Social Security Area Population on July 1 and Dependency Ratios — 2025 OASDI Trustees Report

Single-Year Tables Historical data Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions
Table V.A3.—Social Security Area Population on July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1941-2100
Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over		   Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1941   48,419   83,516   9,814   141,749   0.118   0.697
1942   48,410   84,647   10,082   143,140   .119   .691
1943   48,765   85,765   10,336   144,866   .121   .689
1944   48,939   86,853   10,592   146,383   .122   .685
1945   49,107   87,890   10,886   147,883   .124   .683
1946   49,278   88,878   11,216   149,373   .126   .681
1947   50,559   89,824   11,570   151,954   .129   .692
1948   51,599   90,692   11,947   154,238   .132   .701
1949   52,746   91,472   12,356   156,574   .135   .712
1950   53,918   92,190   12,789   158,897   .139   .724
1951   56,470   93,978   13,334   163,782   .142   .743
1952   57,992   94,581   13,784   166,357   .146   .759
1953   59,680   95,048   14,252   168,980   .150   .778
1954   61,523   95,461   14,719   171,703   .154   .799
1955   63,337   96,003   15,161   174,500   .158   .818
1956   65,200   96,498   15,593   177,291   .162   .837
1957   67,346   97,750   16,024   181,121   .164   .853
1958   69,276   98,383   16,456   184,114   .167   .871
1959   71,129   99,051   16,894   187,074   .171   .889
1960   72,915   99,752   17,323   189,990   .174   .905
1961   74,816   100,556   17,739   193,111   .176   .920
1962   76,453   101,467   18,128   196,049   .179   .932
1963   77,637   102,728   18,481   198,846   .180   .936
1964   78,897   103,816   18,822   201,535   .181   .941
1965   80,005   104,881   19,153   204,039   .183   .945
1966   80,937   105,856   19,488   206,281   .184   .949
1967   80,677   107,880   19,851   208,408   .184   .932
1968   80,625   109,603   20,215   210,443   .184   .920
1969   80,657   111,304   20,592   212,554   .185   .910
1970   80,856   112,953   21,007   214,815   .186   .902
1971   80,980   114,696   21,451   217,127   .187   .893
1972   80,688   116,514   21,897   219,099   .188   .880
1973   80,102   118,430   22,350   220,883   .189   .865
1974   79,336   120,473   22,831   222,641   .190   .848
1975   78,576   122,592   23,370   224,538   .191   .832
1976   77,710   124,754   23,949   226,413   .192   .815
1977   76,843   127,099   24,541   228,483   .193   .798
1978   76,018   129,469   25,141   230,628   .194   .781
1979   75,351   131,808   25,739   232,898   .195   .767
1980   74,841   134,029   26,315   235,184   .196   .755
1981   74,270   136,274   26,873   237,417   .197   .742
1982   73,808   138,459   27,461   239,728   .198   .731
1983   73,419   140,593   28,023   242,036   .199   .722
1984   73,013   142,689   28,561   244,263   .200   .712
1985   72,893   144,586   29,129   246,609   .201   .706
1986   73,035   146,229   29,732   248,996   .203   .703
1987   73,284   147,802   30,332   251,418   .205   .701
1988   73,680   149,338   30,872   253,890   .207   .700
1989   74,140   150,975   31,385   256,500   .208   .699
1990   74,791   152,730   31,926   259,447   .209   .699
1991   75,482   154,606   32,487   262,575   .210   .698
1992   76,426   156,231   33,031   265,688   .211   .701
1993   77,455   157,713   33,513   268,681   .212   .704
1994   78,459   159,167   33,928   271,553   .213   .706
1995   79,287   160,733   34,294   274,314   .213   .707
1996   80,085   162,260   34,641   276,986   .213   .707
1997   80,677   164,061   34,913   279,651   .213   .705
1998   81,204   165,963   35,122   282,289   .212   .701
