Social Security Area Population on July 1 and Dependency Ratios — 2026 OASDI Trustees Report

Single-Year Tables Historical data Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions
Table V.A3.—Social Security Area Population on July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1941-2100
Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over		   Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1941   48,419   83,516   9,814   141,749   0.118   0.697
1942   48,410   84,647   10,082   143,140   .119   .691
1943   48,765   85,765   10,336   144,866   .121   .689
1944   48,939   86,853   10,592   146,383   .122   .685
1945   49,107   87,891   10,886   147,883   .124   .683
1946   49,278   88,878   11,216   149,373   .126   .681
1947   50,559   89,824   11,570   151,954   .129   .692
1948   51,599   90,692   11,947   154,238   .132   .701
1949   52,746   91,472   12,356   156,574   .135   .712
1950   53,918   92,190   12,789   158,897   .139   .724
1951   56,470   93,978   13,334   163,782   .142   .743
1952   57,992   94,581   13,784   166,357   .146   .759
1953   59,680   95,048   14,252   168,980   .150   .778
1954   61,523   95,461   14,719   171,703   .154   .799
1955   63,337   96,003   15,161   174,500   .158   .818
1956   65,200   96,498   15,593   177,291   .162   .837
1957   67,346   97,750   16,024   181,121   .164   .853
1958   69,276   98,383   16,456   184,114   .167   .871
1959   71,129   99,051   16,894   187,074   .171   .889
1960   72,915   99,752   17,323   189,990   .174   .905
1961   74,816   100,556   17,739   193,111   .176   .920
1962   76,453   101,467   18,128   196,049   .179   .932
1963   77,637   102,728   18,481   198,846   .180   .936
1964   78,897   103,816   18,822   201,535   .181   .941
1965   80,005   104,881   19,153   204,039   .183   .945
1966   80,937   105,856   19,488   206,281   .184   .949
1967   80,677   107,880   19,851   208,408   .184   .932
1968   80,625   109,603   20,215   210,443   .184   .920
1969   80,657   111,304   20,592   212,554   .185   .910
1970   80,856   112,953   21,007   214,815   .186   .902
1971   80,980   114,696   21,451   217,127   .187   .893
1972   80,688   116,514   21,897   219,099   .188   .880
1973   80,102   118,430   22,350   220,883   .189   .865
1974   79,336   120,473   22,831   222,641   .190   .848
1975   78,576   122,592   23,370   224,538   .191   .832
1976   77,710   124,754   23,949   226,413   .192   .815
1977   76,843   127,099   24,541   228,483   .193   .798
1978   76,018   129,469   25,141   230,628   .194   .781
1979   75,351   131,808   25,739   232,898   .195   .767
1980   74,841   134,029   26,315   235,184   .196   .755
1981   74,270   136,274   26,873   237,417   .197   .742
1982   73,808   138,459   27,461   239,728   .198   .731
1983   73,419   140,593   28,023   242,036   .199   .722
1984   73,013   142,689   28,561   244,263   .200   .712
1985   72,893   144,586   29,129   246,609   .201   .706
1986   73,035   146,229   29,732   248,995   .203   .703
1987   73,284   147,802   30,332   251,418   .205   .701
1988   73,680   149,338   30,872   253,890   .207   .700
1989   74,140   150,975   31,385   256,500   .208   .699
1990   74,791   152,730   31,926   259,447   .209   .699
1991   75,482   154,606   32,487   262,575   .210   .698
1992   76,425   156,231   33,031   265,688   .211   .701
1993   77,455   157,713   33,513   268,681   .212   .704
1994   78,459   159,167   33,928   271,553   .213   .706
1995   79,287   160,733   34,294   274,314   .213   .707
1996   80,085   162,260   34,641   276,986   .213   .707
1997   80,677   164,061   34,913   279,651   .213   .705
1998   81,204   165,963   35,122   282,289   .212   .701
