Single-Year Tables Historical Data Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions


Table V.A2.- Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1941-2090


Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over
  Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1941   48,423   83,776   9,825   142,024   0.117   0.695
1942   48,489   84,899   10,092   143,480   .119   .690
1943   48,744   86,002   10,346   145,092   .120   .687
1944   48,973   87,076   10,602   146,651   .122   .684
1945   49,121   88,109   10,896   148,126   .124   .681
1946   49,573   89,094   11,225   149,892   .126   .682
1947   50,548   90,025   11,577   152,150   .129   .690
1948   51,671   90,877   11,951   154,498   .132   .700
1949   52,767   91,655   12,353   156,775   .135   .710
1950   53,902   92,382   12,769   159,052   .138   .722
1951   56,504   94,164   13,291   163,959   .141   .741
1952   58,017   94,779   13,722   166,518   .145   .757
1953   59,678   95,257   14,171   169,106   .149   .775
1954   61,456   95,699   14,636   171,790   .153   .795
1955   63,291   96,207   15,075   174,574   .157   .815
1956   65,231   96,725   15,491   177,447   .160   .835
1957   67,417   97,990   15,931   181,337   .163   .851
1958   69,362   98,535   16,392   184,289   .166   .870
1959   71,244   99,127   16,851   187,222   .170   .889
1960   73,074   99,802   17,277   190,153   .173   .905
1961   74,902   100,632   17,675   193,208   .176   .920
1962   76,458   101,618   18,053   196,128   .178   .930
1963   77,741   102,742   18,402   198,886   .179   .936
1964   78,941   103,840   18,743   201,525   .181   .941
1965   80,032   104,879   19,070   203,982   .182   .945
1966   80,683   106,129   19,403   206,215   .183   .943
1967   80,770   107,806   19,763   208,338   .183   .933
1968   80,702   109,601   20,117   210,420   .184   .920
1969   80,808   111,301   20,484   212,593   .184   .910
1970   81,047   113,000   20,901   214,948   .185   .902
1971   81,117   114,738   21,365   217,221   .186   .893
1972   80,839   116,568   21,825   219,232   .187   .881
1973   80,257   118,487   22,293   221,037   .188   .865
1974   79,530   120,524   22,779   222,833   .189   .849
1975   78,718   122,654   23,316   224,687   .190   .832
1976   77,829   124,836   23,911   226,576   .192   .815
1977   76,957   127,126   24,510   228,594   .193   .798
1978   76,142   129,482   25,116   230,741   .194   .782
1979   75,439   131,837   25,723   232,999   .195   .767
1980   74,851   134,104   26,308   235,263   .196   .754
1981   74,343   136,304   26,882   237,529   .197   .743
1982   73,909   138,482   27,479   239,870   .198   .732
1983   73,527   140,615   28,044   242,186   .199   .722
1984   73,203   142,687   28,571   244,461   .200   .713
1985   73,077   144,567   29,145   246,788   .202   .707
1986   73,171   146,235   29,752   249,158   .203   .704
1987   73,413   147,809   30,329   251,551   .205   .702
1988   73,774   149,367   30,858   253,999   .207   .701
1989   74,197   151,019   31,368   256,584   .208   .699
1990   74,823   152,753   31,935   259,510   .209   .699
1991   75,657   154,478   32,541   262,676   .211   .700
1992   76,604   156,098   33,108   265,811   .212   .703
1993   77,661   157,587   33,604   268,852   .213   .706
1994   78,672   159,056   34,038   271,766   .214   .709
1995   79,570   160,552   34,434   274,557   .214   .710
1996   80,376   162,116   34,780   277,271   .215   .710
1997   81,048   163,833   35,074   279,955   .214   .709
1998   81,601   165,717   35,304   282,622   .213   .705
1999   82,007   167,769   35,492   285,269   .212   .700
2000   82,384   169,995   35,687   288,067   .210   .695
2001   82,798   172,261   35,889   290,948   .208   .689
2002   83,137   174,394   36,111   293,641   .207   .684
2003   83,465   176,381   36,384   296,230   .206   .679
2004   83,827   178,316   36,750   298,893   .206   .676
2005   84,184   180,245   37,184   301,614   .206   .673
2006   84,589   182,076   37,712   304,377   .207   .672
2007   85,041   183,708   38,425   307,174   .209   .672
2008   85,403   185,193   39,266   309,862   .212   .673
2009   85,529   186,723   40,151   312,402   .215   .673
2010   85,393   188,379   41,047   314,819   .218   .671
2011   85,112   189,863   42,158   317,133   .222   .670
2012   84,895   190,981   43,629   319,505   .228   .673
2013 c   84,925   192,012   45,176   322,113   .235   .678

