Immigration Assumptions — 2016 OASDI Trustees Report

Table V.A2.- Immigration Assumptions, ^a
Calendar Years 1940-2090
[in thousands]
Historical data:
Calendar year	Legal Immigration				Other-than-legal immigration ^b				Total net immigration
Calendar year	Legal in	Legal out	Adjustments of status ^c ^d	Net legal	Other in	Other out	Adjustments of status ^c ^d	Net other	Total net immigration
1940	-	-	-	46	-	-	-	-	-
1941	40	10	-	30	-	-	-	-	-
1942	26	7	-	20	-	-	-	-	-
1943	26	7	-	20	-	-	-	-	-
1944	33	8	-	25	-	-	-	-	-
1945	73	18	-	55	-	-	-	-	-
1946	128	32	-	96	-	-	-	-	-
1947	159	40	-	119	-	-	-	-	-
1948	179	45	-	135	-	-	-	-	-
1949	219	55	-	164	-	-	-	-	-
1950	227	57	-	171	-	-	-	-	-
1951	236	59	-	177	-	-	-	-	-
1952	218	55	-	164	-	-	-	-	-
1953	189	47	-	142	-	-	-	-	-
1954	223	56	-	167	-	-	-	-	-
1955	280	70	-	210	-	-	-	-	-
1956	324	81	-	243	-	-	-	-	-
1957	290	73	-	218	-	-	-	-	-
1958	257	64	-	193	-	-	-	-	-
1959	263	66	-	197	-	-	-	-	-
1960	268	67	-	201	-	-	-	-	-
1961	278	69	-	208	-	-	-	-	-
1962	295	74	-	221	-	-	-	-	-
1963	252	75	47	224	-	-	47	-	-
1964	248	74	46	221	-	-	46	-	-
1965	261	77	49	232	-	-	49	-	-
1966	289	86	54	257	-	-	54	-	-
1967	307	102	101	306	-	-	101	-	-
1968	322	102	85	305	-	-	85	-	-
1969	319	91	47	274	-	-	47	-	-
1970	307	93	65	279	-	-	65	-	-
1971	296	94	81	283	-	-	81	-	-
1972	302	98	90	294	-	-	90	-	-
1973	334	99	63	297	-	-	63	-	-
1974	338	97	52	292	-	-	52	-	-
1975	340	98	53	294	-	-	53	-	-
1976	356	104	59	311	-	-	59	-	-
1977	421	123	70	369	-	-	70	-	-
1978	447	135	94	406	-	-	94	-	-
1979	353	107	74	320	-	-	74	-	-
1980	431	136	112	407	-	-	112	208	614
1981	467	145	113	435	-	-	113	219	654
1982	417	134	121	403	-	-	121	222	625
1983	432	137	116	411	-	-	116	240	651
1984	439	137	109	411	-	-	109	261	672
1985	458	144	119	432	-	-	119	264	696
1986	479	150	121	450	-	-	121	283	733
1987	474	153	136	458	-	-	136	285	743
1988	467	158	167	475	-	-	167	258	734
1989	499	155	123	466	-	-	123	294	760
1990	548	166	114	497	-	-	114	620	1,116
1991	594	181	129	542	-	-	129	617	1,159
1992	635	207	194	622	-	-	194	567	1,190
1993	649	216	217	649	-	-	217	560	1,209
1994	583	195	196	585	-	-	196	597	1,181
1995	511	192	255	575	-	-	255	557	1,132
1996	535	221	349	663	-	-	349	473	1,137
1997	468	190	294	571	-	-	294	545	1,117
1998	418	163	233	488	-	-	233	605	1,093
1999	451	174	243	521	1,307	438	243	625	1,146
2000	482	224	413	672	1,408	338	413	657	1,329
2001	517	265	542	794	1,322	122	542	658	1,453
2002	483	243	487	728	1,259	112	487	660	1,388
2003	414	192	354	575	1,139	123	354	662	1,237
2004	466	250	533	749	1,304	108	533	662	1,411
2005	561	290	597	869	1,791	52	597	1,141	2,010
2006	639	303	573	910	1,450	76	573	801	1,710
2007	584	267	482	800	883	328	482	72	872
2008	635	278	478	835	672	948	478	-754	81
2009	633	277	475	832	752	170	475	106	938
2010	622	262	426	786	678	199	426	53	838
2011	647	264	408	791	606	263	408	-66	725
2012	621	255	401	766	776	131	401	244	1,011
2013	589	249	409	748	939	184	409	346	1,094
2014^e	616	254	401	762	1,200	245	401	554	1,316
2015^f	610	265	450	795	1,400	188	450	762	1,557
Intermediate:
2016	610	265	450	795	1,450	216	450	784	1,579
2017	610	265	450	795	1,450	242	450	758	1,553
2018	610	265	450	795	1,550	255	450	845	1,640
2019	610	265	450	795	1,550	273	450	827	1,622
2020	610	265	450	795	1,450	287	450	713	1,508
2021	610	265	450	795	1,450	298	450	702	1,497
2022	610	265	450	795	1,350	309	450	591	1,386
2023	610	265	450	795	1,350	317	450	583	1,378
2024	610	265	450	795	1,350	325	450	575	1,370
2025	610	265	450	795	1,350	333	450	567	1,362
2026	610	265	450	795	1,350	339	450	561	1,356
2027	610	265	450	795	1,350	345	450	555	1,350
2028	610	265	450	795	1,350	351	450	549	1,344
2029	610	265	450	795	1,350	357	450	543	1,338
2030	610	265	450	795	1,350	363	450	537	1,332
2031	610	265	450	795	1,350	369	450	531	1,326
2032	610	265	450	795	1,350	374	450	526	1,321
2033	610	265	450	795	1,350	380	450	520	1,315
2034	610	265	450	795	1,350	385	450	515	1,310
2035	610	265	450	795	1,350	390	450	510	1,305
2036	610	265	450	795	1,350	395	450	505	1,300