1999   81,615   168,025   35,276   284,915   .210   .696
2000   81,980   170,138   35,501   287,619   .209   .691
2001   82,369   172,337   35,720   290,425   .207   .685
2002   82,668   174,573   35,955   293,196   .206   .680
2003   82,982   176,613   36,296   295,891   .206   .675
2004   83,450   178,548   36,687   298,685   .205   .673
2005   83,906   180,820   37,132   301,858   .205   .669
2006   84,472   183,100   37,683   305,255   .206   .667
2007   85,117   184,808   38,374   308,300   .208   .668
2008   85,578   185,621   39,366   310,565   .212   .673
2009   85,810   186,690   40,202   312,702   .215   .675
2010   85,712   188,457   41,017   315,185   .218   .672
2011   85,417   190,456   41,737   317,610   .219   .668
2012   85,112   191,340   43,449   319,901   .227   .672
2013   84,900   192,437   44,876   322,213   .233   .674
2014   84,887   193,794   46,326   325,006   .239   .677
2015   85,011   195,342   47,792   328,145   .245   .680
2016   85,123   196,393   49,360   330,876   .251   .685
2017   85,129   197,171   50,978   333,278   .259   .690
2018   85,038   197,740   52,670   335,448   .266   .696
2019   84,748   197,923   54,449   337,121   .275   .703
2020   84,259   197,895   56,087   338,242   .283   .709
2021   83,683   197,754   57,540   338,977   .291   .714
2022   83,470   197,960   59,186   340,617   .299   .721
2023 c   83,330   198,971   60,983   343,284   .306   .725
2024 d   83,091   200,168   62,839   346,098   .314   .729
2025 d   82,682   200,488   64,619   347,788   .322   .735

Intermediate:
2026   82,006   199,921   66,389   348,316   .332   .742
2027   81,238   199,583   68,031   348,852   .341   .748
2028   80,483   199,455   69,594   349,532   .349   .752
2029   79,897   199,420   71,051   350,367   .356   .757
2030   79,461   199,580   72,324   351,365   .362   .761
2031   79,116   200,029   73,369   352,513   .367   .762
2032   78,866   200,595   74,278   353,740   .370   .763
2033   78,642   201,251   75,082   354,974   .373   .764
2034   78,421   201,853   75,915   356,189   .376   .765
2035   78,200   202,376   76,797   357,372   .379   .766
2036   78,035   202,792   77,699   358,526   .383   .768
2037   77,989   203,396   78,262   359,647   .385   .768
2038   78,033   204,089   78,616   360,738   .385   .768
2039   78,185   204,785   78,829   361,799   .385   .767
2040   78,397   205,342   79,091   362,830   .385   .767
2041   78,776   205,801   79,250   363,827   .385   .768
2042   79,075   206,200   79,513   364,788   .386   .769
2043   79,423   206,533   79,749   365,704   .386   .771
2044   79,793   206,728   80,062   366,583   .387   .773
2045   80,123   206,803   80,490   367,417   .389   .777
2046   80,456   206,817   80,944   368,217   .391   .780
2047   80,773   206,788   81,397   368,958   .394   .784
2048   81,069   206,729   81,879   369,677   .396   .788
2049   81,339   206,757   82,262   370,358   .398   .791
2050   81,577   206,679   82,753   371,009   .400   .795
2051   81,776   206,601   83,256   371,632   .403   .799
2052   81,934   206,545   83,757   372,235   .406   .802
2053   82,047   206,461   84,312   372,820   .408   .806
2054   82,115   206,307   84,968   373,390   .412   .810
2055   82,138   206,058   85,756   373,951   .416   .815
2056   82,116   205,849   86,543   374,508   .420   .819
2057   82,052   205,702   87,307   375,062   .424   .823
2058   81,951   205,669   87,998   375,618   .428   .826
2059   81,820   205,725   88,633   376,178   .431   .829
2060   81,666   205,843   89,238   376,746   .434   .830
2061   81,499   206,023   89,799   377,320   .436   .831
2062   81,330   206,210   90,365   377,905   .438   .833