1999   81,615   168,025   35,276   284,916   .210   .696
2000   81,980   170,138   35,501   287,620   .209   .691
2001   82,369   172,337   35,720   290,425   .207   .685
2002   82,668   174,573   35,955   293,196   .206   .680
2003   82,982   176,613   36,296   295,891   .206   .675
2004   83,450   178,548   36,687   298,685   .205   .673
2005   83,906   180,820   37,132   301,858   .205   .669
2006   84,472   183,100   37,683   305,255   .206   .667
2007   85,117   184,808   38,374   308,300   .208   .668
2008   85,578   185,621   39,366   310,565   .212   .673
2009   85,810   186,690   40,202   312,702   .215   .675
2010   85,687   188,381   41,016   315,084   .218   .673
2011   85,349   190,221   41,730   317,300   .219   .668
2012   85,003   190,942   43,430   319,375   .227   .673
2013   84,744   191,880   44,840   321,464   .234   .675
2014   84,678   193,080   46,267   324,025   .240   .678
2015   84,758   194,455   47,711   326,924   .245   .681
2016   84,826   195,333   49,253   329,411   .252   .686
2017   84,779   195,950   50,840   331,568   .259   .692
2018   84,631   196,366   52,498   333,495   .267   .698
2019   84,302   196,399   54,240   334,941   .276   .705
2020   83,857   196,384   55,889   336,130   .285   .712
2021   83,331   196,462   57,404   337,197   .292   .716
2022 c   83,078   196,976   59,124   339,177   .300   .722
2023 d   82,988   198,203   60,971   342,161   .308   .726
2024 d   83,034   199,564   62,835   345,433   .315   .731

Intermediate:
2025   83,024   200,715   64,665   348,404   .322   .736
2026   82,834   201,384   66,513   350,731   .330   .742
2027   82,460   201,977   68,210   352,648   .338   .746
2028   82,094   202,571   69,827   354,492   .345   .750
2029   81,905   203,083   71,339   356,327   .351   .755
2030   81,865   203,623   72,664   358,152   .357   .759
2031   81,905   204,298   73,757   359,961   .361   .762
2032   82,041   204,996   74,712   361,748   .364   .765
2033   82,211   205,742   75,558   363,511   .367   .767
2034   82,400   206,415   76,435   365,250   .370   .769
2035   82,604   206,999   77,361   366,963   .374   .773
2036   82,873   207,468   78,310   368,650   .377   .777
2037   83,267   208,123   78,919   370,309   .379   .779
2038   83,751   208,865   79,320   371,936   .380   .781
2039   84,346   209,606   79,580   373,532   .380   .782
2040   84,997   210,207   79,889   375,094   .380   .784
2041   85,810   210,711   80,096   376,617   .380   .787
2042   86,526   211,163   80,410   378,099   .381   .791
2043   87,216   211,615   80,698   379,530   .381   .793
2044   87,897   211,955   81,066   380,918   .382   .797
2045   88,528   212,180   81,549   382,256   .384   .802
2046   89,099   212,399   82,059   383,558   .386   .806
2047   89,611   212,620   82,569   384,800   .388   .810
2048   90,062   212,851   83,107   386,021   .390   .814
2049   90,457   213,203   83,547   387,208   .392   .816
2050   90,798   213,474   84,100   388,372   .394   .819
2051   91,086   213,764   84,666   389,516   .396   .822
2052   91,322   214,094   85,233   390,649   .398   .825
2053   91,509   214,409   85,856   391,774   .400   .827
2054   91,653   214,663   86,583   392,899   .403   .830
2055   91,756   214,827   87,445   394,029   .407   .834
2056   91,827   215,034   88,310   395,171   .411   .838
2057   91,875   215,297   89,156   396,328   .414   .841
2058   91,909   215,666   89,931   397,505   .417   .843
2059   91,935   216,119   90,653   398,707   .419   .845
2060   91,963   216,625   91,350   399,937   .422   .846
2061   92,004   217,181   92,008   401,193   .424   .847
2062   92,068   217,731   92,680   402,479   .426   .849
2063   92,164   218,264   93,364   403,792   .428   .850
