Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
B4.2: Increase the number of years used to calculate benefits for retirees and survivors (but not for disabled workers) from 35 to 40, phased in over the years 2021-2029.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2020 | 13.92 | 13.00 | -0.92 | 261 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2021 | 14.05 | 12.90 | -1.15 | 248 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2022 | 14.25 | 12.93 | -1.32 | 233 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2023 | 14.43 | 12.94 | -1.49 | 217 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2024 | 14.63 | 12.98 | -1.66 | 200 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2025 | 14.86 | 13.00 | -1.87 | 183 | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2026 | 15.08 | 13.12 | -1.96 | 166 | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2027 | 15.30 | 13.15 | -2.16 | 149 | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2028 | 15.52 | 13.19 | -2.34 | 131 | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2029 | 15.75 | 13.22 | -2.53 | 113 | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.08 | ||
| 2030 | 15.91 | 13.24 | -2.68 | 96 | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
| 2031 | 16.05 | 13.25 | -2.81 | 78 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
| 2032 | 16.17 | 13.26 | -2.91 | 61 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
| 2033 | 16.26 | 13.27 | -2.99 | 43 | -0.19 | -0.01 | 0.18 | ||
| 2034 | 16.33 | 13.27 | -3.06 | 25 | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
| 2035 | 16.38 | 13.28 | -3.10 | 7 | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
| 2036 | 16.41 | 13.28 | -3.13 | ---- | -0.28 | -0.02 | 0.26 | ||
| 2037 | 16.43 | 13.29 | -3.15 | ---- | -0.31 | -0.02 | 0.29 | ||
| 2038 | 16.45 | 13.29 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.33 | -0.02 | 0.31 | ||
| 2039 | 16.46 | 13.29 | -3.17 | ---- | -0.36 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
| 2040 | 16.47 | 13.29 | -3.17 | ---- | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
| 2041 | 16.46 | 13.29 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
| 2042 | 16.44 | 13.29 | -3.14 | ---- | -0.42 | -0.03 | 0.40 | ||
| 2043 | 16.41 | 13.29 | -3.11 | ---- | -0.44 | -0.03 | 0.42 | ||
| 2044 | 16.37 | 13.29 | -3.08 | ---- | -0.46 | -0.03 | 0.43 | ||
| 2045 | 16.34 | 13.29 | -3.05 | ---- | -0.48 | -0.03 | 0.45 | ||
| 2046 | 16.30 | 13.29 | -3.01 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
| 2047 | 16.27 | 13.29 | -2.99 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
| 2048 | 16.25 | 13.29 | -2.97 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2049 | 16.24 | 13.29 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
| 2050 | 16.22 | 13.29 | -2.94 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2051 | 16.22 | 13.29 | -2.93 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.54 | ||
| 2052 | 16.22 | 13.29 | -2.93 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
| 2053 | 16.23 | 13.29 | -2.94 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2054 | 16.25 | 13.29 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.61 | -0.04 | 0.57 | ||
| 2055 | 16.27 | 13.30 | -2.98 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.04 | 0.58 | ||
| 2056 | 16.30 | 13.30 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.04 | 0.59 | ||
| 2057 | 16.34 | 13.30 | -3.04 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.60 | ||
| 2058 | 16.38 | 13.31 | -3.08 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.60 | ||
| 2059 | 16.43 | 13.31 | -3.12 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
| 2060 | 16.49 | 13.32 | -3.17 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
| 2061 | 16.54 | 13.32 | -3.22 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.62 | ||
| 2062 | 16.60 | 13.33 | -3.28 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.62 | ||
| 2063 | 16.66 | 13.33 | -3.33 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
| 2064 | 16.72 | 13.33 | -3.39 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
| 2065 | 16.78 | 13.34 | -3.44 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
| 2066 | 16.85 | 13.34 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
| 2067 | 16.91 | 13.35 | -3.56 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
| 2068 | 16.98 | 13.35 | -3.63 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
| 2069 | 17.05 | 13.36 | -3.69 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
| 2070 | 17.11 | 13.36 | -3.75 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
| 2071 | 17.18 | 13.37 | -3.81 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
| 2072 | 17.23 | 13.37 | -3.86 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
| 2073 | 17.29 | 13.38 | -3.91 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
| 2074 | 17.33 | 13.38 | -3.95 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
| 2075 | 17.38 | 13.38 | -3.99 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
| 2076 | 17.41 | 13.39 | -4.02 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
| 2077 | 17.43 | 13.39 | -4.05 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
| 2078 | 17.45 | 13.39 | -4.06 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
| 2079 | 17.44 | 13.39 | -4.05 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
| 2080 | 17.43 | 13.39 | -4.04 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
| 2081 | 17.41 | 13.39 | -4.03 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
| 2082 | 17.39 | 13.39 | -4.00 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
| 2083 | 17.37 | 13.39 | -3.98 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
| 2084 | 17.34 | 13.38 | -3.95 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
| 2085 | 17.30 | 13.38 | -3.92 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
| 2086 | 17.27 | 13.38 | -3.88 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
| 2087 | 17.23 | 13.38 | -3.85 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
| 2088 | 17.21 | 13.38 | -3.83 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
| 2089 | 17.19 | 13.38 | -3.81 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
| 2090 | 17.18 | 13.37 | -3.81 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
| 2091 | 17.18 | 13.37 | -3.81 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
| 2092 | 17.19 | 13.38 | -3.82 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
| 2093 | 17.22 | 13.38 | -3.84 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
| 2094 | 17.25 | 13.38 | -3.87 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
| 2095 | 17.28 | 13.38 | -3.90 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2020-2094 | 16.58% | 13.82% | -2.76% | 2035 | -0.48% | -0.03% | 0.45% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2035. |
|||||||||
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2020 Trustees Report.