2063   81,169   206,388   90,942   378,499   .441   .834
2064   81,025   206,535   91,542   379,102   .443   .836
2065   80,902   206,596   92,214   379,712   .446   .838
2066   80,807   206,624   92,896   380,327   .450   .841
2067   80,741   206,692   93,511   380,944   .452   .843
2068   80,707   206,698   94,158   381,563   .456   .846
2069   80,704   206,628   94,844   382,177   .459   .850
2070   80,733   206,531   95,522   382,786   .463   .853
2071   80,791   206,384   96,207   383,383   .466   .858
2072   80,878   206,112   96,985   383,974   .471   .863
2073   80,989   205,796   97,767   384,552   .475   .869
2074   81,122   205,581   98,413   385,116   .479   .873
2075   81,271   205,440   98,947   385,658   .482   .877
2076   81,432   205,313   99,440   386,185   .484   .881
2077   81,600   205,219   99,868   386,686   .487   .884
2078   81,769   205,103   100,298   387,171   .489   .888
2079   81,936   204,957   100,738   387,631   .492   .891
2080   82,096   204,782   101,192   388,070   .494   .895
2081   82,244   204,633   101,614   388,491   .497   .898
2082   82,377   204,574   101,941   388,891   .498   .901
2083   82,492   204,572   102,209   389,274   .500   .903
2084   82,588   204,660   102,397   389,645   .500   .904
2085   82,665   204,785   102,549   389,999   .501   .904
2086   82,721   205,079   102,542   390,342   .500   .903
2087   82,758   205,297   102,620   390,675   .500   .903
2088   82,778   205,574   102,649   391,001   .499   .902
2089   82,781   205,898   102,641   391,321   .499   .901
2090   82,770   206,205   102,658   391,633   .498   .899
2091   82,747   206,533   102,667   391,947   .497   .898
2092   82,716   206,872   102,669   392,257   .496   .896
2093   82,679   207,217   102,674   392,570   .495   .894
2094   82,640   207,563   102,683   392,886   .495   .893
2095   82,601   207,901   102,702   393,204   .494   .891
2096   82,566   208,225   102,739   393,529   .493   .890
2097   82,537   208,526   102,795   393,858   .493   .889
2098   82,517   208,800   102,878   394,195   .493   .888
2099   82,508   209,043   102,990   394,541   .493   .887
2100   82,511   209,249   103,134   394,894   .493   .887

Low-cost:
2026   82,460   200,777   66,423   349,660   .331   .742
2027   81,976   200,702   68,052   350,730   .339   .748
2028   81,593   200,845   69,588   352,026   .346   .753
2029   81,461   201,093   71,008   353,562   .353   .758
2030   81,561   201,563   72,233   355,356   .358   .763
2031   81,830   202,358   73,220   357,408   .362   .766
2032   82,268   203,295   74,061   359,623   .364   .769
2033   82,789   204,326   74,786   361,900   .366   .771
2034   83,369   205,306   75,530   364,205   .368   .774
2035   83,997   206,206   76,313   366,515   .370   .777
2036   84,723   206,995   77,107   368,824   .373   .782
2037   85,605   207,966   77,554   371,125   .373   .785
2038   86,607   209,023   77,786   373,415   .372   .786
2039   87,742   210,077   77,871   375,690   .371   .788
2040   88,954   210,990   78,000   377,944   .370   .791
2041   90,350   211,799   78,022   380,171   .368   .795
2042   91,670   212,548   78,145   382,363   .368   .799
2043   93,042   213,229   78,239   384,510   .367   .803
2044   94,433   213,774   78,409   386,617   .367   .809
2045   95,782   214,202   78,692   388,676   .367   .815
2046   97,076   214,623   79,000   390,699   .368   .820
2047   98,249   215,104   79,313   392,665   .369   .825
2048   99,319   215,636   79,653   394,608   .369   .830
2049   100,290   216,329   79,898   396,517   .369   .833
2050   101,164   216,985   80,255   398,404   .370   .836
2051   101,943   217,704   80,626   400,272   .370   .839