2064   92,297   218,761   94,071   405,129   .430   .852
2065   92,472   219,167   94,849   406,488   .433   .855
2066   92,689   219,541   95,636   407,865   .436   .858
2067   92,948   219,960   96,347   409,255   .438   .861
2068   93,245   220,329   97,079   410,654   .441   .864
2069   93,578   220,642   97,836   412,056   .443   .868
2070   93,941   220,944   98,573   413,457   .446   .871
2071   94,331   221,205   99,314   414,851   .449   .875
2072   94,743   221,349   100,149   416,241   .452   .880
2073   95,171   221,465   100,983   417,619   .456   .886
2074   95,610   221,703   101,672   418,985   .459   .890
2075   96,051   222,037   102,241   420,329   .460   .893
2076   96,489   222,409   102,761   421,658   .462   .896
2077   96,918   222,841   103,205   422,963   .463   .898
2078   97,331   223,278   103,643   424,252   .464   .900
2079   97,725   223,712   104,082   425,519   .465   .902
2080   98,095   224,144   104,528   426,767   .466   .904
2081   98,437   224,625   104,937   427,999   .467   .905
2082   98,751   225,221   105,244   429,216   .467   .906
2083   99,036   225,897   105,489   430,421   .467   .905
2084   99,293   226,684   105,646   431,622   .466   .904
2085   99,524   227,526   105,762   432,812   .465   .902
2086   99,732   228,552   105,716   434,000   .463   .899
2087   99,922   229,506   105,761   435,188   .461   .896
2088   100,096   230,472   105,812   436,380   .459   .893
2089   100,259   231,463   105,855   437,577   .457   .890
2090   100,415   232,425   105,939   438,779   .456   .888
2091   100,569   233,352   106,073   439,994   .455   .886
2092   100,724   234,248   106,247   441,219   .454   .884
2093   100,884   235,113   106,463   442,460   .453   .882
2094   101,053   235,945   106,718   443,716   .452   .881
2095   101,233   236,743   107,012   444,988   .452   .880
2096   101,428   237,505   107,346   446,279   .452   .879
2097   101,638   238,228   107,719   447,586   .452   .879
2098   101,866   238,911   108,135   448,912   .453   .879
2099   102,111   239,553   108,593   450,256   .453   .880
2100   102,374   240,154   109,090   451,617   .454   .881

Low-cost:
2025   83,643   201,977   64,628   350,247   .320   .734
2026   83,758   203,099   66,421   353,278   .327   .739
2027   83,705   204,073   68,049   355,827   .333   .744
2028   83,706   205,039   69,585   358,331   .339   .748
2029   83,928   205,923   71,007   360,858   .345   .752
2030   84,340   206,833   72,232   363,405   .349   .757
2031   84,869   207,879   73,216   365,964   .352   .760
2032   85,529   208,944   74,052   368,525   .354   .764
2033   86,254   210,056   74,771   371,082   .356   .767
2034   87,028   211,091   75,513   373,632   .358   .770
2035   87,843   212,033   76,296   376,172   .360   .774
2036   88,746   212,858   77,095   378,698   .362   .779
2037   89,794   213,863   77,549   381,206   .363   .782
2038   90,947   214,951   77,792   383,689   .362   .785
2039   92,223   216,033   77,891   386,147   .361   .787
2040   93,562   216,975   78,038   388,574   .360   .791
2041   95,070   217,813   78,081   390,964   .358   .795
2042   96,479   218,604   78,230   393,312   .358   .799
2043   97,854   219,399   78,355   395,608   .357   .803
2044   99,214   220,087   78,560   397,860   .357   .808
2045   100,486   220,694   78,882   400,063   .357   .813
2046   101,638   221,357   79,233   402,228   .358   .817
2047   102,681   222,068   79,591   404,339   .358   .821
2048   103,619   222,832   79,980   406,431   .359   .824
2049   104,462   223,759   80,277   408,497   .359   .826
2050   105,217   224,641   80,692   410,549   .359   .828
2051   105,890   225,577   81,126   412,592   .360   .829