2037	610	265	450	795	1,350	400	450	500	1,295
2038	610	265	450	795	1,350	404	450	496	1,291
2039	610	265	450	795	1,350	408	450	492	1,287
2040	610	265	450	795	1,350	411	450	489	1,284
2041	610	265	450	795	1,350	415	450	485	1,280
2042	610	265	450	795	1,350	418	450	482	1,277
2043	610	265	450	795	1,350	421	450	479	1,274
2044	610	265	450	795	1,350	423	450	477	1,272
2045	610	265	450	795	1,350	426	450	474	1,269
2046	610	265	450	795	1,350	428	450	472	1,267
2047	610	265	450	795	1,350	430	450	470	1,265
2048	610	265	450	795	1,350	433	450	467	1,262
2049	610	265	450	795	1,350	435	450	465	1,260
2050	610	265	450	795	1,350	436	450	464	1,259
2051	610	265	450	795	1,350	438	450	462	1,257
2052	610	265	450	795	1,350	440	450	460	1,255
2053	610	265	450	795	1,350	442	450	458	1,253
2054	610	265	450	795	1,350	443	450	457	1,252
2055	610	265	450	795	1,350	445	450	455	1,250
2056	610	265	450	795	1,350	446	450	454	1,249
2057	610	265	450	795	1,350	447	450	453	1,248
2058	610	265	450	795	1,350	449	450	451	1,246
2059	610	265	450	795	1,350	450	450	450	1,245
2060	610	265	450	795	1,350	451	450	449	1,244
2061	610	265	450	795	1,350	452	450	448	1,243
2062	610	265	450	795	1,350	453	450	447	1,242
2063	610	265	450	795	1,350	454	450	446	1,241
2064	610	265	450	795	1,350	455	450	445	1,240
2065	610	265	450	795	1,350	456	450	444	1,239
2066	610	265	450	795	1,350	457	450	443	1,238
2067	610	265	450	795	1,350	458	450	442	1,237
2068	610	265	450	795	1,350	459	450	441	1,236
2069	610	265	450	795	1,350	459	450	441	1,236
2070	610	265	450	795	1,350	460	450	440	1,235
2071	610	265	450	795	1,350	461	450	439	1,234
2072	610	265	450	795	1,350	461	450	439	1,234
2073	610	265	450	795	1,350	462	450	438	1,233
2074	610	265	450	795	1,350	462	450	438	1,233
2075	610	265	450	795	1,350	463	450	437	1,232
2076	610	265	450	795	1,350	463	450	437	1,232
2077	610	265	450	795	1,350	464	450	436	1,231
2078	610	265	450	795	1,350	464	450	436	1,231
2079	610	265	450	795	1,350	464	450	436	1,231
2080	610	265	450	795	1,350	465	450	435	1,230
2081	610	265	450	795	1,350	465	450	435	1,230
2082	610	265	450	795	1,350	465	450	435	1,230
2083	610	265	450	795	1,350	465	450	435	1,230
2084	610	265	450	795	1,350	466	450	434	1,229
2085	610	265	450	795	1,350	466	450	434	1,229
2086	610	265	450	795	1,350	466	450	434	1,229
2087	610	265	450	795	1,350	466	450	434	1,229
2088	610	265	450	795	1,350	466	450	434	1,229
2089	610	265	450	795	1,350	467	450	433	1,228
2090	610	265	450	795	1,350	467	450	433	1,228
Low-cost:
2016	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	217	550	883	1,891
2017	710	252	550	1,008	1,750	245	550	955	1,963
2018	710	252	550	1,008	1,850	264	550	1,036	2,044
2019	710	252	550	1,008	1,850	286	550	1,014	2,022
2020	710	252	550	1,008	1,750	304	550	896	1,904
2021	710	252	550	1,008	1,750	319	550	881	1,889
2022	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	333	550	767	1,775
2023	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	345	550	755	1,763
2024	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	355	550	745	1,753
2025	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	366	550	734	1,742
2026	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	375	550	725	1,733
2027	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	384	550	716	1,724
2028	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	392	550	708	1,716
2029	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	401	550	699	1,707
2030	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	409	550	691	1,699
2031	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	417	550	683	1,691
2032	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	425	550	675	1,683
2033	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	433	550	667	1,675
2034	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	441	550	659	1,667
2035	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	448	550	652	1,660
2036	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	456	550	644	1,652
2037	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	462	550	638	1,646