2052   102,630   218,503   81,000   402,133   .371   .840
2053   103,232   219,327   81,431   403,991   .371   .842
2054   103,757   220,132   81,967   405,856   .372   .844
2055   104,212   220,885   82,638   407,735   .374   .846
2056   104,609   221,717   83,312   409,638   .376   .848
2057   104,959   222,642   83,968   411,569   .377   .849
2058   105,277   223,703   84,556   413,537   .378   .849
2059   105,580   224,872   85,095   415,546   .378   .848
2060   105,884   226,113   85,607   417,604   .379   .847
2061   106,208   227,422   86,080   419,711   .379   .846
2062   106,568   228,741   86,562   421,872   .378   .844
2063   106,980   230,051   87,056   424,087   .378   .843
2064   107,454   231,326   87,574   426,354   .379   .843
2065   107,996   232,512   88,164   428,673   .379   .844
2066   108,610   233,663   88,765   431,038   .380   .845
2067   109,295   234,851   89,298   433,443   .380   .846
2068   110,048   235,976   89,862   435,886   .381   .847
2069   110,865   237,028   90,465   438,358   .382   .849
2070   111,737   238,057   91,059   440,853   .383   .852
2071   112,660   239,046   91,659   443,365   .383   .855
2072   113,623   239,921   92,349   445,893   .385   .858
2073   114,618   240,768   93,042   448,427   .386   .862
2074   115,633   241,733   93,599   450,966   .387   .866
2075   116,659   242,794   94,048   453,501   .387   .868
2076   117,684   243,895   94,455   456,035   .387   .870
2077   118,698   245,062   94,800   458,560   .387   .871
2078   119,692   246,242   95,146   461,079   .386   .872
2079   120,656   247,432   95,503   463,590   .386   .874
2080   121,583   248,637   95,873   466,093   .386   .875
2081   122,466   249,914   96,212   468,592   .385   .875
2082   123,302   251,327   96,457   471,086   .384   .874
2083   124,090   252,842   96,648   473,580   .382   .873
2084   124,828   254,494   96,756   476,078   .380   .871
2085   125,520   256,225   96,836   478,581   .378   .868
2086   126,169   258,171   96,754   481,094   .375   .863
2087   126,782   260,078   96,762   483,622   .372   .860
2088   127,365   262,080   96,723   486,168   .369   .855
2089   127,925   264,159   96,652   488,736   .366   .850
2090   128,470   266,247   96,610   491,328   .363   .845
2091   129,009   268,328   96,613   493,950   .360   .841
2092   129,549   270,350   96,703   496,602   .358   .837
2093   130,097   272,324   96,869   499,289   .356   .833
2094   130,661   274,247   97,104   502,012   .354   .831
2095   131,246   276,115   97,411   504,772   .353   .828
2096   131,859   277,923   97,791   507,572   .352   .826
2097   132,501   279,667   98,243   510,411   .351   .825
2098   133,177   281,345   98,768   513,290   .351   .824
2099   133,887   282,957   99,365   516,209   .351   .824
2100   134,632   284,503   100,033   519,167   .352   .825

High-cost:
2026   81,606   199,177   66,362   347,144   .333   .743
2027   80,588   198,650   68,028   347,265   .342   .748
2028   79,497   198,320   69,628   347,445   .351   .752
2029   78,489   198,057   71,139   347,685   .359   .755
2030   77,550   197,951   72,479   347,980   .366   .758
2031   76,622   198,094   73,605   348,321   .372   .758
2032   75,719   198,328   74,609   348,656   .376   .758
2033   74,781   198,632   75,522   348,935   .380   .757
2034   73,796   198,878   76,478   349,152   .385   .756
2035   72,769   199,046   77,496   349,311   .389   .755
2036   71,759   199,109   78,548   349,415   .394   .755
2037   70,837   199,365   79,271   349,473   .398   .753
2038   69,979   199,716   79,794   349,489   .400   .750
2039   69,209   200,074   80,185   349,468   .401   .747
2040   68,484   200,297   80,631   349,412   .403   .744
