Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
B4.5: For retired and disabled workers, reduce the maximum number of dropout years to 4 for workers newly eligible in 2028, to 3 for workers newly eligible in 2029, and to 2 for workers newly eligible in 2030 and later.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2026 | 15.37 | 12.91 | -2.45 | 151 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2027 | 15.62 | 12.85 | -2.77 | 131 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2028 | 15.70 | 13.01 | -2.69 | 111 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2029 | 15.74 | 13.06 | -2.67 | 92 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2030 | 15.73 | 13.07 | -2.65 | 74 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2031 | 15.70 | 13.08 | -2.61 | 57 | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2032 | 15.68 | 13.09 | -2.59 | 40 | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2033 | 15.67 | 13.13 | -2.54 | 24 | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2034 | 15.67 | 13.14 | -2.54 | 8 | -0.07 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2035 | 15.69 | 13.16 | -2.53 | — | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.08 | ||
| 2036 | 15.75 | 13.17 | -2.58 | — | -0.10 | -0.00 | 0.10 | ||
| 2037 | 15.83 | 13.17 | -2.65 | — | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
| 2038 | 15.90 | 13.18 | -2.72 | — | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
| 2039 | 15.96 | 13.19 | -2.77 | — | -0.17 | -0.01 | 0.16 | ||
| 2040 | 16.01 | 13.19 | -2.82 | — | -0.19 | -0.01 | 0.18 | ||
| 2041 | 16.06 | 13.19 | -2.87 | — | -0.21 | -0.01 | 0.20 | ||
| 2042 | 16.11 | 13.20 | -2.91 | — | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
| 2043 | 16.16 | 13.20 | -2.96 | — | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
| 2044 | 16.22 | 13.20 | -3.01 | — | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.26 | ||
| 2045 | 16.28 | 13.21 | -3.07 | — | -0.29 | -0.01 | 0.28 | ||
| 2046 | 16.32 | 13.21 | -3.11 | — | -0.31 | -0.02 | 0.30 | ||
| 2047 | 16.37 | 13.22 | -3.16 | — | -0.33 | -0.02 | 0.31 | ||
| 2048 | 16.42 | 13.22 | -3.20 | — | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
| 2049 | 16.48 | 13.22 | -3.26 | — | -0.37 | -0.02 | 0.35 | ||
| 2050 | 16.55 | 13.23 | -3.32 | — | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
| 2051 | 16.62 | 13.23 | -3.39 | — | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
| 2052 | 16.71 | 13.24 | -3.47 | — | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
| 2053 | 16.80 | 13.24 | -3.56 | — | -0.43 | -0.02 | 0.41 | ||
| 2054 | 16.90 | 13.25 | -3.65 | — | -0.45 | -0.02 | 0.42 | ||
| 2055 | 17.02 | 13.26 | -3.76 | — | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.44 | ||
| 2056 | 17.13 | 13.27 | -3.87 | — | -0.47 | -0.02 | 0.45 | ||
| 2057 | 17.26 | 13.27 | -3.98 | — | -0.49 | -0.02 | 0.46 | ||
| 2058 | 17.38 | 13.28 | -4.10 | — | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
| 2059 | 17.51 | 13.29 | -4.22 | — | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
| 2060 | 17.63 | 13.30 | -4.33 | — | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
| 2061 | 17.75 | 13.30 | -4.44 | — | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2062 | 17.86 | 13.31 | -4.55 | — | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
| 2063 | 17.98 | 13.32 | -4.66 | — | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
| 2064 | 18.08 | 13.33 | -4.76 | — | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
| 2065 | 18.19 | 13.33 | -4.86 | — | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
| 2066 | 18.30 | 13.34 | -4.96 | — | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
| 2067 | 18.41 | 13.35 | -5.07 | — | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2068 | 18.53 | 13.35 | -5.17 | — | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2069 | 18.64 | 13.36 | -5.28 | — | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
| 2070 | 18.76 | 13.37 | -5.39 | — | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
| 2071 | 18.87 | 13.38 | -5.49 | — | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
| 2072 | 18.98 | 13.38 | -5.60 | — | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
| 2073 | 19.10 | 13.39 | -5.71 | — | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
| 2074 | 19.21 | 13.40 | -5.81 | — | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
| 2075 | 19.32 | 13.40 | -5.91 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
| 2076 | 19.41 | 13.41 | -6.00 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2077 | 19.50 | 13.42 | -6.08 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2078 | 19.57 | 13.42 | -6.15 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2079 | 19.64 | 13.43 | -6.21 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2080 | 19.69 | 13.43 | -6.26 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2081 | 19.74 | 13.43 | -6.31 | — | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2082 | 19.79 | 13.44 | -6.35 | — | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
| 2083 | 19.82 | 13.44 | -6.38 | — | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
| 2084 | 19.84 | 13.44 | -6.40 | — | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
| 2085 | 19.85 | 13.44 | -6.41 | — | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
| 2086 | 19.85 | 13.44 | -6.41 | — | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
| 2087 | 19.84 | 13.44 | -6.40 | — | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
| 2088 | 19.82 | 13.44 | -6.38 | — | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
| 2089 | 19.79 | 13.44 | -6.35 | — | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2090 | 19.75 | 13.44 | -6.32 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2091 | 19.72 | 13.44 | -6.28 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2092 | 19.68 | 13.43 | -6.24 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2093 | 19.64 | 13.43 | -6.20 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2094 | 19.60 | 13.43 | -6.17 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2095 | 19.56 | 13.43 | -6.13 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2096 | 19.53 | 13.43 | -6.10 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2097 | 19.50 | 13.42 | -6.07 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2098 | 19.47 | 13.42 | -6.05 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2099 | 19.45 | 13.42 | -6.03 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
| 2100 | 19.44 | 13.42 | -6.02 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
| 2101 | 19.43 | 13.42 | -6.01 | — | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2026-2100 | 17.71% | 13.66% | -4.05% | 2034 | -0.39% | -0.02% | 0.37% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2026 Trustees Report.