Intermediate:
2014   85,106   193,087   46,663   324,856   .242   .682
2015   85,414   194,094   48,170   327,678   .248   .688
2016   85,842   195,027   49,726   330,595   .255   .695
2017   86,365   195,900   51,349   333,614   .262   .703
2018   86,959   196,727   53,045   336,730   .270   .712
2019   87,588   197,527   54,816   339,931   .278   .721
2020   88,211   198,246   56,643   343,101   .286   .731
2021   88,872   198,842   58,511   346,225   .294   .741
2022   89,561   199,295   60,423   349,279   .303   .753
2023   90,212   199,693   62,336   352,241   .312   .764
2024   90,823   200,107   64,230   355,160   .321   .775
2025   91,406   200,512   66,114   358,032   .330   .786
2026   91,940   200,957   67,955   360,852   .338   .796
2027   92,410   201,490   69,716   363,616   .346   .805
2028   92,878   202,046   71,396   366,320   .353   .813
2029   93,414   202,576   72,969   368,959   .360   .821
2030   94,060   203,105   74,364   371,528   .366   .829
2031   94,828   203,649   75,548   374,025   .371   .837
2032   95,611   204,259   76,577   376,447   .375   .843
2033   96,323   204,941   77,531   378,795   .378   .848
2034   96,968   205,617   78,485   381,070   .382   .853
2035   97,539   206,276   79,462   383,276   .385   .858
2036   98,025   207,032   80,358   385,415   .388   .862
2037   98,422   208,034   81,036   387,491   .390   .863
2038   98,737   209,285   81,488   389,509   .389   .861
2039   98,985   210,668   81,825   391,478   .388   .858
2040   99,185   212,109   82,114   393,407   .387   .855
2041   99,350   213,575   82,375   395,300   .386   .851
2042   99,506   215,007   82,650   397,162   .384   .847
2043   99,673   216,367   82,961   399,001   .383   .844
2044   99,857   217,627   83,337   400,822   .383   .842
2045   100,060   218,788   83,783   402,631   .383   .840
2046   100,285   219,896   84,252   404,433   .383   .839
2047   100,537   220,977   84,723   406,237   .383   .838
2048   100,820   222,057   85,171   408,048   .384   .838
2049   101,135   223,145   85,592   409,871   .384   .837
2050   101,486   224,196   86,030   411,711   .384   .836
2051   101,871   225,206   86,494   413,571   .384   .836
2052   102,291   226,178   86,983   415,452   .385   .837
2053   102,742   227,080   87,535   417,357   .385   .838
2054   103,218   227,872   88,194   419,284   .387   .840
2055   103,714   228,560   88,960   421,234   .389   .843
2056   104,226   229,209   89,769   423,204   .392   .846
2057   104,747   229,888   90,558   425,194   .394   .850
2058   105,275   230,622   91,305   427,202   .396   .852
2059   105,800   231,418   92,009   429,227   .398   .855
2060   106,315   232,274   92,678   431,267   .399   .857
2061   106,819   233,170   93,332   433,320   .400   .858
2062   107,309   234,076   93,999   435,384   .402   .860
2063   107,784   234,981   94,691   437,456   .403   .862
2064   108,241   235,866   95,426   439,533   .405   .863
2065   108,680   236,738   96,196   441,614   .406   .865
2066   109,099   237,645   96,951   443,696   .408   .867
2067   109,499   238,600   97,678   445,777   .409   .868
2068   109,880   239,558   98,419   447,857   .411   .870
2069   110,241   240,507   99,185   449,933   .412   .871
2070   110,587   241,457   99,962   452,006   .414   .872
2071   110,918   242,390   100,767   454,075   .416   .873
2072   111,239   243,295   101,606   456,140   .418   .875
2073   111,554   244,228   102,418   458,200   .419   .876
2074   111,865   245,253   103,137   460,255   .421   .877
2075   112,178   246,406   103,722   462,306   .421   .876
2076   112,496   247,697   104,160   464,353   .421   .875
2077   112,822   249,024   104,551   466,397   .420   .873
2078   113,160   250,301   104,980   468,440   .419   .872
2079   113,510   251,526   105,446   470,482   .419   .871
2080   113,874   252,688   105,962   472,525   .419   .870
2081   114,254   253,776   106,539   474,569   .420   .870
2082   114,648   254,783   107,186   476,616   .421   .871
2083   115,055   255,712   107,900   478,666   .422   .872
2084   115,475   256,573   108,672   480,719   .424   .874
2085   115,905   257,378   109,493   482,776   .425   .876
2086   116,343   258,141   110,352   484,835   .427   .878
2087   116,787   258,886   111,225   486,898   .430   .881
2088   117,234   259,632   112,097   488,964   .432   .883
2089   117,683   260,383   112,966   491,032   .434   .886
2090   118,130   261,141   113,830   493,101   .436   .888

