   194,077   101,412   367,554   .523   .894
2069   71,939   193,650   102,255   367,844   .528   .900
2070   71,842   193,179   103,102   368,123   .534   .906
2071   71,772   192,635   103,973   368,381   .540   .912
2072   71,726   191,948   104,956   368,629   .547   .920
2073   71,700   191,211   105,945   368,856   .554   .929
2074   71,691   190,579   106,793   369,063   .560   .937
2075   71,694   190,053   107,489   369,235   .566   .943
2076   71,704   189,576   108,106   369,386   .570   .948
2077   71,716   189,145   108,637   369,498   .574   .954
2078   71,727   188,696   109,164   369,586   .579   .959
2079   71,731   188,222   109,686   369,638   .583   .964
2080   71,724   187,720   110,214   369,657   .587   .969
2081   71,703   187,241   110,703   369,648   .591   .974
2082   71,666   186,848   111,093   369,606   .595   .978
2083   71,610   186,507   111,418   369,536   .597   .981
2084   71,536   186,255   111,658   369,449   .599   .984
2085   71,443   185,982   111,904   369,329   .602   .986
2086   71,332   185,847   112,013   369,191   .603   .987
2087   71,204   185,691   112,141   369,036   .604   .987
2088   71,062   185,632   112,171   368,865   .604   .987
2089   70,908   185,618   112,155   368,681   .604   .986
2090   70,744   185,631   112,105   368,480   .604   .985
2091   70,574   185,655   112,045   368,274   .604   .984
2092   70,402   185,678   111,978   368,057   .603   .982
2093   70,229   185,686   111,924   367,839   .603   .981
2094   70,059   185,670   111,889   367,618   .603   .980
2095   69,896   185,620   111,877   367,394   .603   .979
2096   69,740   185,545   111,887   367,172   .603   .979
2097   69,595   185,450   111,902   366,948   .603   .979
2098   69,462   185,331   111,934   366,727   .604   .979
2099   69,342   185,182   111,987   366,511   .605   .979
2100   69,235   184,999   112,060   366,294   .606   .980
a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated.
d Estimated, intermediate alternative.

Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Components may not sum to totals because of rounding.