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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2020, multiply all PIA factors each year by 0.991. Stop reductions after 2048. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status. Young survivors (children of deceased workers and surviving spouses with a child in care) are not affected.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201614.0512.94-1.10
303
0.000.000.00
201713.7212.92-0.80
293
0.000.000.00
201813.8612.96-0.90
277
0.000.000.00
201913.9912.97-1.02
262
0.000.000.00
202014.1312.98-1.15
246
0.000.000.00
202114.2713.00-1.26
231
0.000.000.00
202214.4813.03-1.45
216
-0.010.000.01
202314.7413.06-1.69
200
-0.010.000.01
202415.0013.09-1.91
183
-0.030.000.02
202515.2413.11-2.14
166
-0.040.000.04
202615.4113.12-2.29
150
-0.060.000.06
202715.5613.14-2.42
133
-0.090.000.08
202815.6913.15-2.54
117
-0.12-0.010.11
202915.8113.16-2.65
101
-0.16-0.010.15
203015.9013.17-2.74
85
-0.20-0.010.19
203115.9813.18-2.80
69
-0.24-0.010.23
203216.0313.18-2.85
52
-0.29-0.020.28
203316.0613.19-2.87
35
-0.35-0.020.33
203416.0613.19-2.87
18
-0.41-0.020.38
203516.0313.19-2.84
1
-0.47-0.030.44
203616.0213.19-2.83
----
-0.53-0.030.50
203716.0013.19-2.80
----
-0.60-0.030.57
203815.9413.19-2.75
----
-0.67-0.040.64
203915.8613.19-2.67
----
-0.75-0.040.70
204015.7713.19-2.58
----
-0.82-0.050.77
204115.6613.18-2.48
----
-0.90-0.050.85
204215.5613.18-2.38
----
-0.98-0.050.92
204315.4413.17-2.27
----
-1.06-0.061.00
204415.3213.17-2.15
----
-1.15-0.061.08
204515.2113.16-2.05
----
-1.24-0.071.17
204615.1013.16-1.94
----
-1.33-0.071.25
204714.9813.15-1.83
----
-1.42-0.081.34
204814.8713.15-1.72
----
-1.52-0.091.43
204914.7513.14-1.61
----
-1.62-0.091.53
205014.6413.13-1.51
----
-1.72-0.101.62
205114.5413.13-1.41
----
-1.81-0.101.71
205214.4613.13-1.33
----
-1.91-0.111.80
205314.3813.12-1.26
----
-2.01-0.111.90
205414.3213.12-1.20
----
-2.11-0.121.99
205514.2613.12-1.14
----
-2.20-0.132.08
205614.2113.12-1.10
----
-2.29-0.132.16
205714.1813.11-1.06
----
-2.38-0.142.25
205814.1413.11-1.03
----
-2.46-0.142.32
205914.1213.11-1.00
----
-2.54-0.152.39
206014.1013.11-0.98
----
-2.61-0.152.46
206114.0813.11-0.97
----
-2.68-0.152.52
206214.0713.11-0.96
----
-2.74-0.162.58
206314.0613.11-0.95
----
-2.80-0.162.64
206414.0613.11-0.94
----
-2.85-0.162.69
206514.0613.11-0.94
----
-2.90-0.172.73
206614.0613.11-0.95
----
-2.94-0.172.77
206714.0713.12-0.96
----
-2.99-0.172.81
206814.0913.12-0.97
----
-3.03-0.172.85
206914.1013.12-0.99
----
-3.06-0.182.89
207014.1213.12-1.00
----
-3.09-0.182.92
207114.1413.12-1.02
----
-3.12-0.182.94
207214.1513.12-1.03
----
-3.15-0.182.97
207314.1713.12-1.04
----
-3.17-0.182.99
207414.1813.12-1.05
----
-3.19-0.183.01
207514.1813.13-1.06
----
-3.21-0.183.02
207614.1813.13-1.06
----
-3.22-0.193.04
207714.1813.13-1.05
----
-3.23-0.193.04
207814.1813.13-1.05
----
-3.23-0.193.05
207914.1713.13-1.04
----
-3.24-0.193.05
208014.1613.12-1.04
----
-3.24-0.193.05
208114.1613.12-1.04
----
-3.24-0.193.05
208214.1713.12-1.04
----
-3.24-0.193.05
208314.1813.13-1.05
----
-3.24-0.193.06
208414.1913.13-1.07
----
-3.25-0.193.06
208514.2113.13-1.09
----
-3.25-0.193.07
208614.2413.13-1.11
----
-3.26-0.193.07
208714.2713.13-1.14
----
-3.27-0.193.08
208814.3113.13-1.17
----
-3.28-0.193.09
208914.3413.14-1.20
----
-3.29-0.193.10
209014.3813.14-1.24
----
-3.30-0.193.11
209114.4113.14-1.27
----
-3.31-0.193.12



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report.
2016-2090 14.91% 13.75% -1.15%
2035
-1.60% -0.09% 1.51%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

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Last reviewed or modified June 16, 2016