2052   106,488   226,582   81,566   414,636   .360   .830
2053   107,021   227,599   82,069   416,689   .361   .831
2054   107,496   228,582   82,681   418,759   .362   .832
2055   107,927   229,496   83,432   420,855   .364   .834
2056   108,324   230,470   84,191   422,985   .365   .835
2057   108,704   231,511   84,939   425,154   .367   .836
2058   109,082   232,665   85,623   427,370   .368   .837
2059   109,469   233,906   86,261   429,636   .369   .837
2060   109,878   235,201   86,878   431,957   .369   .837
2061   110,326   236,546   87,462   434,333   .370   .836
2062   110,825   237,881   88,061   436,767   .370   .836
2063   111,386   239,195   88,674   439,255   .371   .836
2064   112,014   240,471   89,309   441,794   .371   .837
2065   112,712   241,655   90,013   444,380   .372   .839
2066   113,479   242,806   90,722   447,006   .374   .841
2067   114,310   244,003   91,353   449,666   .374   .843
2068   115,199   245,155   92,001   452,355   .375   .845
2069   116,139   246,255   92,670   455,064   .376   .848
2070   117,121   247,353   93,314   457,788   .377   .851
2071   118,137   248,423   93,959   460,519   .378   .854
2072   119,178   249,389   94,690   463,258   .380   .858
2073   120,234   250,344   95,418   465,995   .381   .861
2074   121,295   251,436   95,999   468,730   .382   .864
2075   122,350   252,644   96,462   471,456   .382   .866
2076   123,391   253,910   96,874   474,175   .382   .867
2077   124,407   255,263   97,213   476,883   .381   .868
2078   125,392   256,647   97,545   479,584   .380   .869
2079   126,338   258,059   97,878   482,275   .379   .869
2080   127,240   259,501   98,218   484,959   .378   .869
2081   128,096   261,024   98,521   487,640   .377   .868
2082   128,904   262,692   98,724   490,320   .376   .867
2083   129,665   264,469   98,870   493,004   .374   .864
2084   130,383   266,386   98,927   495,696   .371   .861
2085   131,063   268,381   98,954   498,398   .369   .857
2086   131,711   270,587   98,817   501,116   .365   .852
2087   132,335   272,741   98,778   503,855   .362   .847
2088   132,942   274,925   98,750   506,617   .359   .843
2089   133,540   277,145   98,723   509,407   .356   .838
2090   134,136   279,317   98,774   512,227   .354   .834
2091   134,738   281,415   98,930   515,082   .352   .830
2092   135,352   283,448   99,173   517,973   .350   .827
2093   135,985   285,419   99,499   520,903   .349   .825
2094   136,641   287,329   99,903   523,873   .348   .823
2095   137,324   289,179   100,380   526,883   .347   .822
2096   138,037   290,968   100,931   529,936   .347   .821
2097   138,783   292,697   101,549   533,029   .347   .821
2098   139,561   294,368   102,235   536,163   .347   .821
2099   140,370   295,982   102,986   539,338   .348   .822
2100   141,210   297,543   103,797   542,550   .349   .823

High-cost:
2025   82,398   199,477   64,725   346,600   .324   .738
2026   81,868   199,709   66,648   348,226   .334   .744
2027   81,116   199,943   68,438   349,497   .342   .748
2028   80,308   200,184   70,161   350,653   .350   .752
2029   79,616   200,346   71,794   351,756   .358   .756
2030   79,017   200,536   73,255   352,808   .365   .759
2031   78,449   200,862   74,495   353,806   .371   .761
2032   77,929   201,214   75,609   354,752   .376   .763
2033   77,404   201,618   76,626   355,648   .380   .764
2034   76,859   201,952   77,686   356,497   .385   .765
2035   76,296   202,198   78,805   357,299   .390   .767
2036   75,770   202,334   79,957   358,061   .395   .770
2037   75,344   202,661   80,776   358,781   .399   .770
2038   74,992   203,079   81,390   359,460   .401   .770
2039   74,734   203,500   81,867   360,101   .402   .770