2041   67,916   200,426   80,980   349,323   .404   .743
2042   67,264   200,497   81,439   349,200   .406   .742
2043   66,661   200,502   81,873   349,036   .408   .741
2044   66,086   200,367   82,387   348,841   .411   .741
2045   65,476   200,113   83,017   348,606   .415   .742
2046   64,928   199,741   83,676   348,345   .419   .744
2047   64,469   199,228   84,327   348,023   .423   .747
2048   64,073   198,603   85,007   347,683   .428   .751
2049   63,726   197,995   85,584   347,305   .432   .754
2050   63,415   197,213   86,266   346,895   .437   .759
2051   63,128   196,369   86,953   346,450   .443   .764
2052   62,851   195,493   87,635   345,979   .448   .770
2053   62,576   194,539   88,364   345,479   .454   .776
2054   62,295   193,468   89,190   344,952   .461   .783
2055   61,999   192,259   90,143   344,401   .469   .791
2056   61,681   191,057   91,089   343,826   .477   .800
2057   61,335   189,890   92,002   343,227   .485   .808
2058   60,957   188,815   92,835   342,607   .492   .815
2059   60,547   187,815   93,603   341,966   .498   .821
2060   60,105   186,867   94,334   341,306   .505   .826
2061   59,633   185,977   95,013   340,623   .511   .832
2062   59,136   185,094   95,692   339,922   .517   .836
2063   58,620   184,205   96,376   339,201   .523   .841
2064   58,092   183,287   97,080   338,459   .530   .847
2065   57,556   182,288   97,853   337,696   .537   .853
2066   57,017   181,261   98,634   336,912   .544   .859
2067   56,481   180,279   99,343   336,104   .551   .864
2068   55,953   179,239   100,084   335,275   .558   .871
2069   55,434   178,125   100,861   334,420   .566   .877
2070   54,930   176,983   101,628   333,541   .574   .885
2071   54,444   175,789   102,398   332,631   .583   .892
2072   53,977   174,464   103,262   331,704   .592   .901
2073   53,532   173,089   104,129   330,749   .602   .911
2074   53,108   171,806   104,858   329,772   .610   .919
2075   52,707   170,585   105,468   328,760   .618   .927
2076   52,327   169,364   106,035   327,725   .626   .935
2077   51,968   168,157   106,529   326,654   .634   .943
2078   51,628   166,906   107,026   325,560   .641   .951
2079   51,306   165,599   107,528   324,433   .649   .959
2080   51,000   164,236   108,039   323,276   .658   .968
2081   50,708   162,869   108,516   322,093   .666   .978
2082   50,427   161,562   108,891   320,880   .674   .986
2083   50,154   160,286   109,201   319,641   .681   .994
2084   49,888   159,068   109,429   318,384   .688   1.002
2085   49,626   157,862   109,609   317,096   .694   1.009
2086   49,365   156,793   109,628   315,787   .699   1.014
2087   49,105   155,625   109,727   314,457   .705   1.021
2088   48,842   154,495   109,771   313,107   .711   1.027
2089   48,574   153,392   109,772   311,738   .716   1.032
2090   48,301   152,256   109,788   310,345   .721   1.038
2091   48,022   151,180   109,739   308,940   .726   1.044
2092   47,735   150,198   109,583   307,515   .730   1.047
2093   47,440   149,289   109,351   306,080   .732   1.050
2094   47,140   148,441   109,051   304,632   .735   1.052
2095   46,833   147,642   108,696   303,171   .736   1.053
2096   46,522   146,883   108,297   301,702   .737   1.054
2097   46,208   146,151   107,861   300,220   .738   1.054
2098   45,893   145,438   107,401   298,732   .738   1.054
2099   45,578   144,736   106,925   297,238   .739   1.054
2100   45,265   144,035   106,436   295,736   .739   1.053
a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated.
d Estimated, intermediate alternative.

Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Components may not sum to totals because of rounding.