Description of Proposed Provision:
A1: Starting December 2018, reduce the annual COLA by 1 percentage point.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4912.93-0.56
287
0.000.000.00
201913.5712.94-0.63
275
-0.13-0.010.12
202013.5912.95-0.64
264
-0.26-0.010.25
202113.6312.97-0.65
254
-0.39-0.020.37
202213.7413.00-0.74
244
-0.52-0.020.50
202313.9013.02-0.88
233
-0.65-0.030.62
202414.0513.05-1.00
223
-0.78-0.040.74
202514.2013.06-1.14
211
-0.90-0.040.86
202614.3513.08-1.27
200
-1.02-0.050.97
202714.4813.09-1.39
189
-1.14-0.061.08
202814.6113.10-1.50
177
-1.25-0.061.18
202914.7113.11-1.60
166
-1.35-0.071.28
203014.8113.12-1.69
155
-1.45-0.081.38
203114.9013.13-1.77
145
-1.55-0.081.47
203214.9713.13-1.84
134
-1.64-0.091.55
203315.0213.14-1.88
123
-1.72-0.091.63
203415.0513.14-1.91
112
-1.79-0.091.70
203515.0613.14-1.92
101
-1.86-0.101.77
203615.0613.14-1.92
89
-1.93-0.101.83
203715.0413.14-1.90
78
-1.98-0.111.88
203814.9913.14-1.85
67
-2.03-0.111.92
203914.9213.14-1.79
56
-2.07-0.111.96
204014.8513.13-1.72
45
-2.11-0.112.00
204114.7813.13-1.64
34
-2.14-0.112.03
204214.7013.13-1.57
24
-2.16-0.122.05
204314.6213.12-1.50
13
-2.18-0.122.07
204414.5613.12-1.44
4
-2.20-0.122.08
204514.5113.12-1.39
----
-2.21-0.122.09
204614.4613.12-1.34
----
-2.22-0.122.10
204714.4213.11-1.31
----
-2.22-0.122.10
204814.3913.11-1.28
----
-2.23-0.122.11
204914.3613.11-1.25
----
-2.23-0.122.11
205014.3413.11-1.23
----
-2.23-0.122.11
205114.3313.11-1.21
----
-2.23-0.122.11
205214.3313.11-1.22
----
-2.23-0.122.11
205314.3413.11-1.23
----
-2.23-0.122.11
205414.3613.11-1.24
----
-2.23-0.122.11
205514.3913.12-1.27
----
-2.23-0.122.11
205614.4213.12-1.30
----
-2.24-0.122.11
205714.4613.12-1.34
----
-2.24-0.122.12
205814.5013.13-1.37
----
-2.24-0.122.12
205914.5313.13-1.41
----
-2.25-0.122.13
206014.5713.13-1.44
----
-2.26-0.122.14
206114.6113.13-1.48
----
-2.27-0.122.14
206214.6513.14-1.51
----
-2.28-0.122.15
206314.6813.14-1.55
----
-2.29-0.122.16
206414.7213.14-1.58
----
-2.30-0.122.17
206514.7613.14-1.61
----
-2.31-0.132.18
206614.8013.15-1.65
----
-2.32-0.132.19
206714.8413.15-1.69
----
-2.33-0.132.21
206814.8813.15-1.73
----
-2.35-0.132.22
206914.9213.15-1.76
----
-2.36-0.132.23
207014.9613.16-1.80
----
-2.37-0.132.24
207114.9913.16-1.83
----
-2.38-0.132.25
207215.0213.16-1.86
----
-2.39-0.132.26
207315.0413.16-1.88
----
-2.41-0.132.27
207415.0613.16-1.90
----
-2.42-0.132.28
207515.0813.16-1.91
----
-2.43-0.132.29
207615.0813.17-1.92
----
-2.44-0.132.30
207715.0813.17-1.91
----
-2.45-0.132.31
207815.0713.16-1.91
----
-2.45-0.132.32
207915.0613.16-1.89
----
-2.46-0.132.33
208015.0413.16-1.88
----
-2.47-0.132.33
208115.0413.16-1.87
----
-2.47-0.142.34
208215.0313.16-1.87
----
-2.48-0.142.34
208315.0313.16-1.87
----
-2.48-0.142.34
208415.0413.16-1.88
----
-2.48-0.142.35
208515.0613.16-1.90
----
-2.49-0.142.35
208615.0913.16-1.92
----
-2.49-0.142.36
208715.1213.17-1.95
----
-2.50-0.142.36
208815.1513.17-1.99
----
-2.50-0.142.37
208915.1913.17-2.02
----
-2.51-0.142.37
209015.2313.17-2.06
----
-2.51-0.142.38
209115.2713.18-2.10
----
-2.52-0.142.38
209215.3113.18-2.14
----
-2.53-0.142.39


Summarized Estimates

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
2017-2091 14.76% 13.74% -1.03%
2044
-1.90% -0.10% 1.80%

1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.