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Summary Measures and Graphs

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive indexing (30th percentile) of PIA factors beginning with individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2019, continuing through 2068: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 30th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum is reduced by 1.21 percent per year as compared to current law (for the years that progressive indexing applies). Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status.

Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report

Summary Measures
Present law
[percent of payroll]
Change from present law
[percent of payroll]
Shortfall eliminated
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
-2.66 -4.35 1.40 3.51 53% 81%


graph of OASDI cost rates and income rates by year, under
                 present law and provision. click on graph to view underlying
                 data. graph of OASDI trust fund ratio by year, under present law
                 and provision. click on graph to view underlying data.
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Last reviewed or modified June 16, 2016