Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
B4.5: For retired and disabled workers, reduce the maximum number of dropout years to 4 for workers newly eligible in 2021, to 3 for workers newly eligible in 2022, and to 2 for workers newly eligible in 2023 and later.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2019 | 13.91 | 12.85 | -1.06 | 273 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2020 | 13.94 | 12.87 | -1.07 | 260 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2021 | 14.08 | 12.90 | -1.19 | 245 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2022 | 14.22 | 12.92 | -1.30 | 229 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2023 | 14.38 | 12.94 | -1.44 | 214 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2024 | 14.56 | 12.97 | -1.59 | 197 | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2025 | 14.74 | 12.98 | -1.76 | 181 | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2026 | 14.93 | 13.11 | -1.82 | 165 | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2027 | 15.11 | 13.13 | -1.98 | 149 | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.08 | ||
| 2028 | 15.33 | 13.17 | -2.16 | 133 | -0.11 | -0.00 | 0.10 | ||
| 2029 | 15.50 | 13.18 | -2.31 | 117 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
| 2030 | 15.65 | 13.20 | -2.45 | 101 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
| 2031 | 15.79 | 13.21 | -2.58 | 85 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
| 2032 | 15.91 | 13.22 | -2.69 | 69 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
| 2033 | 16.01 | 13.23 | -2.78 | 52 | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
| 2034 | 16.08 | 13.23 | -2.85 | 36 | -0.24 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
| 2035 | 16.14 | 13.24 | -2.90 | 19 | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.25 | ||
| 2036 | 16.18 | 13.24 | -2.94 | 1 | -0.28 | -0.01 | 0.27 | ||
| 2037 | 16.22 | 13.25 | -2.97 | ---- | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.28 | ||
| 2038 | 16.25 | 13.25 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.32 | -0.02 | 0.30 | ||
| 2039 | 16.27 | 13.25 | -3.02 | ---- | -0.33 | -0.02 | 0.32 | ||
| 2040 | 16.27 | 13.26 | -3.01 | ---- | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
| 2041 | 16.25 | 13.26 | -2.99 | ---- | -0.36 | -0.02 | 0.34 | ||
| 2042 | 16.22 | 13.25 | -2.96 | ---- | -0.37 | -0.02 | 0.35 | ||
| 2043 | 16.17 | 13.25 | -2.92 | ---- | -0.39 | -0.02 | 0.37 | ||
| 2044 | 16.12 | 13.25 | -2.87 | ---- | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
| 2045 | 16.08 | 13.25 | -2.83 | ---- | -0.41 | -0.02 | 0.39 | ||
| 2046 | 16.03 | 13.25 | -2.78 | ---- | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
| 2047 | 16.00 | 13.25 | -2.75 | ---- | -0.43 | -0.02 | 0.41 | ||
| 2048 | 15.97 | 13.25 | -2.72 | ---- | -0.44 | -0.02 | 0.42 | ||
| 2049 | 15.94 | 13.25 | -2.69 | ---- | -0.45 | -0.02 | 0.42 | ||
| 2050 | 15.91 | 13.25 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.43 | ||
| 2051 | 15.90 | 13.25 | -2.65 | ---- | -0.46 | -0.03 | 0.44 | ||
| 2052 | 15.90 | 13.25 | -2.65 | ---- | -0.47 | -0.03 | 0.44 | ||
| 2053 | 15.90 | 13.25 | -2.65 | ---- | -0.47 | -0.03 | 0.45 | ||
| 2054 | 15.91 | 13.25 | -2.66 | ---- | -0.48 | -0.03 | 0.45 | ||
| 2055 | 15.93 | 13.25 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.48 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
| 2056 | 15.95 | 13.25 | -2.70 | ---- | -0.49 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
| 2057 | 15.99 | 13.26 | -2.73 | ---- | -0.49 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
| 2058 | 16.03 | 13.26 | -2.77 | ---- | -0.49 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
| 2059 | 16.08 | 13.27 | -2.81 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
| 2060 | 16.13 | 13.27 | -2.86 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
| 2061 | 16.18 | 13.27 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
| 2062 | 16.23 | 13.28 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
| 2063 | 16.28 | 13.28 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
| 2064 | 16.33 | 13.28 | -3.05 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
| 2065 | 16.38 | 13.29 | -3.10 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
| 2066 | 16.44 | 13.29 | -3.15 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
| 2067 | 16.50 | 13.30 | -3.20 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
| 2068 | 16.55 | 13.30 | -3.25 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
| 2069 | 16.61 | 13.30 | -3.31 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
| 2070 | 16.67 | 13.31 | -3.36 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
| 2071 | 16.73 | 13.31 | -3.41 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2072 | 16.77 | 13.32 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2073 | 16.82 | 13.32 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2074 | 16.86 | 13.32 | -3.54 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2075 | 16.90 | 13.33 | -3.57 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2076 | 16.93 | 13.33 | -3.60 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2077 | 16.94 | 13.33 | -3.61 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2078 | 16.95 | 13.33 | -3.62 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2079 | 16.94 | 13.33 | -3.61 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2080 | 16.93 | 13.33 | -3.60 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2081 | 16.91 | 13.33 | -3.58 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2082 | 16.89 | 13.33 | -3.56 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2083 | 16.87 | 13.33 | -3.54 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2084 | 16.85 | 13.33 | -3.52 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2085 | 16.83 | 13.32 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2086 | 16.81 | 13.32 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2087 | 16.80 | 13.32 | -3.48 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2088 | 16.80 | 13.32 | -3.48 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2089 | 16.81 | 13.32 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2090 | 16.83 | 13.32 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2091 | 16.86 | 13.33 | -3.53 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2092 | 16.90 | 13.33 | -3.57 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2093 | 16.94 | 13.33 | -3.61 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2094 | 16.99 | 13.33 | -3.66 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2019-2093 | 16.22% | 13.79% | -2.43% | 2036 | -0.38% | -0.02% | 0.36% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2035. |
|||||||||
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2019 Trustees Report.