Low-cost:
2014   85,152   193,143   46,656   324,951   .242   .682
2015   85,581   194,297   48,143   328,021   .248   .688
2016   86,176   195,417   49,667   331,260   .254   .695
2017   86,912   196,512   51,247   334,672   .261   .703
2018   87,762   197,595   52,891   338,248   .268   .712
2019   88,675   198,650   54,602   341,927   .275   .721
2020   89,609   199,626   56,360   345,595   .282   .731
2021   90,610   200,477   58,152   349,239   .290   .742
2022   91,667   201,185   59,982   352,834   .298   .754
2023   92,716   201,837   61,806   356,360   .306   .766
2024   93,756   202,504   63,605   359,865   .314   .777
2025   94,798   203,160   65,387   363,345   .322   .788
2026   95,821   203,856   67,120   366,796   .329   .799
2027   96,810   204,637   68,768   370,215   .336   .809
2028   97,829   205,439   70,328   373,596   .342   .819
2029   98,946   206,213   71,776   376,935   .348   .828
2030   100,202   206,983   73,042   380,228   .353   .837
2031   101,612   207,765   74,093   383,470   .357   .846
2032   103,067   208,610   74,986   386,663   .359   .854
2033   104,482   209,524   75,800   389,806   .362   .860
2034   105,850   210,442   76,612   392,903   .364   .867
2035   107,148   211,369   77,443   395,960   .366   .873
2036   108,368   212,420   78,192   398,980   .368   .878
2037   109,507   213,741   78,724   401,972   .368   .881
2038   110,569   215,339   79,033   404,941   .367   .880
2039   111,559   217,097   79,231   407,886   .365   .879
2040   112,480   218,942   79,382   410,804   .363   .876
2041   113,349   220,842   79,510   413,701   .360   .873
2042   114,193   222,737   79,656   416,587   .358   .870
2043   115,037   224,591   79,842   419,470   .356   .868
2044   115,885   226,375   80,100   422,360   .354   .866
2045   116,745   228,088   80,432   425,266   .353   .864
2046   117,624   229,778   80,794   428,196   .352   .864
2047   118,526   231,468   81,166   431,160   .351   .863
2048   119,458   233,186   81,524   434,168   .350   .862
2049   120,426   234,936   81,862   437,224   .348   .861
2050   121,433   236,676   82,227   440,336   .347   .860
2051   122,481   238,402   82,624   443,507   .347   .860
2052   123,569   240,117   83,054   446,740   .346   .861
2053   124,694   241,790   83,553   450,037   .346   .861
2054   125,851   243,383   84,162   453,396   .346   .863
2055   127,032   244,903   84,882   456,818   .347   .865
2056   128,232   246,418   85,649   460,300   .348   .868
2057   129,444   247,996   86,400   463,840   .348   .870
2058   130,660   249,665   87,111   467,436   .349   .872
2059   131,884   251,416   87,783   471,083   .349   .874
2060   133,122   253,238   88,419   474,780   .349   .875
2061   134,369   255,113   89,040   478,522   .349   .876
2062   135,619   257,014   89,672   482,305   .349   .877
2063   136,869   258,932   90,326   486,127   .349   .877
2064   138,113   260,853   91,019   489,984   .349   .878
2065   139,348   262,784   91,742   493,874   .349   .879
2066   140,571   264,777   92,446   497,794   .349   .880
2067   141,779   266,845   93,119   501,742   .349   .880
2068   142,969   268,949   93,799   505,717   .349   .880
2069   144,142   271,076   94,500   509,718   .349   .880
2070   145,298   273,239   95,208   513,744   .348   .880
2071   146,438   275,423   95,936   517,796   .348   .880
2072   147,565   277,616   96,694   521,875   .348   .880
2073   148,683   279,874   97,422   525,979   .348   .879
2074   149,796   282,260   98,055   530,111   .347   .878
2075   150,909   284,808   98,555   534,273   .346   .876
2076   152,026   287,529   98,910   538,465   .344   .873
2077   153,151   290,320   99,219   542,690   .342   .869
2078   154,288   293,099   99,564   546,951   .340   .866
2079   155,441   295,852   99,957   551,250   .338   .863
2080   156,612   298,554   100,422   555,588   .336   .861
2081   157,803   301,190   100,974   559,967   .335   .859
2082   159,015   303,753   101,620   564,388   .335   .858
2083   160,247   306,244   102,361   568,852   .334   .858
2084   161,500   308,671   103,188   573,359   .334   .858
2085   162,773   311,045   104,092   577,911   .335   .858
2086   164,062   313,381   105,062   582,505   .335   .859
2087   165,366   315,701   106,075   587,143   .336   .860
2088   166,683   318,025   107,115   591,822   .337   .861
2089   168,009   320,355   108,179   596,542   .338   .862
2090   169,341   322,696   109,265   601,302   .339   .863

