Long Range Solvency Provisions

Description of Proposed Provision:
F4: Expand covered earnings to include contributions to voluntary salary reduction plans (such as Cafeteria 125 plans and Flexible Spending Accounts). Starting in 2027, subject these contributions to the OASDI payroll tax, making the payroll tax treatment of these contributions like 401(k) contributions.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

	Proposal				Change from Current Law
	Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll			Trust fund ratio as of January 1	Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll
Calendar year	Cost rate	Income rate	Annual balance	Trust fund ratio as of January 1	Cost rate	Income rate	Annual balance
2026	15.37	12.91	-2.45	151	0.00	0.00	0.00
2027	15.62	13.26	-2.36	131	0.00	0.41	0.41
2028	15.70	13.43	-2.27	114	-0.00	0.43	0.43
2029	15.74	13.48	-2.26	97	0.00	0.42	0.42
2030	15.74	13.49	-2.25	82	0.00	0.42	0.42
2031	15.72	13.50	-2.22	67	0.00	0.41	0.41
2032	15.72	13.51	-2.22	52	0.00	0.41	0.41
2033	15.72	13.54	-2.18	38	0.01	0.41	0.41
2034	15.75	13.55	-2.19	25	0.01	0.41	0.41
2035	15.78	13.58	-2.20	11	0.01	0.42	0.41
2036	15.87	13.59	-2.27	—	0.01	0.42	0.41
2037	15.97	13.60	-2.36	—	0.01	0.42	0.41
2038	16.06	13.62	-2.45	—	0.02	0.43	0.41
2039	16.15	13.63	-2.53	—	0.02	0.43	0.41
2040	16.23	13.63	-2.59	—	0.03	0.44	0.41
2041	16.30	13.64	-2.66	—	0.03	0.44	0.41
2042	16.38	13.65	-2.72	—	0.03	0.44	0.41
2043	16.45	13.66	-2.79	—	0.04	0.45	0.41
2044	16.54	13.67	-2.87	—	0.04	0.45	0.41
2045	16.62	13.68	-2.94	—	0.05	0.46	0.41
2046	16.69	13.69	-3.00	—	0.06	0.46	0.41
2047	16.76	13.70	-3.07	—	0.06	0.47	0.40
2048	16.84	13.71	-3.13	—	0.07	0.47	0.40
2049	16.92	13.72	-3.21	—	0.08	0.48	0.40
2050	17.01	13.73	-3.28	—	0.08	0.48	0.40
2051	17.11	13.74	-3.37	—	0.09	0.48	0.39
2052	17.22	13.75	-3.48	—	0.10	0.49	0.39
2053	17.34	13.76	-3.58	—	0.11	0.49	0.39
2054	17.47	13.77	-3.70	—	0.12	0.50	0.38
2055	17.60	13.79	-3.82	—	0.13	0.51	0.38
2056	17.74	13.80	-3.94	—	0.14	0.51	0.37
2057	17.89	13.81	-4.08	—	0.15	0.52	0.37
2058	18.04	13.83	-4.21	—	0.16	0.52	0.36
2059	18.18	13.84	-4.34	—	0.17	0.53	0.36
2060	18.33	13.86	-4.47	—	0.18	0.53	0.35
2061	18.47	13.87	-4.60	—	0.19	0.54	0.35
2062	18.60	13.88	-4.72	—	0.21	0.54	0.34
2063	18.73	13.90	-4.84	—	0.22	0.55	0.33
2064	18.86	13.91	-4.95	—	0.23	0.55	0.32
2065	18.99	13.92	-5.07	—	0.24	0.56	0.32
2066	19.12	13.94	-5.18	—	0.26	0.57	0.31
2067	19.24	13.95	-5.29	—	0.27	0.57	0.30
2068	19.37	13.96	-5.41	—	0.28	0.58	0.29
2069	19.50	13.98	-5.53	—	0.30	0.58	0.29
2070	19.64	13.99	-5.65	—	0.31	0.59	0.28
2071	19.77	14.00	-5.77	—	0.33	0.60	0.27
2072	19.90	14.02	-5.88	—	0.34	0.60	0.26
2073	20.03	14.03	-6.00	—	0.35	0.61	0.26
2074	20.16	14.04	-6.12	—	0.36	0.61	0.25
2075	20.28	14.06	-6.22	—	0.38	0.62	0.24
2076	20.39	14.07	-6.32	—	0.39	0.63	0.24
2077	20.49	14.08	-6.41	—	0.40	0.63	0.23
2078	20.58	14.09	-6.49	—	0.41	0.64	0.22
2079	20.66	14.10	-6.55	—	0.42	0.64	0.22
2080	20.72	14.11	-6.61	—	0.44	0.65	0.21
2081	20.79	14.12	-6.67	—	0.45	0.66	0.21
2082	20.84	14.13	-6.71	—	0.46	0.66	0.20
2083	20.88	14.14	-6.75	—	0.47	0.67	0.20
2084	20.92	14.15	-6.77	—	0.48	0.67	0.20
2085	20.94	14.15	-6.78	—	0.49	0.68	0.19
2086	20.94	14.16	-6.79	—	0.49	0.68	0.19
2087	20.94	14.16	-6.78	—	0.50	0.69	0.19
2088	20.93	14.17	-6.76	—	0.51	0.69	0.18
2089	20.90	14.17	-6.73	—	0.52	0.70	0.18
2090	20.87	14.18	-6.70	—	0.53	0.71	0.18
2091	20.84	14.18	-6.66	—	0.53	0.71	0.18
2092	20.81	14.18	-6.63	—	0.54	0.72	0.18
2093	20.77	14.18	-6.59	—	0.54	0.72	0.18
2094	20.74	14.19	-6.55	—	0.55	0.73	0.18
2095	20.71	14.19	-6.52	—	0.56	0.73	0.17
2096	20.68	14.19	-6.48	—	0.56	0.73	0.17
2097	20.65	14.19	-6.46	—	0.57	0.74	0.17
2098	20.63	14.20	-6.43	—	0.57	0.74	0.17
2099	20.61	14.20	-6.41	—	0.58	0.75	0.17
2100	20.61	14.20	-6.40	—	0.58	0.75	0.17
2101	20.61	14.21	-6.40	—	0.59	0.76	0.17

Summarized Estimates

	Proposal				Change from Current Law
Years	Cost rate	Income rate	Actuarial balance	Year of reserve depletion¹	Cost rate	Income rate	Actuarial balance
2026-2100	18.32%	14.21%	-4.11%	2035	0.21%	0.53%	0.32%
¹ Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2026 Trustees Report.

Detailed Single Year Tables

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

Summarized Estimates