Long Range Solvency Provisions

Description of Proposed Provision:
E2.16: Apply OASDI 12.4 percent payroll tax rate on earnings above $250,000 starting in 2027, and tax all earnings once the current-law taxable maximum exceeds $250,000. Increase the computed level of the SSA average wage index for years after 2026 by amounts ranging from 0.7 percent for 2027 to 0.9 percent for 2033 and later. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum that are subject to the payroll tax, using a secondary PIA formula. This secondary PIA formula involves: (1) an "AIME+" derived from annual earnings from each year after 2026 that were in excess of that year's current-law taxable maximum; and (2) a formula factor of 2 percent on this newly computed "AIME+".

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

	Proposal				Change from Current Law
	Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll			Trust fund ratio as of January 1	Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll
Calendar year	Cost rate	Income rate	Annual balance	Trust fund ratio as of January 1	Cost rate	Income rate	Annual balance
2026	15.37	12.91	-2.45	151	0.00	0.00	0.00
2027	15.62	14.81	-0.81	131	0.00	1.96	1.96
2028	15.74	15.11	-0.63	123	0.04	2.10	2.06
2029	15.74	15.23	-0.51	117	-0.00	2.17	2.17
2030	15.74	15.32	-0.42	112	-0.00	2.24	2.25
2031	15.72	15.41	-0.31	107	-0.00	2.32	2.32
2032	15.72	15.50	-0.22	104	0.00	2.40	2.40
2033	15.72	15.62	-0.10	102	0.00	2.49	2.49
2034	15.74	15.65	-0.09	101	0.00	2.52	2.51
2035	15.78	15.67	-0.11	100	0.01	2.51	2.50
2036	15.86	15.68	-0.18	99	0.01	2.51	2.50
2037	15.96	15.69	-0.28	98	0.01	2.51	2.50
2038	16.06	15.69	-0.36	96	0.01	2.51	2.50
2039	16.14	15.70	-0.44	94	0.01	2.51	2.49
2040	16.22	15.71	-0.51	92	0.02	2.51	2.49
2041	16.29	15.71	-0.58	89	0.02	2.51	2.49
2042	16.37	15.72	-0.65	86	0.02	2.51	2.49
2043	16.44	15.72	-0.72	82	0.03	2.51	2.48
2044	16.52	15.73	-0.79	78	0.03	2.51	2.48
2045	16.61	15.74	-0.87	74	0.03	2.51	2.48
2046	16.67	15.74	-0.93	69	0.04	2.51	2.48
2047	16.74	15.75	-1.00	64	0.04	2.52	2.47
2048	16.82	15.75	-1.07	59	0.05	2.52	2.47
2049	16.90	15.76	-1.14	53	0.05	2.52	2.47
2050	16.98	15.77	-1.22	47	0.05	2.52	2.46
2051	17.08	15.77	-1.31	40	0.06	2.52	2.46
2052	17.19	15.78	-1.41	33	0.06	2.52	2.46
2053	17.30	15.79	-1.52	25	0.07	2.52	2.45
2054	17.42	15.80	-1.63	16	0.07	2.52	2.45
2055	17.55	15.81	-1.75	7	0.08	2.52	2.45
2056	17.69	15.81	-1.88	—	0.08	2.53	2.44
2057	17.83	15.82	-2.00	—	0.09	2.53	2.44
2058	17.97	15.83	-2.13	—	0.09	2.53	2.44
2059	18.11	15.84	-2.26	—	0.09	2.53	2.43
2060	18.25	15.85	-2.39	—	0.10	2.53	2.43
2061	18.38	15.86	-2.51	—	0.10	2.53	2.43
2062	18.50	15.87	-2.63	—	0.11	2.53	2.42
2063	18.63	15.88	-2.75	—	0.11	2.53	2.42
2064	18.74	15.89	-2.86	—	0.12	2.53	2.42
2065	18.86	15.90	-2.97	—	0.12	2.54	2.42
2066	18.98	15.91	-3.07	—	0.12	2.54	2.41
2067	19.10	15.91	-3.18	—	0.13	2.54	2.41
2068	19.22	15.92	-3.30	—	0.13	2.54	2.41
2069	19.34	15.93	-3.41	—	0.13	2.54	2.41
2070	19.46	15.94	-3.52	—	0.14	2.54	2.40
2071	19.58	15.95	-3.64	—	0.14	2.54	2.40
2072	19.70	15.96	-3.75	—	0.14	2.54	2.40
2073	19.83	15.96	-3.86	—	0.15	2.54	2.40
2074	19.94	15.97	-3.97	—	0.15	2.54	2.39
2075	20.05	15.98	-4.07	—	0.15	2.55	2.39
2076	20.15	15.99	-4.16	—	0.15	2.55	2.39
2077	20.24	15.99	-4.25	—	0.16	2.55	2.39
2078	20.32	16.00	-4.32	—	0.16	2.55	2.39
2079	20.39	16.01	-4.39	—	0.16	2.55	2.39
2080	20.45	16.01	-4.44	—	0.16	2.55	2.39
2081	20.51	16.02	-4.49	—	0.16	2.55	2.39
2082	20.55	16.02	-4.53	—	0.17	2.55	2.39
2083	20.58	16.02	-4.56	—	0.17	2.55	2.38
2084	20.61	16.02	-4.58	—	0.17	2.55	2.38
2085	20.62	16.03	-4.59	—	0.17	2.55	2.38
2086	20.62	16.03	-4.59	—	0.17	2.55	2.38
2087	20.61	16.03	-4.58	—	0.17	2.55	2.38
2088	20.58	16.03	-4.56	—	0.17	2.55	2.38
2089	20.56	16.03	-4.53	—	0.17	2.55	2.38
2090	20.52	16.03	-4.49	—	0.17	2.56	2.39
2091	20.48	16.02	-4.46	—	0.17	2.56	2.39
2092	20.44	16.02	-4.42	—	0.17	2.56	2.39
2093	20.40	16.02	-4.38	—	0.17	2.56	2.39
2094	20.36	16.02	-4.34	—	0.17	2.56	2.39
2095	20.32	16.02	-4.30	—	0.17	2.56	2.39
2096	20.28	16.02	-4.27	—	0.17	2.56	2.39
2097	20.25	16.01	-4.24	—	0.17	2.56	2.39
2098	20.23	16.01	-4.21	—	0.17	2.56	2.39
2099	20.20	16.01	-4.19	—	0.17	2.56	2.39
2100	20.19	16.01	-4.18	—	0.17	2.56	2.39
2101	20.19	16.01	-4.17	—	0.17	2.56	2.39

Summarized Estimates

	Proposal				Change from Current Law
Years	Cost rate	Income rate	Actuarial balance	Year of reserve depletion¹	Cost rate	Income rate	Actuarial balance
2026-2100	18.19%	16.14%	-2.05%	2055	0.09%	2.46%	2.37%
¹ Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2026 Trustees Report.

Detailed Single Year Tables

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

Summarized Estimates