High-cost:
2014   85,047   193,010   46,670   324,727   .242   .682
2015   85,205   193,822   48,197   327,224   .249   .688
2016   85,400   194,453   49,784   329,638   .256   .695
2017   85,612   194,926   51,448   331,985   .264   .703
2018   85,816   195,259   53,192   334,267   .272   .712
2019   85,999   195,499   55,020   336,518   .281   .721
2020   86,191   195,722   56,912   338,826   .291   .731
2021   86,448   195,921   58,855   341,224   .300   .742
2022   86,760   196,078   60,851   343,688   .310   .753
2023   87,038   196,250   62,857   346,146   .320   .764
2024   87,245   196,445   64,851   348,542   .330   .774
2025   87,394   196,635   66,843   350,871   .340   .784
2026   87,464   196,870   68,798   353,131   .349   .794
2027   87,440   197,196   70,680   355,316   .358   .802
2028   87,386   197,548   72,487   357,422   .367   .809
2029   87,372   197,877   74,194   359,443   .375   .816
2030   87,438   198,210   75,728   361,376   .382   .823
2031   87,599   198,561   77,056   363,216   .388   .829
2032   87,748   198,981   78,232   364,961   .393   .834
2033   87,798   199,476   79,337   366,611   .398   .838
2034   87,767   199,952   80,446   368,165   .402   .841
2035   87,659   200,384   81,581   369,624   .407   .845
2036   87,467   200,885   82,638   370,990   .411   .847
2037   87,187   201,601   83,475   372,263   .414   .847
2038   86,826   202,536   84,084   373,446   .415   .844
2039   86,414   203,569   84,575   374,558   .415   .840
2040   85,980   204,625   85,014   375,620   .415   .836
2041   85,537   205,673   85,423   376,632   .415   .831
2042   85,103   206,656   85,839   377,598   .415   .827
2043   84,696   207,538   86,287   378,521   .416   .824
2044   84,316   208,294   86,795   379,405   .417   .821
2045   83,966   208,921   87,366   380,253   .418   .820
2046   83,645   209,471   87,951   381,068   .420   .819
2047   83,356   209,968   88,531   381,855   .422   .819
2048   83,100   210,442   89,079   382,620   .423   .818
2049   82,878   210,899   89,588   383,365   .425   .818
2050   82,691   211,298   90,105   384,095   .426   .818
2051   82,539   211,633   90,639   384,811   .428   .818
2052   82,420   211,907   91,190   385,517   .430   .819
2053   82,330   212,086   91,795   386,212   .433   .821
2054   82,267   212,129   92,501   386,897   .436   .824
2055   82,225   212,039   93,308   387,572   .440   .828
2056   82,203   211,882   94,153   388,238   .444   .832
2057   82,197   211,724   94,972   388,893   .449   .837
2058   82,205   211,590   95,744   389,539   .452   .841
2059   82,208   211,497   96,470   390,175   .456   .845
2060   82,187   211,456   97,158   390,801   .459   .848
2061   82,144   211,443   97,830   391,418   .463   .851
2062   82,078   211,428   98,518   392,023   .466   .854
2063   81,990   211,394   99,233   392,617   .469   .857
2064   81,880   211,322   99,994   393,196   .473   .861
2065   81,750   211,215   100,796   393,761   .477   .864
2066   81,601   211,121   101,586   394,308   .481   .868
2067   81,433   211,051   102,352   394,837   .485   .871
2068   81,250   210,961   103,136   395,346   .489   .874
2069   81,052   210,831   103,952   395,836   .493   .877
2070   80,844   210,676   104,784   396,304   .497   .881
2071   80,628   210,474   105,649   396,751   .502   .885
2072   80,408   210,213   106,554   397,175   .507   .889
2073   80,188   209,953   107,436   397,577   .512   .894
2074   79,971   209,757   108,227   397,955   .516   .897
2075   79,761   209,664   108,884   398,309   .519   .900
2076   79,561   209,685   109,393   398,638   .522   .901
2077   79,373   209,715   109,855   398,943   .524   .902
2078   79,198   209,668   110,358   399,224   .526   .904
2079   79,039   209,557   110,886   399,482   .529   .906
2080   78,895   209,385   111,437   399,717   .532   .909
2081   78,766   209,143   112,021   399,930   .536   .912
2082   78,651   208,830   112,641   400,122   .539   .916
2083   78,548   208,453   113,292   400,293   .543   .920
2084   78,456   208,024   113,963   400,442   .548   .925
2085   78,372   207,555   114,644   400,572   .552   .930
2086   78,295   207,059   115,327   400,681   .557   .935
2087   78,223   206,556   115,991   400,770   .562   .940
2088   78,153   206,062   116,625   400,840   .566   .945
2089   78,083   205,580   117,227   400,891   .570   .950
2090   78,012   205,112   117,797   400,921   .574   .955

a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated.

Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.