Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
B3.14: Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2025, reduce the 15 percent PIA factor by 2 percentage points per year so that it reaches 5 percent for those newly eligible in 2029 and later.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2023 | 14.53 | 13.29 | -1.24 | 204 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2024 | 14.87 | 12.89 | -1.98 | 187 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2025 | 15.04 | 12.97 | -2.07 | 168 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2026 | 15.23 | 13.08 | -2.15 | 149 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2027 | 15.38 | 13.09 | -2.28 | 131 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2028 | 15.55 | 13.13 | -2.42 | 114 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2029 | 15.71 | 13.16 | -2.55 | 96 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2030 | 15.85 | 13.18 | -2.67 | 78 | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2031 | 15.98 | 13.21 | -2.76 | 61 | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2032 | 16.10 | 13.24 | -2.87 | 43 | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2033 | 16.21 | 13.25 | -2.96 | 26 | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2034 | 16.30 | 13.25 | -3.05 | 8 | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.08 | ||
| 2035 | 16.37 | 13.26 | -3.11 | ---- | -0.10 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
| 2036 | 16.43 | 13.27 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
| 2037 | 16.48 | 13.27 | -3.21 | ---- | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
| 2038 | 16.51 | 13.28 | -3.24 | ---- | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
| 2039 | 16.54 | 13.28 | -3.26 | ---- | -0.21 | -0.01 | 0.20 | ||
| 2040 | 16.55 | 13.28 | -3.27 | ---- | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
| 2041 | 16.55 | 13.28 | -3.26 | ---- | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
| 2042 | 16.54 | 13.29 | -3.25 | ---- | -0.28 | -0.02 | 0.26 | ||
| 2043 | 16.53 | 13.29 | -3.24 | ---- | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.29 | ||
| 2044 | 16.52 | 13.29 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.32 | -0.02 | 0.31 | ||
| 2045 | 16.52 | 13.29 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
| 2046 | 16.51 | 13.29 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.37 | -0.02 | 0.34 | ||
| 2047 | 16.52 | 13.29 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.39 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
| 2048 | 16.52 | 13.29 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
| 2049 | 16.53 | 13.29 | -3.24 | ---- | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
| 2050 | 16.55 | 13.30 | -3.25 | ---- | -0.44 | -0.03 | 0.41 | ||
| 2051 | 16.56 | 13.30 | -3.27 | ---- | -0.45 | -0.03 | 0.43 | ||
| 2052 | 16.59 | 13.30 | -3.29 | ---- | -0.47 | -0.03 | 0.44 | ||
| 2053 | 16.63 | 13.30 | -3.32 | ---- | -0.48 | -0.03 | 0.45 | ||
| 2054 | 16.67 | 13.31 | -3.36 | ---- | -0.49 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
| 2055 | 16.73 | 13.31 | -3.41 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
| 2056 | 16.79 | 13.32 | -3.47 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
| 2057 | 16.85 | 13.32 | -3.53 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
| 2058 | 16.92 | 13.33 | -3.59 | ---- | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
| 2059 | 17.00 | 13.33 | -3.66 | ---- | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
| 2060 | 17.07 | 13.34 | -3.73 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
| 2061 | 17.13 | 13.35 | -3.79 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
| 2062 | 17.20 | 13.35 | -3.85 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2063 | 17.26 | 13.36 | -3.90 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
| 2064 | 17.31 | 13.36 | -3.95 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
| 2065 | 17.37 | 13.37 | -4.01 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
| 2066 | 17.43 | 13.37 | -4.06 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.54 | ||
| 2067 | 17.48 | 13.37 | -4.11 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.54 | ||
| 2068 | 17.53 | 13.38 | -4.15 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
| 2069 | 17.59 | 13.38 | -4.21 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
| 2070 | 17.64 | 13.39 | -4.26 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
| 2071 | 17.69 | 13.39 | -4.30 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
| 2072 | 17.74 | 13.40 | -4.35 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2073 | 17.79 | 13.40 | -4.39 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2074 | 17.83 | 13.40 | -4.43 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2075 | 17.87 | 13.41 | -4.46 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2076 | 17.89 | 13.41 | -4.48 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2077 | 17.90 | 13.41 | -4.49 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2078 | 17.90 | 13.41 | -4.49 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2079 | 17.89 | 13.41 | -4.48 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2080 | 17.87 | 13.41 | -4.46 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2081 | 17.83 | 13.41 | -4.43 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2082 | 17.80 | 13.41 | -4.39 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2083 | 17.75 | 13.40 | -4.34 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2084 | 17.69 | 13.40 | -4.29 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2085 | 17.63 | 13.40 | -4.24 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2086 | 17.57 | 13.39 | -4.17 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.04 | 0.56 | ||
| 2087 | 17.50 | 13.39 | -4.11 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
| 2088 | 17.43 | 13.38 | -4.05 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
| 2089 | 17.37 | 13.38 | -3.99 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
| 2090 | 17.31 | 13.38 | -3.93 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
| 2091 | 17.26 | 13.37 | -3.89 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
| 2092 | 17.22 | 13.37 | -3.85 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
| 2093 | 17.19 | 13.37 | -3.82 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.54 | ||
| 2094 | 17.17 | 13.37 | -3.80 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.54 | ||
| 2095 | 17.16 | 13.37 | -3.80 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.54 | ||
| 2096 | 17.16 | 13.37 | -3.80 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.54 | ||
| 2097 | 17.17 | 13.37 | -3.80 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
| 2098 | 17.19 | 13.37 | -3.82 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.04 | 0.55 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2023-2097 | 16.98% | 13.75% | -3.23% | 2034 | -0.40% | -0.02% | 0.37% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2023 Trustees Report.