2040   74,525   203,782   82,398   360,704   .404   .770
2041   74,471   203,971   82,826   361,268   .406   .771
2042   74,322   204,106   83,363   361,791   .408   .773
2043   74,156   204,234   83,873   362,263   .411   .774
2044   73,989   204,244   84,462   362,695   .414   .776
2045   73,826   204,088   85,164   363,078   .417   .779
2046   73,694   203,839   85,893   363,426   .421   .783
2047   73,574   203,522   86,607   363,703   .426   .787
2048   73,457   203,152   87,350   363,960   .430   .792
2049   73,342   202,846   87,985   364,173   .434   .795
2050   73,223   202,405   88,725   364,353   .438   .800
2051   73,093   201,935   89,470   364,498   .443   .805
2052   72,947   201,463   90,207   364,617   .448   .810
2053   72,780   200,938   90,992   364,710   .453   .815
2054   72,589   200,318   91,872   364,779   .459   .821
2055   72,372   199,577   92,880   364,829   .465   .828
2056   72,129   198,855   93,881   364,865   .472   .835
2057   71,861   198,172   94,851   364,884   .479   .841
2058   71,569   197,586   95,740   364,894   .485   .847
2059   71,254   197,076   96,566   364,896   .490   .852
2060   70,922   196,615   97,356   364,893   .495   .856
2061   70,575   196,206   98,099   364,880   .500   .860
2062   70,222   195,793   98,849   364,865   .505   .864
2063   69,870   195,366   99,607   364,843   .510   .867
2064   69,522   194,906   100,385   364,813   .515   .872
2065   69,185   194,359   101,233   364,776   .521   .877
2066   68,862   193,778   102,090   364,730   .527   .882
2067   68,555   193,243   102,871   364,669   .532   .887
2068   68,266   192,656   103,677   364,598   .538   .892
2069   67,995   192,006   104,506   364,507   .544   .898
2070   67,744   191,336   105,319   364,400   .550   .904
2071   67,513   190,615   106,136   364,264   .557   .911
2072   67,301   189,762   107,052   364,115   .564   .919
2073   67,108   188,865   107,968   363,941   .572   .927
2074   66,932   188,072   108,741   363,744   .578   .934
2075   66,770   187,355   109,387   363,512   .584   .940
2076   66,619   186,653   109,985   363,257   .589   .946
2077   66,477   185,985   110,502   362,963   .594   .952
2078   66,341   185,293   111,013   362,647   .599   .957
2079   66,208   184,565   111,521   362,294   .604   .963
2080   66,075   183,801   112,033   361,910   .610   .969
2081   65,941   183,052   112,506   361,498   .615   .975
2082   65,803   182,382   112,871   361,056   .619   .980
2083   65,659   181,762   113,165   360,587   .623   .984
2084   65,508   181,220   113,372   360,101   .626   .987
2085   65,350   180,709   113,524   359,583   .628   .990
2086   65,184   180,350   113,512   359,046   .629   .991
2087   65,010   179,897   113,583   358,490   .631   .993
2088   64,828   179,438   113,651   357,917   .633   .995
2089   64,638   178,989   113,700   357,327   .635   .996
2090   64,441   178,545   113,732   356,718   .637   .998
2091   64,238   178,136   113,727   356,101   .638   .999
2092   64,029   177,752   113,687   355,469   .640   1.000
2093   63,816   177,388   113,627   354,831   .641   1.000
2094   63,601   177,039   113,546   354,186   .641   1.001
2095   63,385   176,700   113,448   353,533   .642   1.001
2096   63,171   176,365   113,342   352,878   .643   1.001
2097   62,959   176,028   113,228   352,215   .643   1.001
2098   62,751   175,682   113,117   351,549   .644   1.001
2099   62,548   175,323   113,012   350,883   .645   1.001
2100   62,352   174,948   112,912   350,212   .645   1.002
a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated.
d Estimated, intermediate alternative.

Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Components may not sum to totals because of rounding.