Description of Proposed Provision:
A4: Starting December 2022, compute the COLA using a chained version of the consumer price index for wage and salary workers (CPI-W). We estimate this new computation will reduce the annual COLA by about 0.3 percentage point, on average. The new COLA will not apply to DI benefits. It will apply to OASI benefits, except for those of formerly disabled-workers who converted to retired-worker status.

Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2019 Trustees Report

Summary Measures
Current law
[percent of payroll]
  Change from current law
[percent of payroll]
  Shortfall eliminated
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
  Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
  Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
-2.78 -4.11   0.44 0.58   16% 14%

graph of OASDI cost rates and income rates by year, under
                 current law and provision. click on graph to view underlying
                 data. graph of OASDI trust fund ratio by year, under current law
                 and provision. click on graph to view underlying data.