Description of Proposed Provision:
E1.10: Increase the payroll tax rate by 0.1 percentage point per year for 2021 through 2030 so that it equals 13.4 percent for 2030 and later. The increase would be split evenly between the employer and employee share, and would be split between OASI and DI in proportion to currently scheduled payroll tax rates.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201913.9112.85-1.06
273
0.000.000.00
202013.9412.87-1.07
260
0.000.000.00
202114.0912.99-1.10
245
0.000.090.09
202214.2313.11-1.12
230
-0.000.190.19
202314.4013.22-1.18
215
-0.000.280.28
202414.5913.35-1.24
200
-0.000.380.38
202514.7813.46-1.33
186
-0.000.470.47
202614.9913.68-1.31
172
-0.000.570.57
202715.1913.79-1.40
159
-0.000.660.66
202815.4313.93-1.50
147
-0.000.760.76
202915.6214.04-1.58
134
-0.000.850.85
203015.8014.15-1.65
123
-0.000.950.95
203115.9614.17-1.80
112
-0.000.950.95
203216.1114.18-1.93
100
-0.000.950.96
203316.2314.19-2.04
88
-0.000.950.96
203416.3214.20-2.12
77
-0.000.950.96
203516.3914.20-2.19
64
-0.000.950.96
203616.4514.21-2.24
52
-0.010.950.96
203716.5114.21-2.30
39
-0.010.950.96
203816.5614.22-2.34
26
-0.010.950.96
203916.6014.22-2.37
12
-0.010.950.96
204016.6114.23-2.38
----
-0.010.950.96
204116.6014.23-2.38
----
-0.010.950.96
204216.5814.23-2.35
----
-0.010.950.96
204316.5514.23-2.32
----
-0.010.950.96
204416.5114.22-2.29
----
-0.010.950.96
204516.4814.22-2.25
----
-0.010.950.96
204616.4414.22-2.22
----
-0.010.950.97
204716.4114.22-2.19
----
-0.010.950.97
204816.3914.22-2.17
----
-0.010.950.97
204916.3714.22-2.15
----
-0.020.950.97
205016.3514.22-2.13
----
-0.020.950.97
205116.3414.22-2.12
----
-0.020.950.97
205216.3514.23-2.12
----
-0.020.950.97
205316.3514.23-2.13
----
-0.020.950.97
205416.3714.23-2.14
----
-0.020.950.97
205516.3914.23-2.16
----
-0.020.950.98
205616.4214.23-2.18
----
-0.020.950.98
205716.4614.24-2.22
----
-0.020.950.98
205816.5014.24-2.26
----
-0.020.950.98
205916.5514.25-2.30
----
-0.030.950.98
206016.6014.25-2.35
----
-0.030.950.98
206116.6514.26-2.40
----
-0.030.950.98
206216.7014.26-2.45
----
-0.030.950.98
206316.7614.26-2.49
----
-0.030.950.98
206416.8114.27-2.54
----
-0.030.950.99
206516.8614.27-2.59
----
-0.030.960.99
206616.9214.28-2.64
----
-0.030.960.99
206716.9814.28-2.70
----
-0.030.960.99
206817.0414.29-2.75
----
-0.040.960.99
206917.1014.29-2.81
----
-0.040.960.99
207017.1614.29-2.86
----
-0.040.960.99
207117.2114.30-2.92
----
-0.040.960.99
207217.2614.30-2.96
----
-0.040.960.99
207317.3114.31-3.00
----
-0.040.961.00
207417.3514.31-3.04
----
-0.040.961.00
207517.3914.31-3.08
----
-0.040.961.00
207617.4214.32-3.10
----
-0.040.961.00
207717.4414.32-3.12
----
-0.040.961.00
207817.4414.32-3.12
----
-0.040.961.00
207917.4414.32-3.12
----
-0.040.961.00
208017.4214.32-3.10
----
-0.040.961.00
208117.4014.32-3.08
----
-0.040.961.00
208217.3814.32-3.06
----
-0.040.961.00
208317.3614.32-3.04
----
-0.040.961.00
208417.3414.31-3.02
----
-0.040.961.00
208517.3114.31-3.00
----
-0.040.961.00
208617.3014.31-2.98
----
-0.040.961.00
208717.2914.31-2.97
----
-0.040.961.00
208817.2814.31-2.97
----
-0.040.961.00
208917.2914.31-2.98
----
-0.040.961.00
209017.3114.31-3.00
----
-0.040.961.00
209117.3514.32-3.03
----
-0.040.961.00
209217.3914.32-3.07
----
-0.040.961.00
209317.4314.32-3.11
----
-0.040.961.00
209417.4814.33-3.15
----
-0.040.961.00


Summarized Estimates

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
2019-2093 16.58% 14.67% -1.90%
2039
-0.02% 0.86% 0.88%

1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2035.
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2019 Trustees Report.