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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
B1.6 (2025): Progressive price indexing (30th percentile) of PIA factors beginning with individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2026: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 30th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in the SSA average wage index. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4912.93-0.56
287
0.000.000.00
201913.7012.95-0.75
273
0.000.000.00
202013.8512.96-0.89
259
0.000.000.00
202114.0212.99-1.03
245
0.000.000.00
202214.2613.02-1.23
230
0.000.000.00
202314.5413.05-1.50
215
0.000.000.00
202414.8313.08-1.74
199
0.000.000.00
202515.1013.10-2.00
182
0.000.000.00
202615.3713.14-2.24
165
0.000.000.00
202715.6113.15-2.46
148
0.000.000.00
202815.8513.17-2.68
130
0.000.000.00
202916.0613.18-2.88
112
-0.010.000.01
203016.2513.19-3.06
94
-0.010.000.01
203116.4213.21-3.22
76
-0.020.000.02
203216.5713.22-3.35
57
-0.040.000.03
203316.6913.22-3.46
37
-0.050.000.05
203416.7713.23-3.54
17
-0.080.000.07
203516.8213.23-3.59
----
-0.10-0.010.10
203616.8513.24-3.62
----
-0.13-0.010.13
203716.8513.24-3.61
----
-0.17-0.010.16
203816.8213.24-3.58
----
-0.21-0.010.19
203916.7513.23-3.52
----
-0.25-0.010.23
204016.6713.23-3.44
----
-0.29-0.020.27
204116.5813.23-3.35
----
-0.34-0.020.32
204216.4713.22-3.25
----
-0.39-0.020.37
204316.3713.22-3.15
----
-0.44-0.020.42
204416.2613.21-3.05
----
-0.50-0.030.47
204516.1613.21-2.96
----
-0.56-0.030.53
204616.0613.20-2.86
----
-0.62-0.030.58
204715.9613.20-2.77
----
-0.68-0.040.65
204815.8613.19-2.67
----
-0.75-0.040.71
204915.7713.19-2.58
----
-0.82-0.050.78
205015.6713.18-2.49
----
-0.89-0.050.84
205115.5913.18-2.41
----
-0.97-0.050.91
205215.5113.17-2.34
----
-1.04-0.060.98
205315.4513.17-2.28
----
-1.12-0.061.06
205415.3913.17-2.22
----
-1.20-0.071.13
205515.3413.16-2.17
----
-1.28-0.071.21
205615.2913.16-2.13
----
-1.37-0.081.29
205715.2513.16-2.08
----
-1.45-0.081.37
205815.2013.16-2.04
----
-1.54-0.091.45
205915.1613.16-2.01
----
-1.62-0.091.53
206015.1213.16-1.97
----
-1.70-0.101.61
206115.0913.15-1.93
----
-1.79-0.101.69
206215.0513.15-1.90
----
-1.87-0.111.76
206315.0213.15-1.87
----
-1.95-0.111.84
206414.9913.15-1.84
----
-2.03-0.121.92
206514.9513.15-1.81
----
-2.11-0.121.99
206614.9213.15-1.78
----
-2.19-0.132.07
206714.9013.15-1.75
----
-2.27-0.132.14
206814.8713.14-1.73
----
-2.35-0.132.22
206914.8413.14-1.70
----
-2.43-0.142.29
207014.8213.14-1.68
----
-2.51-0.142.37
207114.7913.14-1.65
----
-2.59-0.152.44
207214.7513.14-1.61
----
-2.66-0.152.51
207314.7113.14-1.58
----
-2.74-0.162.58
207414.6713.13-1.54
----
-2.81-0.162.65
207514.6213.13-1.49
----
-2.88-0.162.72
207614.5713.13-1.44
----
-2.95-0.172.78
207714.5113.13-1.39
----
-3.01-0.172.84
207814.4513.12-1.33
----
-3.07-0.182.90
207914.3813.12-1.27
----
-3.13-0.182.95
208014.3213.11-1.20
----
-3.19-0.183.01
208114.2613.11-1.15
----
-3.25-0.193.06
208214.2013.11-1.09
----
-3.31-0.193.12
208314.1513.10-1.04
----
-3.37-0.193.17
208414.1013.10-1.00
----
-3.43-0.203.23
208514.0613.10-0.96
----
-3.49-0.203.29
208614.0313.10-0.93
----
-3.55-0.203.35
208714.0013.10-0.90
----
-3.62-0.213.41
208813.9713.09-0.88
----
-3.69-0.213.47
208913.9513.09-0.86
----
-3.75-0.223.54
209013.9313.09-0.84
----
-3.82-0.223.60
209113.9113.09-0.82
----
-3.89-0.223.66
209213.8913.09-0.80
----
-3.95-0.233.73



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.
2017-2091 15.41% 13.77% -1.64%
2034
-1.26% -0.07% 1.18%
 
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

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Last reviewed or modified July 13, 2017