2038	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	469	550	631	1,639
2039	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	475	550	625	1,633
2040	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	480	550	620	1,628
2041	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	485	550	615	1,623
2042	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	490	550	610	1,618
2043	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	494	550	606	1,614
2044	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	498	550	602	1,610
2045	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	502	550	598	1,606
2046	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	506	550	594	1,602
2047	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	510	550	590	1,598
2048	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	513	550	587	1,595
2049	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	516	550	584	1,592
2050	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	519	550	581	1,589
2051	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	522	550	578	1,586
2052	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	525	550	575	1,583
2053	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	528	550	572	1,580
2054	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	530	550	570	1,578
2055	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	532	550	568	1,576
2056	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	535	550	565	1,573
2057	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	537	550	563	1,571
2058	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	539	550	561	1,569
2059	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	541	550	559	1,567
2060	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	543	550	557	1,565
2061	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	544	550	556	1,564
2062	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	546	550	554	1,562
2063	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	547	550	553	1,561
2064	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	549	550	551	1,559
2065	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	550	550	550	1,558
2066	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	552	550	548	1,556
2067	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	553	550	547	1,555
2068	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	554	550	546	1,554
2069	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	555	550	545	1,553
2070	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	556	550	544	1,552
2071	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	557	550	543	1,551
2072	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	558	550	542	1,550
2073	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	559	550	541	1,549
2074	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	559	550	541	1,549
2075	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	560	550	540	1,548
2076	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	560	550	540	1,548
2077	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	561	550	539	1,547
2078	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	561	550	539	1,547
2079	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	562	550	538	1,546
2080	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	562	550	538	1,546
2081	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	563	550	537	1,545
2082	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	563	550	537	1,545
2083	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	563	550	537	1,545
2084	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	564	550	536	1,544
2085	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	564	550	536	1,544
2086	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	564	550	536	1,544
2087	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	564	550	536	1,544
2088	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	564	550	536	1,544
2089	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	565	550	535	1,543
