Summary Measures and Graphs

Description of Proposed Provision:
B3.13: For retired worker beneficiaries newly eligible in 2031 (excluding disabled workers), add a new bend point at the wage-indexed equivalent of the 50th percentile of the AIME distribution minus $100 (for 2015 eligibility) and change the PIA factors to 95/32/15/5. Also move the current-law first bend point from the wage-indexed equivalent of $1,174 in 2023 to $1,493 in 2024. Phase this provision in over 10 years (2031-2040). The phase-in would work on a weighted-average basis: 90% of CL formula + 10% of proposal formula for 2031, 80% of CL formula + 20% of proposal formula for 2032, and so on.

Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2024 Trustees Report
Summary Measures
Current law
[percent of payroll]		 Change from current law
[percent of payroll]		 Shortfall eliminated
Long-range
actuarial
balance		 Annual
balance in
75th year		 Long-range
actuarial
balance		 Annual
balance in
75th year		 Long-range
actuarial
balance		 Annual
balance in
75th year
-3.50 -4.64 0.10 0.21 3% 5%

graph of OASDI cost rates and income rates by year, under current law and provision. click on graph to view underlying data. graph of OASDI trust fund ratio by year, under current law and provision. click on graph to view underlying data.