2090	710	252	550	1,008	1,650	565	550	535	1,543
High-cost:
2016	510	258	350	602	950	211	350	389	991
2017	510	258	350	602	850	228	350	272	874
2018	510	258	350	602	750	230	350	170	772
2019	510	258	350	602	750	232	350	168	770
2020	510	258	350	602	850	231	350	269	871
2021	510	258	350	602	950	232	350	368	970
2022	510	258	350	602	1,050	236	350	464	1,066
2023	510	258	350	602	1,050	244	350	456	1,058
2024	510	258	350	602	1,050	252	350	448	1,050
2025	510	258	350	602	1,050	259	350	441	1,043
2026	510	258	350	602	1,050	265	350	435	1,037
2027	510	258	350	602	1,050	270	350	430	1,032
2028	510	258	350	602	1,050	274	350	426	1,028
2029	510	258	350	602	1,050	278	350	422	1,024
2030	510	258	350	602	1,050	282	350	418	1,020
2031	510	258	350	602	1,050	286	350	414	1,016
2032	510	258	350	602	1,050	290	350	410	1,012
2033	510	258	350	602	1,050	294	350	406	1,008
2034	510	258	350	602	1,050	298	350	402	1,004
2035	510	258	350	602	1,050	302	350	398	1,000
2036	510	258	350	602	1,050	306	350	394	996
2037	510	258	350	602	1,050	309	350	391	993
2038	510	258	350	602	1,050	312	350	388	990
2039	510	258	350	602	1,050	315	350	385	987
2040	510	258	350	602	1,050	318	350	382	984
2041	510	258	350	602	1,050	320	350	380	982
2042	510	258	350	602	1,050	323	350	377	979
2043	510	258	350	602	1,050	325	350	375	977
2044	510	258	350	602	1,050	327	350	373	975
2045	510	258	350	602	1,050	330	350	370	972
2046	510	258	350	602	1,050	332	350	368	970
2047	510	258	350	602	1,050	334	350	366	968
2048	510	258	350	602	1,050	335	350	365	967
2049	510	258	350	602	1,050	337	350	363	965
2050	510	258	350	602	1,050	339	350	361	963
2051	510	258	350	602	1,050	340	350	360	962
2052	510	258	350	602	1,050	341	350	359	961
2053	510	258	350	602	1,050	343	350	357	959
2054	510	258	350	602	1,050	344	350	356	958
2055	510	258	350	602	1,050	345	350	355	957
2056	510	258	350	602	1,050	347	350	353	955
2057	510	258	350	602	1,050	348	350	352	954
2058	510	258	350	602	1,050	349	350	351	953
2059	510	258	350	602	1,050	350	350	350	952
2060	510	258	350	602	1,050	351	350	349	951
2061	510	258	350	602	1,050	352	350	348	950
2062	510	258	350	602	1,050	353	350	347	949
2063	510	258	350	602	1,050	354	350	346	948
2064	510	258	350	602	1,050	355	350	345	947
2065	510	258	350	602	1,050	356	350	344	946
2066	510	258	350	602	1,050	356	350	344	946
2067	510	258	350	602	1,050	357	350	343	945
2068	510	258	350	602	1,050	358	350	342	944
2069	510	258	350	602	1,050	358	350	342	944
2070	510	258	350	602	1,050	359	350	341	943
2071	510	258	350	602	1,050	360	350	340	942
2072	510	258	350	602	1,050	360	350	340	942
2073	510	258	350	602	1,050	361	350	339	941
2074	510	258	350	602	1,050	361	350	339	941
2075	510	258	350	602	1,050	362	350	338	940
2076	510	258	350	602	1,050	362	350	338	940
2077	510	258	350	602	1,050	363	350	337	939
2078	510	258	350	602	1,050	363	350	337	939
2079	510	258	350	602	1,050	363	350	337	939
2080	510	258	350	602	1,050	364	350	336	938
2081	510	258	350	602	1,050	364	350	336	938
2082	510	258	350	602	1,050	364	350	336	938
2083	510	258	350	602	1,050	365	350	335	937
2084	510	258	350	602	1,050	365	350	335	937
2085	510	258	350	602	1,050	365	350	335	937
2086	510	258	350	602	1,050	365	350	335	937
2087	510	258	350	602	1,050	365	350	335	937
2088	510	258	350	602	1,050	366	350	334	936
2089	510	258	350	602	1,050	366	350	334	936
2090	510	258	350	602	1,050	366	350	334	936

^a This table contains basic assumptions along with key summary values that are derived from basic assumptions.
^b Historical other immigration and emigration estimates depend on a residual method, using Department of Homeland Security January 1 stock estimates for 2005 through 2012.
^c Estimates do not include persons who attained legal permanent resident status under the special one-time provisions of the Immigration Reform and Control Act of 1986.
^d Adjustments of status are a positive for net legal immigration and a negative for net other immigration.
^e Estimated.
^f Estimated, intermediate alternative.

Note: Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.